Serie A (Italy) WON 2–4
Fri, Sep 11 · 20:45 · Stadio Pierluigi Penzo
Venezia Home
VS
Fiorentina Away
Venezia vs Fiorentina — Serie A
Tipster's pick Over 1.5 Goals
Value Fair · 2/5
Odds 1.25 Odds via Bet365
Our estimate78%
This price needs80%
Expert analysis

Defensive Issues Point to Goals in Venezia Clash

Both sides enter this match on runs of three defeats that have exposed clear defensive gaps. Venezia has allowed 2.3 goals per game on average and scored nothing in its home fixtures so far. Fiorentina shows similar problems away from home, where it has yet to find the net while conceding three times each outing. Earlier meetings between the clubs have usually produced at least two goals overall. The pattern of open play stems from both teams failing to keep clean sheets in any recent outing. High concession rates continue to outweigh the low totals recorded in attack across their early fixtures.

AcePredictor Analysis by AcePredictor 73.2% win rate
Result
2–4 WON

Our pick “Over 1.5 Goals” at odds 1.25 won — final score 2–4.

Match timeline
  1. First half
  2. A. Adams assist G. Busio 22'
  3. F. Mastantuono assist A. Jimenez 29'
  4. F. Mastantuono assist Beto 30'
  5. J. Schingtienne 38'
  6. T. J. Helgason ↓ G. Busio 44'
  7. Second half
  8. M. Pellegrino ↓ Beto 60'
  9. W. Gnonto ↓ A. Atta 60'
  10. M. Pellegrino assist N. Fagioli 66'
  11. Juan Jesus ↓ M. Moreno 69'
  12. T. Correia ↓ R. Sagrado 69'
  13. A. Njie 72'
  14. S. Sohm 73'
  15. Pote ↓ A. Njie 80'
  16. L. Lauberbach ↓ S. Sohm 80'
  17. T. Fernandez ↓ J. Yeboah 80'
  18. F. Mastantuono 84'
  19. A. Hainaut assist R. Haps 86'
  20. M. Brescianini ↓ F. Mastantuono 89'
  21. M. Pongracic ↓ L. Ranieri 89'
This season
Venezia Fiorentina
Over 2.5 goals 0% 0%
Clean sheet 0% 0%
Failed to score 67% 67%
Scored per game 0.7 0.3
Conceded per game 2.3 3.0
Scored home / away 0.0 / 1.0 0.5 / 0.0

Across 3 and 3 matches played this season.

League table position
# Team PWDLPts
17 MON Monza 3 0 1 2 1
18 VEN Venezia ▲ 3 0 0 3 0
19 GEN Genoa 3 0 0 3 0
20 FIO Fiorentina ▲ 3 0 0 3 0
Recent form · last 5 finished matches
Venezia WLLLL
W vs Modena 3–2 Aug 15
L vs Lecce 0–2 Aug 23
L @ AC Milan 0–2 Aug 28
L @ Udinese 1–2 Sep 2
L @ Frosinone 2–3 Sep 6
Fiorentina WLLL
W vs Benevento 4–1 Aug 14
L @ AS Roma 0–4 Aug 24
L vs Frosinone 0–3 Aug 29
L vs Torino 1–2 Sep 5
Goals trend · last 5 matches
Venezia
Scored 1.2 avg
3 0 0 1 2
Conceded 2.2 avg
2 2 2 2 3
Fiorentina
Scored 1.3 avg
4 0 0 1
Conceded 2.5 avg
1 4 3 2
Head-to-head · last meetings
2 Venezia
1 Draws
1 Fiorentina
May 2025 Venezia 2–1 Fiorentina Venezia
Aug 2024 Fiorentina 0–0 Venezia Draw
Apr 2022 Fiorentina 1–0 Venezia Fiorentina
Oct 2021 Venezia 1–0 Fiorentina Venezia

Over 2.5 goals in 1 of the last 4 meetings.

Confirmed lineups
Venezia 3-5-2
  • 1 Filip Stanković G
  • 3 Joel Schingtienne D
  • 2 Matias Moreno D
  • 5 Ridgeciano Haps D
  • 18 Antoine Hainaut M
  • 71 Kike Pérez M
  • 6 Gianluca Busio M
  • 19 Simon Sohm M
  • 20 Richie Sagrado M
  • 10 John Yeboah F
  • 45 Akor Adams F
Bench Lorenzo Montipò, Redouane Halhal, Rufai Mohammed, Ale Gomes, Juan Jesus, Thierry Correia, Lorenzo Berardi, Kornel Lisman, Toni Fernández, Lamine Fanne, Simone Panada, Þórir Jóhann Helgason, Pasquale Mazzocchi, Albion Rrahmani, Lion Lauberbach

Giovanni Stroppa

Fiorentina 4-3-3
  • 43 David De Gea G
  • 20 Álex Jiménez D
  • 3 Radu Drăguşin D
  • 33 Viery D
  • 6 Luca Ranieri D
  • 44 Nicolò Fagioli M
  • 27 Cher Ndour M
  • 14 Arthur Atta M
  • 30 Franco Mastantuono F
  • 23 Beto F
  • 25 Alieu Njie F
Bench Oliver Christensen, Luca Lezzerini, Víctor Valdepeñas, Dodô, Marin Pongračić, João Mário, Pedro Gonçalves, Christ Inao Oulaï, Marco Brescianini, Mateo Pellegrino, Wilfried Gnonto

Paolo Vanoli

Team news · injuries & suspensions
Venezia
  • OUT A. Adorante Hernia
  • OUT T. Basic Foot Injury
  • OUT A. Bella-Kotchap Injury
  • OUT M. Dagasso Inactive
  • OUT B. Franjic Injury
  • OUT M. Sverko Hip Injury
  • OUT A. Adorante Hernia
  • OUT T. Basic Foot Injury
  • OUT A. Bella-Kotchap Injury
  • OUT M. Dagasso Inactive
  • OUT B. Franjic Injury
  • OUT M. Sverko Hip Injury
Fiorentina
  • OUT F. Parisi Knee Injury
  • OUT R. Sottil Back Injury
  • OUT F. Parisi Knee Injury
  • OUT R. Sottil Back Injury