Major League Soccer WON 2–1
Thu, Sep 10 · 01:30 · BMO Field
Toronto FC Home
VS
Nashville SC Away
Toronto FC vs Nashville SC — Major League Soccer
Tipster's pick Toronto or Nashville
Value Fair · 2/5
Odds 1.28 Odds via Bet365
Our estimate74%
This price needs78%
Expert analysis

Nashville Defense and Toronto Attack Limit Draw Chances

Nashville SC enter with a run of results that includes long winning streaks and very few draws, reflecting a side comfortable taking games by the scruff of the neck. Their defensive record stands out, with almost half their matches ending in clean sheets and just 0.7 goals conceded on average, which reduces the likelihood of a stalemate. Toronto FC have shown attacking intent at home, averaging over two goals per game there, yet their overall form mixes wins with losses rather than frequent draws. Head-to-head meetings between the sides have produced more Nashville victories than Toronto ones, with only three draws across the last nine encounters. Nashville also post stronger away goal numbers relative to Toronto’s home concession rate, tilting the contest toward one side claiming the points. Both teams average 2.4 goals scored per match this season, but the pattern of results suggests the game will rarely finish level. Toronto’s recent sequence contains several defeats that underline inconsistency, making a share of the spoils less probable against a disciplined Nashville outfit.

AcePredictor Analysis by AcePredictor 73% win rate
Result
2–1 WON

Our pick “Toronto or Nashville” at odds 1.28 won — final score 2–1.

Match timeline
  1. First half
  2. Niklas Dorsch Own goal 3'
  3. Second half
  4. Nickseon Gomis ↓ Benjamin Kuscevic 59'
  5. Theo Corbeanu ↓ Lewis Morgan 59'
  6. Matheus Pereira de Souza ↓ Jackson Gilman 59'
  7. Ahmed Qasim ↓ Elias Saad 66'
  8. Markus Cimermancic ↓ Niklas Dorsch 70'
  9. Dániel Sallói assist Theo Corbeanu 72'
  10. Andy Najar ↓ Daniel Lovitz 74'
  11. Patrick Yazbek ↓ Edvard Sandvik Tagseth 74'
  12. Emilio Aristizábal ↓ Josh Sargent 75'
  13. Shakur Mohammed ↓ Cristian Espinoza 87'
  14. Emilio Aristizábal assist Dániel Sallói 90+3'
  15. Luka Gavran 90+7'
This season
Toronto FC Nashville SC
Over 2.5 goals 22% 39%
Clean sheet 13% 48%
Failed to score 13% 22%
Scored per game 1.6 2.0
Conceded per game 1.8 0.7
Scored home / away 2.1 / 0.9 3.0 / 1.0

Across 23 and 23 matches played this season.

League table position
# Team PWDLPts
1 NAS Nashville SC 23 16 5 2 53
2 INT Inter Miami 23 12 7 4 43
3 CHI Chicago Fire 22 11 5 6 38
4 NEW New England Revolution 23 11 4 8 37
5 CHA Charlotte 23 10 6 7 36
6 FCC FC Cincinnati 22 8 7 7 31
7 NEW New York City FC 23 7 8 8 29
8 ORL Orlando City SC 23 8 4 11 28
9 PHI Philadelphia Union 23 7 6 10 27
10 NEW New York Red Bulls 23 7 6 10 27
11 TOR Toronto FC 23 5 11 7 26
12 DCU DC United 22 5 10 7 25
Recent form · last 5 finished matches
Toronto FC WDWDD
W vs New England Revolution 2–1 Aug 15
D vs Charlotte 3–3 Aug 19
W @ Inter Miami 2–1 Aug 22
D vs New York City FC 1–1 Aug 29
D vs Chicago Fire 4–4 Sep 5
Nashville SC WWWWD
W vs Inter Miami 4–1 Aug 16
W @ New York Red Bulls 1–0 Aug 19
W vs Columbus Crew 3–2 Aug 23
W vs FC Cincinnati 4–0 Aug 30
D @ New York City FC 0–0 Sep 4
Goals trend · last 5 matches
Toronto FC
Scored 2.4 avg
2 3 2 1 4
Conceded 2.0 avg
1 3 1 1 4
Nashville SC
Scored 2.4 avg
4 1 3 4 0
Conceded 0.6 avg
1 0 2 0 0
Head-to-head · last meetings
2 Toronto FC
3 Draws
4 Nashville SC
Jul 2025 Nashville SC 1–0 Toronto FC Nashville SC
May 2025 Toronto FC 1–2 Nashville SC Nashville SC
Jun 2024 Toronto FC 1–2 Nashville SC Nashville SC
May 2024 Nashville SC 2–0 Toronto FC Nashville SC
Jun 2023 Toronto FC 1–1 Nashville SC Draw

Over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 9 meetings.

Confirmed lineups
Toronto FC 4-4-2
  • 1 L. Gavran G
  • 22 R. Laryea D
  • 25 W. Zimmerman D
  • 13 B. Kuscevic D
  • 38 J. Gilman D
  • 90 L. Morgan M
  • 6 N. Dorsch M
  • 14 Alonso Coello M
  • 20 D. Sallói M
  • 9 J. Sargent F
  • 11 D. Etienne F
Bench W. Yarbrough, T. Corbeanu, M. Cimermancic, Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga, R. Edwards, K. Franklin, N. Gomis, Z. Monlouis, Matheus Pereira

R. Fraser

Nashville SC 4-3-3
  • 99 B. Schwake G
  • 27 R. Baker-Whiting D
  • 5 J. Maher D
  • 3 M. Woledzi D
  • 2 D. Lovitz D
  • 16 M. Corcoran M
  • 20 E. Tagseth M
  • 11 E. Saad M
  • 7 C. Espinoza F
  • 9 S. Surridge F
  • 10 H. Mukhtar F
Bench A. Qasem, J. Bauer, S. Mohammed, A. Muyl, A. Najar, J. Palacios, J. Willis, B. Acosta, P. Yazbek

B.J. Callaghan

Team news · injuries & suspensions
Toronto FC
  • OUT D. Mihailovic Muscle Injury
  • OUT J. Osorio Knee Injury
  • OUT N. Palacio Lower-Body Injury
  • OUT L. Stefanovic Foot Injury
  • DOUBT D. Dixon Injury
  • OUT D. Mihailovic Muscle Injury
  • OUT J. Osorio Knee Injury
  • OUT N. Palacio Lower-Body Injury
  • OUT L. Stefanovic Foot Injury
  • DOUBT D. Dixon Injury
Nashville SC
  • OUT W. Madrigal Lower-Body Injury
  • OUT W. Madrigal Lower-Body Injury