Liga Profesional Argentina MISSED 3–1
Mon, Sep 7 · 00:15 · Estadio Monumental
River Plate Home
VS
Independ. Rivadavia Away
River Plate vs Independ. Rivadavia — Liga Profesional Argentina
Tipster's pick Under 3.5 Goals
Value Fair · 2/5
Odds 1.20 Odds via Bet365
Our estimate79%
This price needs83%
Expert analysis

River Plate and Rivadavia Likely to Keep Score Low

River Plate post a modest rate of games with more than two goals this season. Their home matches often feature controlled play and few open chances. Independiente Rivadavia mirror that pattern on the road with lower goal outputs. Past meetings between these sides rarely produced extended scoring bursts. Both squads show recent sequences heavy on draws and narrow results. Defensive organization appears to take priority over forward pushes in their setups. These elements point toward a match that stays within moderate goal limits.

AcePredictor Analysis by AcePredictor 72.1% win rate
Result
3–1 MISSED

Our pick “Under 3.5 Goals” at odds 1.20 didn’t land — final score 3–1.

Match timeline
  1. First half
  2. Matías Fernández 17'
  3. Alex Arce 29'
  4. Gonzalo Montiel Penalty 30'
  5. Iván Villalba 38'
  6. Jose Ignacio Florentin 40'
  7. Nicolás Otamendi 43'
  8. Second half
  9. Tomás Ezequiel Galván 54'
  10. Luis Ángel Díaz Cuesta ↓ Fabrizio Sartori Prieto 57'
  11. Luis Sequeira ↓ Gonzalo Rios 57'
  12. Alex Vigo ↓ Alejo Osella 66'
  13. Alex Arce assist Jose Ignacio Florentin 68'
  14. Lucas Martinez Quarta 70'
  15. Lucas Beltran ↓ Tobías Andrada 77'
  16. Juan Cruz Meza ↓ Sebastián Driussi 77'
  17. Tomás Ezequiel Galván assist Lucas Beltran 80'
  18. Francisco Ortega ↓ Marcos Acuña 81'
  19. Victorio Ramis ↓ Tomas Bottari 89'
  20. Mauro Arambarri ↓ Ángel Correa 89'
  21. Rafael Borré ↓ Tomás Ezequiel Galván 89'
This season
River Plate Independ. Rivadavia
Over 2.5 goals 19% 21%
Clean sheet 37% 25%
Failed to score 33% 21%
Scored per game 1.4 1.6
Conceded per game 0.9 1.0
Scored home / away 1.6 / 1.0 2.1 / 1.0

Across 27 and 24 matches played this season.

League table position
# Team PWDLPts
5 TIG Tigre 8 3 3 2 12
6 IND Independ. Rivadavia 7 3 2 2 11
7 ROS Rosario Central 7 3 2 2 11
8 ATL Atletico Tucuman 7 2 4 1 10
9 HUR Huracan 8 2 4 2 10
10 BAR Barracas Central 7 3 1 3 10
11 RIV River Plate 7 2 1 4 7
12 BAN Banfield 8 2 1 5 7
Recent form · last 5 finished matches
River Plate WDDDW
W vs Argentinos JRS 2–0 Aug 16
D @ Santa Fe 0–0 Aug 20
D vs Velez Sarsfield 2–2 Aug 23
D vs Santa Fe 1–1 Aug 27
W @ Banfield 3–2 Aug 30
Independ. Rivadavia LDDWW
L @ Belgrano Cordoba 0–2 Aug 15
D vs Fluminense 1–1 Aug 18
D @ Independiente 0–0 Aug 22
W @ Aldosivi 2–0 Aug 26
W vs Racing Club 3–1 Aug 31
Goals trend · last 5 matches
River Plate
Scored 1.6 avg
2 0 2 1 3
Conceded 1.0 avg
0 0 2 1 2
Independ. Rivadavia
Scored 1.2 avg
0 1 0 2 3
Conceded 0.8 avg
2 1 0 0 1
Head-to-head · last meetings
1 River Plate
2 Draws
2 Independ. Rivadavia
Mar 2026 Independ. Rivadavia 1–1 River Plate Draw
Oct 2025 Independ. Rivadavia 0–0 River Plate Draw
Nov 2024 Independ. Rivadavia 2–1 River Plate Independ. Rivadavia
Mar 2024 Independ. Rivadavia 4–0 River Plate Independ. Rivadavia
Mar 2024 River Plate 2–0 Independ. Rivadavia River Plate

Over 2.5 goals in 2 of the last 5 meetings.

Confirmed lineups
River Plate 4-1-3-2
  • 41 S. Beltrán G
  • 29 G. Montiel D
  • 28 L. Martínez D
  • 30 N. Otamendi D
  • 21 M. Acuña D
  • 15 F. Vera M
  • 50 T. Andrada M
  • 23 T. Almada M
  • 26 T. Galván M
  • 10 Á. Correa F
  • 9 S. Driussi F
Bench M. Arambarri, L. Silva, L. Rivero, T. Palacio, L. Pereyra, F. Ortega, J. Meza, V. Lucero, G. González, E. Centurión, R. Borré, L. Beltrán

Leonardo Ponzio