Liga Profesional Argentina MISSED 4–1
Sat, Aug 29 · 00:00 · Estadio 15 de Abril
Union Santa Fe Home
VS
Sarmiento Junin Away
Union Santa Fe vs Sarmiento Junin — Liga Profesional Argentina
Tipster's pick Under 3.5 Goals
Value Fair · 2/5
Odds 1.28 Odds via Bet365
Our estimate75%
This price needs78%
Expert analysis

Defensive Patterns Suggest Low Goal Output Ahead

Union Santa Fe manages 1.4 goals per home game on average while Sarmiento Junin manages just 0.8 away. Sarmiento has kept every match this season under 2.5 goals. Their head to head record shows only four of ten games exceeding that mark. Union Santa Fe’s form mix of draws and narrow wins reflects controlled rather than open play. Sarmiento’s away approach stays compact and limits chances at both ends. Clean sheet rates for both sides hover above 20 percent and reinforce a cautious outlook. These elements combine to keep total goals modest in this fixture.

AcePredictor Analysis by AcePredictor 72.8% win rate
Result
4–1 MISSED

Our pick “Under 3.5 Goals” at odds 1.28 didn’t land — final score 4–1.

Match timeline
  1. First half
  2. J. Contrera 8'
  3. C. Tarragona assist E. Giaccone 18'
  4. I. Malcorra ↓ M. Luna Diale 23'
  5. L. Suarez 44'
  6. Second half
  7. U. Gimenez ↓ J. Contrera 46'
  8. C. Tarragona assist I. Malcorra 61'
  9. I. Malcorra 62'
  10. G. Gonzalez ↓ S. Salle 66'
  11. P. Magnin ↓ J. Herrera 66'
  12. M. Aguirre ↓ B. Cuello 71'
  13. I. Malcorra assist L. Ayala 74'
  14. M. Peresutti ↓ L. Menossi 78'
  15. E. Ramirez ↓ M. Estigarribia 78'
  16. J. Mavilla 79'
  17. Diego Churin ↓ J. Marabel 81'
  18. E. Ramirez 84'
  19. E. Gimenez ↓ J. Mavilla 89'
This season
Union Santa Fe Sarmiento Junin
Over 2.5 goals 17% 0%
Clean sheet 21% 32%
Failed to score 29% 27%
Scored per game 1.4 1.1
Conceded per game 1.3 1.3
Scored home / away 1.4 / 1.4 1.4 / 0.8

Across 24 and 22 matches played this season.

League table position
# Team PWDLPts
9 LAN Lanus 6 2 1 3 7
10 UNI Union Santa Fe ▲ 6 2 1 3 7
11 BOC Boca Juniors 6 1 4 1 7
Recent form · last 5 finished matches
Union Santa Fe LWLLW
L @ Gimnasia M. 0–2 Aug 1
W vs Lanus 2–1 Aug 6
L vs Central Cordoba de Santiago 1–2 Aug 11
L @ San Lorenzo 0–1 Aug 15
W @ Aldosivi 3–1 Aug 21
Sarmiento Junin LWWWW
L @ Banfield 2–3 Jul 28
W vs Independ. Rivadavia 2–1 Aug 3
W @ Atletico Tucuman 2–1 Aug 8
W vs Huracan 2–0 Aug 16
W vs Estudiantes L.P. 2–0 Aug 23
Goals trend · last 5 matches
Union Santa Fe
Scored 1.2 avg
0 2 1 0 3
Conceded 1.4 avg
2 1 2 1 1
Sarmiento Junin
Scored 2.0 avg
2 2 2 2 2
Conceded 1.0 avg
3 1 1 0 0
Head-to-head · last meetings
6 Union Santa Fe
1 Draws
3 Sarmiento Junin
Feb 2026 Sarmiento Junin 1–3 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe
Sep 2024 Sarmiento Junin 1–0 Union Santa Fe Sarmiento Junin
Mar 2024 Sarmiento Junin 1–2 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe
Oct 2023 Union Santa Fe 1–0 Sarmiento Junin Union Santa Fe
May 2023 Union Santa Fe 0–2 Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento Junin

Over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 10 meetings.

Confirmed lineups
Union Santa Fe 4-3-1-2
  • 21 Matías Mansilla G
  • 15 Juan Pintado D
  • 2 Maizon Rodriguez D
  • 26 Juan Pablo Ludueña D
  • 18 Lucas Ayala D
  • 22 Brahian Cuello M
  • 5 Lucas Menossi M
  • 8 Emilio Giaccone M
  • 11 Mauro Luna M
  • 25 Cristian Tarragona F
  • 19 Marcelo Estigarribia F
Bench Lucas Meuli, Valentín Cerrudo, Nazareno Fazzi, Tomás Fagioli, Matías Rocha, Bruno Pittón, Mateo Peresutti, Santiago Grella, Santino Vera, Ignacio Malcorra, Misael Aguirre, Eric Ramírez

Leonardo Madelon

Sarmiento Junin 4-4-2
  • 12 Thyago Ayala G
  • 8 Santiago Salle D
  • 44 Renzo Orihuela D
  • 2 Juan Manuel Insaurralde D
  • 3 Lucas Suárez D
  • 19 Julian Contrera M
  • 15 Cristian Zabala M
  • 16 Mauricio Martínez M
  • 21 Julián Mavilla M
  • 27 Junior Marabel F
  • 24 Jonathan Herrera F
Bench Iván Arboleda, Ulises Giménez, Thiago Santamaría, Gabriel Díaz, Gastón Arturia, Nicolás Pasquini, Elián Giménez, Manuel Garcia, Gastón González, Agustin Nadruz, Pablo Magnin, Diego Churin

Facundo Sava