Championship (England) MISSED 4–3
Sat, Sep 12 · 16:00 · Riverside Stadium
Middlesbrough Home
VS
Norwich Away
Middlesbrough vs Norwich — Championship
Tipster's pick Under 3.5 Goals
Value Fair · 2/5
Odds 1.53 Odds via Bet365
Our estimate62%
This price needs65%
Expert analysis

Middlesbrough Norwich Match Points to Fewer Goals

Middlesbrough maintain a low rate of high-scoring games this season through disciplined home defending. Norwich show similar restraint especially when playing away from home. Past encounters between the sides have not often produced goal fests beyond three. Middlesbrough’s home scoring comes with controlled defending that limits open play. Norwich’s inconsistent away form limits their attacking threat on the road. Both teams’ current sequences suggest careful low-risk approaches in midfield.

AcePredictor Analysis by AcePredictor 73.2% win rate
Result
4–3 MISSED

Our pick “Under 3.5 Goals” at odds 1.53 didn’t land — final score 4–3.

Match timeline
  1. First half
  2. Mohamed Toure 1'
  3. Sebastian Berhalter assist Tommy Conway 4'
  4. Amario Cozier-Duberry assist Tommy Conway 7'
  5. Sebastian Berhalter 36'
  6. Ashley Phillips ↓ Alfie Jones 45'
  7. Jacob Wright ↓ Anis Ben Slimane 45'
  8. Second half
  9. Riley McGree 53'
  10. J. Makama ↓ Mohamed Toure 62'
  11. Jack Stacey ↓ Kellen Fisher 62'
  12. Myles Peart-Harris ↓ Tommy Conway 63'
  13. Kyle Joseph ↓ Riley McGree 63'
  14. J. Makama assist Jacob Wright 70'
  15. Max Arfsten ↓ Amario Cozier-Duberry 73'
  16. Paris Maghoma ↓ Andre Brooks 74'
  17. Jacob Wright assist Paris Maghoma 75'
  18. Ashley Phillips 89'
  19. Oscar Schwartau ↓ Anthony Musaba 90'
  20. Jack Stacey 90'
  21. Ashley Phillips 90+1'
  22. Luke Ayling ↓ will lankshear 90+2'
This season
Middlesbrough Norwich
Over 2.5 goals 20% 40%
Clean sheet 20% 0%
Failed to score 0% 40%
Scored per game 1.6 1.6
Conceded per game 1.0 1.6
Scored home / away 2.5 / 1.0 2.5 / 1.0

Across 5 and 5 matches played this season.

League table position
# Team PWDLPts
2 SWA Swansea 6 3 2 1 11
3 MID Middlesbrough ▲ 5 3 1 1 10
4 QPR QPR 5 3 1 1 10
5 BRI Bristol City 5 3 1 1 10
6 WES West Brom 5 3 1 1 10
7 CHA Charlton 5 3 1 1 10
8 MIL Millwall 5 3 0 2 9
9 SHE Sheffield Utd 6 2 3 1 9
10 WOL Wolves 5 2 2 1 8
11 WAT Watford 6 2 2 2 8
12 SOU Southampton 6 3 2 1 7
13 WRE Wrexham 6 1 4 1 7
14 BIR Birmingham 5 1 4 0 7
15 STO Stoke City 6 2 1 3 7
16 NOR Norwich ▲ 5 2 0 3 6
17 POR Portsmouth 5 2 0 3 6
Recent form · last 5 finished matches
Middlesbrough WWDWL
W @ Doncaster 3–1 Aug 25
W vs West Brom 3–1 Aug 29
D @ Burnley 1–1 Sep 2
W @ QPR 1–0 Sep 5
L @ Crystal Palace 0–3 Sep 8
Norwich LWWLW
L @ Millwall 0–3 Aug 22
W @ Cardiff 2–1 Aug 25
W vs Burnley 4–1 Aug 29
L @ Stoke City 0–1 Sep 1
W @ Sheffield Utd 3–1 Sep 5
Goals trend · last 5 matches
Middlesbrough
Scored 1.6 avg
3 3 1 1 0
Conceded 1.2 avg
1 1 1 0 3
Norwich
Scored 1.8 avg
0 2 4 0 3
Conceded 1.4 avg
3 1 1 1 1
Head-to-head · last meetings
6 Middlesbrough
3 Draws
1 Norwich
Jan 2026 Middlesbrough 1–0 Norwich Middlesbrough
Aug 2025 Norwich 1–2 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Apr 2025 Middlesbrough 0–0 Norwich Draw
Oct 2024 Norwich 3–3 Middlesbrough Draw
Mar 2024 Middlesbrough 3–1 Norwich Middlesbrough

Over 2.5 goals in 6 of the last 10 meetings.

Confirmed lineups
Middlesbrough 3-4-2-1
  • 1 R. Vítek G
  • 5 A. Jones D
  • 29 A. Malanda D
  • 30 Neto Borges D
  • 2 C. Brittain M
  • 6 S. Berhalter M
  • 10 A. Morris M
  • 8 R. McGree M
  • 11 A. Cozier-Duberry M
  • 9 T. Conway M
  • 7 W. Lankshear F
Bench L. Ayling, S. Brynn, K. Joseph, M. Peart-Harris, M. Arfsten, A. Phillips, R. Pukštas, J. Sarmiento, D. Strelec

K. Hellberg

Norwich 4-2-3-1
  • 1 V. Kovačević G
  • 35 K. Fisher D
  • 15 Ruairi McConville D
  • 33 J. Córdoba D
  • 14 B. Chrisene D
  • 23 K. McLean M
  • 7 P. Mattsson M
  • 11 A. Brooks M
  • 20 A. Ben Slimane M
  • 49 A. Musaba M
  • 21 M. Touré F
Bench A. Crnac, H. Darling, S. Field, D. Grimshaw, P. Maghoma, J. Makama, O. Schwartau, J. Stacey, Jacob Wright

P. Clement

Team news · injuries & suspensions
Middlesbrough

No reported absences

Norwich
  • OUT A. Ahmed Knee Injury
  • OUT L. Mahovo Ankle Injury
  • OUT M. Topic Knee Injury
  • OUT A. Ahmed Knee Injury
  • OUT L. Mahovo Ankle Injury
  • OUT M. Topic Knee Injury