Serie A WON 1–2
Thu, Jul 23 · 02:30 · Estadio Do MorumBIS
Sao Paulo Home
VS 02:30
Atletico Paranaense Away
Sao Paulo vs Atletico Paranaense — Serie A
Tipster's pick Sao Paulo or A. Paranaense
Confidence High · 4/5
Odds 1.33 Odds via Bet365
Expert analysis

Low Draws Expected in Sao Paulo Home Fixture

Sao Paulo produce more goals at home than Atletico Paranaense manage on the road. The last ten head-to-head matches yielded only two draws. Both teams show sequences heavy with wins across their recent form strings. Balanced scoring and concession rates of one goal per game each still leave room for decisive results. Atletico Paranaense away form limits their ability to control games at this venue. Historical results between the sides tilt toward one team taking the points.

AcePredictor Analysis by AcePredictor 73.2% win rate
Result
1–2 WON +0.33u

Our pick “Sao Paulo or A. Paranaense” at odds 1.33 won — final score 1–2.

League table position
# Team PWDLPts
4 RBB RB Bragantino 19 9 3 7 30
5 ATL Atletico Paranaense 18 9 3 6 30
6 BAH Bahia 18 8 5 5 29
7 COR Coritiba 18 7 5 6 26
8 SAO Sao Paulo 18 7 4 7 25
9 BOT Botafogo 18 7 4 7 25
Recent form · last 5 finished matches
Sao Paulo LDDWL
L @ Fluminense 1–2 May 16
D vs Millonarios 1–1 May 20
D vs Botafogo 1–1 May 23
W vs Boston River 2–0 May 26
L @ Remo 0–1 May 31
Atletico Paranaense DWWLL
D vs Flamengo 1–1 May 17
W @ Remo 2–1 May 24
W vs Mirassol 1–0 May 30
L @ Boca Juniors 0–1 Jul 9
L @ RB Bragantino 1–2 Jul 11
Goals trend · last 5 matches
Sao Paulo
Scored 1.0 avg
1 1 1 2 0
Conceded 1.0 avg
2 1 1 0 1
Atletico Paranaense
Scored 1.0 avg
1 2 1 0 1
Conceded 1.0 avg
1 1 0 1 2
Head-to-head · last meetings
6 Sao Paulo
2 Draws
2 Atletico Paranaense
Aug 2025 Atletico Paranaense 1–0 Sao Paulo Atletico Paranaense
Jul 2025 Sao Paulo 2–1 Atletico Paranaense Sao Paulo
Nov 2024 Sao Paulo 2–1 Atletico Paranaense Sao Paulo
Jul 2024 Atletico Paranaense 1–2 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
Oct 2023 Atletico Paranaense 1–1 Sao Paulo Draw

Over 2.5 goals in 6 of the last 10 meetings.

Team news · injuries & suspensions
Sao Paulo
  • OUT Lucas Moura Achilles Tendon Injury
  • DOUBT Sabino Injury
  • OUT Lucas Moura Achilles Tendon Injury
  • DOUBT Sabino Injury
Atletico Paranaense
  • OUT Felipinho Inactive
  • OUT Mycael Inactive
  • OUT B. Zapelli Inactive
  • DOUBT G. Benavidez Inactive
  • OUT Felipinho Inactive
  • OUT Mycael Inactive
  • OUT B. Zapelli Inactive
  • DOUBT G. Benavidez Inactive