Serie A (Brazil) MISSED 3–2
Sat, Aug 15 · 21:30
Fluminense FC Home
VS
Palmeiras Away
Fluminense vs Palmeiras — Serie A
Tipster's pick Under 3.5 Goals
Value Fair · 2/5
Odds 1.22 Odds via Bet365
Our estimate76%
This price needs82%
Expert analysis

Fluminense Face Palmeiras in Tight Defensive Battle

Fluminense have shown a preference for controlled matches with frequent draws across their recent sequence of results. Palmeiras maintain strong defensive records on the road while relying on structured build-up play that limits open exchanges. Their head-to-head meetings have rarely produced extended goal sequences in the past decade. Both sides feature multiple absences among key defenders which could encourage cautious approaches rather than all-out attacks. Fluminense average fewer goals overall and concede modestly at home which aligns with Palmeiras own low concession rate away from their stadium. The pattern of low-scoring fixtures continues when these teams meet because each prioritizes midfield control over risky forward surges. This setup points toward a match that stays within moderate goal limits.

AcePredictor Analysis by AcePredictor 73% win rate
Result
3–2 MISSED

Our pick “Under 3.5 Goals” at odds 1.22 didn’t land — final score 3–2.

League table position
# Team PWDLPts
1 PAL Palmeiras 22 14 6 2 48
2 FLA Flamengo 21 12 6 3 42
3 ATL Atletico Paranaense 22 12 4 6 40
4 FLU Fluminense 22 9 8 5 35
5 CRU Cruzeiro 22 9 6 7 33
Recent form · last 5 finished matches
Fluminense DDLDD
D vs Bahia 0–0 Jul 30
D @ Vasco DA Gama 0–0 Aug 1
L vs Vasco DA Gama 1–3 Aug 6
D @ Botafogo 1–1 Aug 9
D vs Independ. Rivadavia 0–0 Aug 11
Palmeiras WWLDD
W @ Vitoria 4–0 Jul 30
W vs Fortaleza EC 3–0 Aug 2
L @ Fortaleza EC 2–3 Aug 6
D vs Internacional 0–0 Aug 9
D vs Cerro Porteno 1–1 Aug 12
Goals trend · last 5 matches
Fluminense
Scored 0.4 avg
0 0 1 1 0
Conceded 0.8 avg
0 0 3 1 0
Palmeiras
Scored 2.0 avg
4 3 2 0 1
Conceded 0.8 avg
0 0 3 0 1
Head-to-head · last meetings
4 Fluminense FC
3 Draws
3 Palmeiras
Feb 2026 Palmeiras 2–1 Fluminense Palmeiras
Nov 2025 Palmeiras 0–0 Fluminense Draw
Jul 2025 Fluminense 1–2 Palmeiras Palmeiras
Dec 2024 Palmeiras 0–1 Fluminense Fluminense
Jul 2024 Fluminense 1–0 Palmeiras Fluminense

Over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 10 meetings.

Confirmed lineups
Fluminense 4-2-3-1
  • 1 Fábio G
  • 23 Guga D
  • 44 Jemmes D
  • 21 Igor Rabello D
  • 6 Renê D
  • 8 Martinelli M
  • 35 Hércules M
  • 17 Agustín Canobbio M
  • 10 Ganso M
  • 30 Yeferson Soteldo M
  • 7 Hulk F
Bench Vitor Eudes, Thiago Silva, Júlio Fidelis, Julián Millán, Samuel Xavier, Kevin Serna, Nonato, Jefferson Savarino, Otávio, Luciano Acosta, Rodrigo Castillo, Germán Cano

Francisco Zubeldia Luis

Palmeiras 4-4-2
  • 1 Carlos Miguel G
  • 4 Agustín Giay D
  • 15 Gustavo Gómez D
  • 26 Murilo D
  • 22 Joaquín Piquerez D
  • 11 Jhon Arias M
  • 8 Andreas Pereira M
  • 17 Marlon Freitas M
  • 40 Allan M
  • 42 José Manuel López F
  • 9 Vitor Roque F
Bench Kaique, Marcelo Lomba, Bruno Fuchs, Arthur Gabriel, Luis Benedetti, Luis Pacheco, Mauricio, Emiliano Martínez, Lucas Evangelista, Felipe Anderson, Heittor, Ramón Sosa

Ferreira Abel

Team news · injuries & suspensions
Fluminense FC
  • OUT J. Freytes Ankle Injury
  • OUT Ignacio Yellow Cards
  • OUT John Kennedy Knee Injury
  • OUT Matheus Reis Knee Injury
  • OUT J. Millan Muscle Injury
  • DOUBT Guilherme Arana Injury
  • DOUBT Jhonny Injury
  • OUT J. Freytes Ankle Injury
  • OUT Ignacio Yellow Cards
  • OUT John Kennedy Knee Injury
  • OUT Matheus Reis Knee Injury
  • OUT J. Millan Muscle Injury
  • DOUBT Guilherme Arana Injury
  • DOUBT Jhonny Injury
Palmeiras
  • OUT Bruno Fuchs Surgery
  • OUT Jefte Knee Injury
  • OUT Khellven Muscle Injury
  • OUT Paulinho Muscle Injury
  • OUT Bruno Fuchs Surgery
  • OUT Jefte Knee Injury
  • OUT Khellven Muscle Injury
  • OUT Paulinho Muscle Injury