Eredivisie MISSED 1–1
Fri, Sep 11 · 20:00 · AFAS Stadion（Alkmaar）
AZ Alkmaar Home
VS
Willem II Away
AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II — Eredivisie
Tipster's pick Over 2.5 Goals
Value Fair · 2/5
Odds 1.28 Odds via Bet365
Our estimate78%
This price needs78%
Expert analysis

AZ Attack Targets Willem II Defensive Weaknesses

AZ Alkmaar have posted consistent attacking output at home this season with forwards regularly finding space behind opposing lines. Willem II have conceded heavily in away games where their backline struggles to maintain shape under pressure. Past meetings between these clubs have often featured open play and multiple goal opportunities from both sides. AZ’s recent winning run shows disciplined build-up play that creates chances without overcommitting. Willem II’s poor away form leaves gaps in midfield that AZ midfielders can use to advance quickly. The visitors rarely keep clean sheets on the road which opens the door for sustained pressure from the hosts.

AcePredictor Analysis by AcePredictor 73.1% win rate
Result
1–1 MISSED

Our pick “Over 2.5 Goals” at odds 1.28 didn’t land — final score 1–1.

Match timeline
  1. First half
  2. Tonny Vilhena 29'
  3. Jordy Clasie assist Mexx Meerdink 32'
  4. Second half
  5. Valdemar Byskov Andreasen ↓ Jordy Clasie 64'
  6. Weslley Pinto Batista ↓ Calvin Stengs 64'
  7. kasper boogaard ↓ Tonny Vilhena 70'
  8. Alessandro Ciranni ↓ Per van Loon 70'
  9. Jizz Hornkamp ↓ Mexx Meerdink 78'
  10. Devin Haen assist Uriël van Aalst 81'
  11. Ayoub Oufkir ↓ Ro Zangelo Daal 87'
  12. Bendegúz Kovács ↓ Dave Kwakman 87'
  13. Thomas Verheydt ↓ Jaden Slory 88'
  14. Mats Lemmens ↓ Maxim Dekker 90+3'
This season
AZ Alkmaar Willem II
Over 2.5 goals 60% 0%
Clean sheet 40% 0%
Failed to score 0% 25%
Scored per game 3.2 1.0
Conceded per game 1.0 3.3
Scored home / away 3.5 / 3.0 1.0 / 1.0

Across 5 and 4 matches played this season.

League table position
# Team PWDLPts
1 AZA AZ Alkmaar ▲ 5 5 0 0 15
2 PSV PSV Eindhoven 5 4 1 0 13
3 FEY Feyenoord 5 3 2 0 11
4 FOR Fortuna Sittard 5 3 1 1 10
5 EXC Excelsior 4 3 0 1 9
6 AJA Ajax 4 2 1 1 7
7 TWE Twente 4 2 1 1 7
8 GOA GO Ahead Eagles 4 2 1 1 7
9 GRO Groningen 5 2 1 2 7
10 NEC NEC Nijmegen 4 2 0 2 6
11 SPA Sparta Rotterdam 5 1 2 2 5
12 HEE Heerenveen 5 1 2 2 5
13 TEL Telstar 4 1 1 2 4
14 PEC PEC Zwolle 5 1 1 3 4
15 UTR Utrecht 4 0 1 3 1
16 WIL Willem II ▲ 4 0 1 3 1
17 ADO ADO Den Haag 5 0 1 4 1
Recent form · last 5 finished matches
AZ Alkmaar WWWWW
W vs ADO Den Haag 2–0 Aug 8
W @ Utrecht 4–1 Aug 15
W @ Fortuna Sittard 2–0 Aug 22
W vs GO Ahead Eagles 5–2 Aug 29
W @ Heerenveen 3–2 Sep 6
Willem II WLLDL
W vs OFI 2–1 Aug 1
L @ GO Ahead Eagles 1–4 Aug 8
L vs NEC Nijmegen 1–4 Aug 15
D vs Heerenveen 2–2 Aug 30
L vs Excelsior 0–3 Sep 5
Goals trend · last 5 matches
AZ Alkmaar
Scored 3.2 avg
2 4 2 5 3
Conceded 1.0 avg
0 1 0 2 2
Willem II
Scored 1.2 avg
2 1 1 2 0
Conceded 2.8 avg
1 4 4 2 3
Head-to-head · last meetings
4 AZ Alkmaar
3 Draws
3 Willem II
Feb 2025 Willem II 0–2 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
Nov 2024 AZ Alkmaar 1–2 Willem II Willem II
Mar 2022 Willem II 2–2 AZ Alkmaar Draw
Dec 2021 AZ Alkmaar 4–1 Willem II AZ Alkmaar
Apr 2021 Willem II 0–1 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar

Over 2.5 goals in 7 of the last 10 meetings.

Confirmed lineups
AZ Alkmaar 4-2-3-1
  • 28 J. De Busser G
  • 22 E. Dijkstra D
  • 3 W. Goes D
  • 4 L. Schouten D
  • 5 M. Chávez D
  • 8 J. Clasie M
  • 6 P. Koopmeiners M
  • 14 C. Stengs M
  • 21 D. Kwakman M
  • 11 R. Daal M
  • 9 M. Meerdink F
Bench M. de Wit, H. Verhulst, Weslley Patati, R. Owusu-Oduro, A. Oufkir, S. Maikuma, R. Ichihara, J. Hornkamp, W. Hoedt, V. Byskov, B. Kovacs

L. Echteld

Willem II 4-2-3-1
  • 26 M. Delanghe G
  • 5 H. ter Avest D
  • 3 F. Stam D
  • 23 M. Dekker D
  • 24 N. Tjoe-A-On D
  • 52 T. Vilhena M
  • 6 C. Twigt M
  • 22 Per van Loon M
  • 19 Uriel van Aalst M
  • 7 J. Slory M
  • 9 D. Haen F
Bench W. van der Steen, K. de Leeuw, T. Verheydt, O. Martin, Jens Mathijsen, M. Lemmens, E. Gürbüz, A. Et-Taïbi, A. Ciranni, K. Boogaard

J. Stegeman

Team news · injuries & suspensions
AZ Alkmaar
  • OUT D. Kasius Groin Injury
  • OUT S. Resink Knee Injury
  • OUT K. Smit Injury
  • DOUBT H. Verhulst Inactive
  • OUT D. Kasius Groin Injury
  • OUT S. Resink Knee Injury
  • OUT K. Smit Injury
  • DOUBT H. Verhulst Inactive
Willem II
  • OUT A. Culum Foot Injury
  • OUT T. Didillon Hodl Hamstring Injury
  • OUT J. Hoogma Inactive
  • OUT A. Lachkar Groin Injury
  • OUT J. Schuurman Knock
  • OUT A. Zarrouk Surgery
  • OUT V. van Crooij Inactive
  • OUT A. Culum Foot Injury
  • OUT T. Didillon Hodl Hamstring Injury
  • OUT J. Hoogma Inactive
  • OUT A. Lachkar Groin Injury
  • OUT J. Schuurman Knock
  • OUT A. Zarrouk Surgery
  • OUT V. van Crooij Inactive