Serie A WON 2–1
Sat, Jul 18 · 01:00
Mirassol Home
VS 01:00
Gremio Away
Mirassol vs Gremio — Serie A
Tipster's pick Under 3.5 Goals
Confidence High · 4/5
Odds 1.25 Odds via Bet365
Expert analysis

Defensive Records Point to Limited Scoring

Mirassol’s recent matches have produced few goals overall. Their home scoring stays modest while Gremio struggles to find the net on the road. Both sides show patterns of limited attacking output in their current sequences. Head to head meetings reveal some variation but lean toward contained results lately. Gremio’s away form limits their threat in open play. Mirassol often fails to score in a high share of games. These elements combine to suggest a match that stays under the higher goal lines.

AcePredictor Analysis by AcePredictor 73.2% win rate
Result
2–1 WON +0.25u

Our pick “Under 3.5 Goals” at odds 1.25 won — final score 2–1.

League table position
# Team PWDLPts
15 SAN Santos 18 5 6 7 21
16 GRE Gremio 18 5 6 7 21
17 VAS Vasco DA Gama 18 5 5 8 20
18 REM Remo 18 4 6 8 18
19 MIR Mirassol 17 4 4 9 16
20 CHA Chapecoense-sc 17 1 6 10 9
Recent form · last 5 finished matches
Mirassol LWWLL
L @ Atletico-MG 1–3 May 16
W @ Always Ready 2–1 May 20
W vs Fluminense 1–0 May 23
L @ Lanus 0–1 May 26
L @ Atletico Paranaense 0–1 May 30
Gremio DLWLW
D vs Atletico Torque 2–2 May 26
L vs Corinthians 1–3 May 30
W @ Cascavel 2–1 Jun 27
L vs Chapecoense-sc 1–2 Jul 4
W vs Cruzeiro 3–1 Jul 12
Goals trend · last 5 matches
Mirassol
Scored 0.8 avg
1 2 1 0 0
Conceded 1.2 avg
3 1 0 1 1
Gremio
Scored 1.8 avg
2 1 2 1 3
Conceded 1.8 avg
2 3 1 2 1
Head-to-head · last meetings
3 Mirassol
0 Draws
0 Gremio
Sep 2025 Gremio 0–1 Mirassol Mirassol
Apr 2025 Mirassol 4–1 Gremio Mirassol
Mar 2022 Mirassol 3–2 Gremio Mirassol

Over 2.5 goals in 2 of the last 3 meetings.