Major League Soccer MISSED 4–4
Sun, Sep 6 · 01:30 · BMO Field
Toronto FC Home
VS
Chicago Fire Away
Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire — Major League Soccer
Tipster's pick Toronto or Chicago Fire
Value Fair · 2/5
Odds 1.25 Odds via Bet365
Our estimate75%
This price needs80%
Expert analysis

Chicago Fire Edge and Toronto Home Push Limit Draws

Chicago Fire arrive with more recent victories in their sequence than Toronto, whose form mixes wins with several defeats. Past encounters favor Chicago with five wins to Toronto’s two, suggesting they can take points even away. Both teams post solid goal tallies at home and on the road, which often separates the sides rather than ending even. Toronto’s home scoring average sits higher, yet their defensive record allows opponents chances to strike first. Chicago’s away output combines with fewer clean sheets overall to keep games from stalling. Key absences in midfield and attack for each side may open spaces that reward attacking play over caution. These patterns together point to one team claiming the result more often than a shared outcome.

AcePredictor Analysis by AcePredictor 72.6% win rate
Result
4–4 MISSED

Our pick “Toronto or Chicago Fire” at odds 1.25 didn’t land — final score 4–4.

Match timeline
  1. First half
  2. Maren Haile-Selassie 13'
  3. Sam Rogers 18'
  4. Josh Sargent assist Djordje Mihailovic 27'
  5. Markus Cimermancic 34'
  6. Josh Sargent 38'
  7. Noah Allen ↓ Sam Rogers 45'
  8. Second half
  9. Walker Zimmerman Own goal 49'
  10. Josh Sargent assist Djordje Mihailovic 54'
  11. Jackson Gilman ↓ Matheus Pereira de Souza 55'
  12. Maren Haile-Selassie assist Robert Lewandowski 58'
  13. Robert Lewandowski assist Philip Zinckernagel 63'
  14. Lewis Morgan ↓ Theo Corbeanu 64'
  15. Robin Lod ↓ Puso Dithejane 64'
  16. Sergio Oregel ↓ Maren Haile-Selassie 77'
  17. Mauricio Pineda ↓ Djé D'Avilla 78'
  18. Derrick Etienne Jr. ↓ Djordje Mihailovic 79'
  19. Emilio Aristizábal ↓ Markus Cimermancic 79'
  20. Robin Lod 86'
  21. Johan Arath Gomez ↓ Philip Zinckernagel 89'
  22. Benjamin Kuscevic 90'
  23. Derrick Etienne Jr. assist Dániel Sallói 90+2'
This season
Toronto FC Chicago Fire
Over 2.5 goals 18% 19%
Clean sheet 14% 29%
Failed to score 14% 5%
Scored per game 1.5 1.9
Conceded per game 1.7 1.3
Scored home / away 1.9 / 0.9 2.0 / 1.7

Across 22 and 21 matches played this season.

League table position
# Team PWDLPts
2 INT Inter Miami 22 12 6 4 42
3 CHI Chicago Fire 21 11 4 6 37
4 NEW New England Revolution 22 11 4 7 37
5 CHA Charlotte 22 10 5 7 35
6 FCC FC Cincinnati 22 8 7 7 31
7 NEW New York City FC 23 7 8 8 29
8 NEW New York Red Bulls 22 7 5 10 26
9 ORL Orlando City SC 22 7 4 11 25
10 TOR Toronto FC 22 5 10 7 25
11 DCU DC United 22 5 10 7 25
Recent form · last 5 finished matches
Toronto FC DWDWD
D @ New York City FC 1–1 Jul 31
W vs New England Revolution 2–1 Aug 15
D vs Charlotte 3–3 Aug 19
W @ Inter Miami 2–1 Aug 22
D vs New York City FC 1–1 Aug 29
Chicago Fire WWDLD
W vs Portland Timbers 2–1 Aug 16
W @ Orlando City SC 2–1 Aug 19
D @ New York Red Bulls 1–1 Aug 22
L @ Monterrey 1–2 Aug 26
D @ Seattle Sounders 2–2 Aug 29
Goals trend · last 5 matches
Toronto FC
Scored 1.8 avg
1 2 3 2 1
Conceded 1.4 avg
1 1 3 1 1
Chicago Fire
Scored 1.6 avg
2 2 1 1 2
Conceded 1.4 avg
1 1 1 2 2
Head-to-head · last meetings
2 Toronto FC
3 Draws
5 Chicago Fire
May 2026 Chicago Fire 2–1 Toronto FC Chicago Fire
Oct 2025 Chicago Fire 2–2 Toronto FC Draw
Mar 2025 Toronto FC 1–2 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire
Sep 2024 Chicago Fire 1–1 Toronto FC Draw
Jun 2024 Toronto FC 1–4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire

Over 2.5 goals in 6 of the last 10 meetings.

Team news · injuries & suspensions
Toronto FC
  • OUT N. Dorsch Face Injury
  • OUT D. Kerr Lower-Body Injury
  • OUT J. Osorio Knee Injury
  • OUT N. Palacio Lower-Body Injury
  • OUT N. Dorsch Face Injury
  • OUT D. Kerr Lower-Body Injury
  • OUT J. Osorio Knee Injury
  • OUT N. Palacio Lower-Body Injury
Chicago Fire
  • OUT M. Mbokazi Lower-Body Injury
  • OUT C. Mueller Inactive
  • OUT M. Mbokazi Lower-Body Injury
  • OUT C. Mueller Inactive