Ligue 1 WON 2–3
Sun, Sep 6 · 20:45
Marseille Home
VS
Paris FC Away
Marseille vs Paris FC — Ligue 1
Tipster's pick Over 1.5 Goals
Value Fair · 2/5
Odds 1.20 Odds via Bet365
Our estimate81%
This price needs83%
Expert analysis

Marseille Home Games Often Deliver Early Goals

Marseille average two goals scored per match while conceding just over one, which sets up regular chances at both ends when they play at home. Paris FC have allowed nearly two goals per game on average and scored only once away from their own stadium in recent outings. The last two head-to-head fixtures both finished with more than two goals, showing these sides tend to trade attacks when they meet. Marseille sit with a win and a loss in their current form, often pushing forward after early pressure. Paris FC hold a draw and a win but have kept clean sheets mainly through defensive setups that may not hold on the road. Midfield absences for both teams could reduce control in the center and allow more space for forward runs. Overall the pattern of open exchanges favors multiple goals before the final whistle.

AcePredictor Analysis by AcePredictor 72.2% win rate
Result
2–3 WON

Our pick “Over 1.5 Goals” at odds 1.20 won — final score 2–3.

Match timeline
  1. First half
  2. Lassine Sinayoko assist Luca Koleosho 1'
  3. Amine Gouiri 8'
  4. Lassine Sinayoko assist Pablo Pagis 19'
  5. Second half
  6. Amine Gouiri assist Amine Harit 53'
  7. Rudy Matondo ↓ Pablo Pagis 64'
  8. Rudy Matondo 65'
  9. Tadjidine Mmadi ↓ Igor Paixão 72'
  10. Derek Cornelius ↓ Nayef Aguerd 73'
  11. Keyliane Abdallah ↓ Angel Gomes 73'
  12. Patrick Zabi ↓ Ilan Kebbal 78'
  13. Moses Simon ↓ Luca Koleosho 78'
  14. Lassine Sinayoko Penalty 86'
  15. Lassine Sinayoko 87'
  16. Omar Sissoko ↓ Lassine Sinayoko 90+1'
  17. Ulisses Garcia ↓ Emerson Palmieri 90+1'
  18. Faris Moumbagna ↓ Himad Abdelli 90+1'
  19. Moustapha Mbow ↓ Maxime López 90+1'
This season
Marseille Paris FC
Over 2.5 goals 50% 50%
Clean sheet 50% 100%
Failed to score 50% 50%
Scored per game 2.0 1.5
Conceded per game 1.0 0.0
Scored home / away 4.0 / 0.0 3.0 / 0.0

Across 2 and 2 matches played this season.

League table position
# Team PWDLPts
4 STA Stade Brestois 29 3 1 2 0 5
5 PAR Paris FC 2 1 1 0 4
6 REN Rennes 2 1 1 0 4
7 EST Estac Troyes 2 1 1 0 4
8 LOR Lorient 3 1 1 1 4
9 MAR Marseille 2 1 0 1 3
10 LEN Lens 3 1 0 2 3
Recent form · last 5 finished matches
Marseille WWLWL
W vs Nimes 2–1 Jul 30
W vs Athletic Club 3–1 Aug 9
L vs Atletico Madrid 1–2 Aug 14
W vs Strasbourg 4–0 Aug 21
L @ Monaco 0–2 Aug 30
Paris FC LLDW
L @ FSV Mainz 05 0–4 Aug 8
L @ Angers 2–3 Aug 15
D @ Estac Troyes 0–0 Aug 22
W vs Nice 3–0 Aug 30
Goals trend · last 5 matches
Marseille
Scored 2.0 avg
2 3 1 4 0
Conceded 1.2 avg
1 1 2 0 2
Paris FC
Scored 1.3 avg
0 2 0 3
Conceded 1.8 avg
4 3 0 0
Head-to-head · last meetings
1 Marseille
1 Draws
0 Paris FC
Jan 2026 Paris FC 2–2 Marseille Draw
Aug 2025 Marseille 5–2 Paris FC Marseille

Over 2.5 goals in 2 of the last 2 meetings.

Confirmed lineups
Marseille 4-2-3-1
  • 1 J. de Lange G
  • 22 T. Weah D
  • 4 C. Egan-Riley D
  • 21 N. Aguerd D
  • 33 Emerson D
  • 23 P. Højbjerg M
  • 8 H. Abdelli M
  • 77 A. Harit M
  • 7 A. Gomes M
  • 14 Igor Paixão M
  • 9 A. Gouiri F
Bench T. Mmadi, Bamo Meite, N. Maupay, U. Garcia, D. Cornelius, K. Abdallah, F. Moumbagna, T. Vermot, Nouhoum Kamissoko

Bruno Genesio

Paris FC 4-2-3-1
  • 1 K. Trapp G
  • 17 A. Camara D
  • 14 H. Traoré D
  • 42 D. Coppola D
  • 31 S. Chergui D
  • 20 M. Lopez M
  • 33 P. Lees-Melou M
  • 10 I. Kebbal M
  • 7 P. Pagis M
  • 15 L. Koleosho M
  • 9 L. Sinayoko F
Bench E. Zabi, Y. Koré, J. Krasso, V. Marchetti, R. Matondo, M. Mbow, O. Nkambadio, M. Simon, O. Sissoko

L. Rosenior

Team news · injuries & suspensions
Marseille
  • OUT G. Kondogbia Injury
  • OUT T. Nnadi Injury
  • OUT G. Kondogbia Injury
  • OUT T. Nnadi Injury
Paris FC
  • OUT J. Ikone Hamstring Injury
  • OUT E. Mbemba Inactive
  • OUT Otavio Injury
  • OUT N. Sangui Injury
  • OUT J. Ikone Hamstring Injury
  • OUT E. Mbemba Inactive
  • OUT Otavio Injury
  • OUT N. Sangui Injury