Championship (England) MISSED 3–1
Sat, Sep 12 · 16:00 · Swansea.com Stadium
Swansea Home
VS
Burnley FC Away
Swansea vs Burnley — Championship
Tipster's pick Under 2.5 Goals
Value Good · 3/5
Odds 1.91 Odds via Bet365
Our estimate54%
This price needs52%
Expert analysis

Low Scoring Trends Shape Swansea Burnley Meeting

Swansea have posted a low rate of high scoring matches at home while maintaining several clean sheets in recent outings. Burnley matches have stayed under the goal line throughout their current campaign with limited attacking output away from home. The head to head record between these sides features few encounters that produced three or more goals. Swansea recent form shows a pattern of controlled games with modest goal returns from their forwards. Burnley defensive vulnerabilities have not translated into open contests given their inconsistent results lately. Injuries to several Swansea defenders could limit transitions but keep the emphasis on compact play. Overall the data points to a tighter contest than either side recent averages might suggest.

AcePredictor Analysis by AcePredictor 73.2% win rate
Result
3–1 MISSED

Our pick “Under 2.5 Goals” at odds 1.91 didn’t land — final score 3–1.

Match timeline
  1. First half
  2. Adam Idah 13'
  3. Moussa Kounfolo Yeo assist Elijah Just 33'
  4. Filip Lissah ↓ Josh Key 45'
  5. Second half
  6. Lucas Pires Silva ↓ Aaron Ramsey 54'
  7. Largie Ramazani assist Igor Júlio 58'
  8. Lucas Pires Silva 59'
  9. Moussa Kounfolo Yeo 59'
  10. Ronald Pereira Martins ↓ Moussa Kounfolo Yeo 64'
  11. Zan Vipotnik ↓ Adam Idah 64'
  12. Jamie Vardy ↓ Ugo Raghouber 65'
  13. Zan Vipotnik assist Ronald Pereira Martins 68'
  14. Filip Lissah 72'
  15. Goncalo Franco ↓ Elijah Just 77'
  16. Andréas Hountondji ↓ Oliver Sonne 82'
  17. Reo Hatate ↓ Zeki Amdouni 82'
  18. Armando Broja ↓ Largie Ramazani 82'
  19. Jay Fulton ↓ Stephen Eustáquio 85'
This season
Swansea Burnley
Over 2.5 goals 17% 0%
Clean sheet 67% 0%
Failed to score 33% 0%
Scored per game 1.3 1.2
Conceded per game 0.7 2.2
Scored home / away 0.7 / 2.0 1.3 / 1.0

Across 6 and 6 matches played this season.

League table position
# Team PWDLPts
2 WES West Ham 6 3 2 1 11
3 SWA Swansea ▲ 6 3 2 1 11
4 QPR QPR 6 3 2 1 11
5 CHA Charlton 6 3 2 1 11
6 MID Middlesbrough 5 3 1 1 10
7 BRI Bristol City 5 3 1 1 10
8 MIL Millwall 5 3 0 2 9
9 NOR Norwich 6 3 0 3 9
10 SHE Sheffield Utd 6 2 3 1 9
11 WOL Wolves 5 2 2 1 8
12 WAT Watford 6 2 2 2 8
13 SOU Southampton 6 3 2 1 7
14 WRE Wrexham 6 1 4 1 7
15 BIR Birmingham 6 1 4 1 7
16 STO Stoke City 6 2 1 3 7
17 POR Portsmouth 5 2 0 3 6
18 BLA Blackburn 6 1 2 3 5
19 LIN Lincoln 5 1 2 2 5
20 CAR Cardiff 6 0 4 2 4
21 BOL Bolton 6 1 1 4 4
22 DER Derby 6 1 1 4 4
23 BUR Burnley ▲ 6 0 3 3 3
24 PRE Preston 6 1 0 5 3
Recent form · last 5 finished matches
Swansea DWWDL
D vs Sheffield Utd 0–0 Aug 22
W @ Derby 3–0 Aug 29
W vs Watford 2–0 Sep 1
D vs Wrexham 0–0 Sep 5
L @ Southampton 1–3 Sep 8
Burnley DLDLD
D @ Bradford 0–0 Aug 26
L @ Norwich 1–4 Aug 29
D vs Middlesbrough 1–1 Sep 2
L vs Bristol City 1–2 Sep 5
D @ Wrexham 1–1 Sep 8
Goals trend · last 5 matches
Swansea
Scored 1.2 avg
0 3 2 0 1
Conceded 0.6 avg
0 0 0 0 3
Burnley
Scored 0.8 avg
0 1 1 1 1
Conceded 1.6 avg
0 4 1 2 1
Head-to-head · last meetings
5 Swansea
0 Draws
5 Burnley FC
Mar 2025 Swansea 0–2 Burnley Burnley
Nov 2024 Burnley 1–0 Swansea Burnley
Jan 2023 Swansea 1–2 Burnley Burnley
Oct 2022 Burnley 4–0 Swansea Burnley
Feb 2018 Swansea 1–0 Burnley Swansea

Over 2.5 goals in 3 of the last 10 meetings.

Confirmed lineups
Swansea 4-2-3-1
  • 22 L. Vigouroux G
  • 2 J. Key D
  • 5 B. Cabango D
  • 23 S. Welsh D
  • 14 J. Tymon D
  • 46 S. Eustáquio M
  • 6 M. Stamenić M
  • 8 E. Just M
  • 7 M. Widell M
  • 49 M. Yeo M
  • 33 A. Idah F
Bench A. Fisher, Gonçalo Franco, J. Fulton, F. Lissah, Joseph Okopu, Tiago Parente, Ronald, J. Seelt, Z. Vipotnik

Vítor Matos

Burnley 4-2-3-1
  • 1 M. Weiß G
  • 22 O. Sonne D
  • 2 K. Walker D
  • 44 Igor D
  • 14 C. Roberts D
  • 8 U. Raghouber M
  • 3 Max Alleyne M
  • 21 A. Ramsey M
  • 29 J. Laurent M
  • 19 L. Ramazani M
  • 11 Z. Amdouni F
Bench J. Vardy, Lucas Pires, A. Hountondji, R. Hatate, H. Ekdal, G. Coudert, L. Castell, A. Broja, A. Ahmedhodžić

N. Hayen

Team news · injuries & suspensions
Swansea
  • OUT C. Burgess Achilles Tendon Injury
  • OUT R. Stewart Injury
  • DOUBT G. Franco Ankle Injury
  • OUT C. Burgess Achilles Tendon Injury
  • OUT R. Stewart Injury
  • DOUBT G. Franco Ankle Injury
Burnley FC
  • OUT E. Agyei Injury
  • OUT J. Banel Injury
  • OUT A. Barnes Injury
  • OUT J. Beyer Hamstring Injury
  • OUT J. Bruun Larsen Injury
  • OUT J. Cullen Knee Injury
  • OUT B. Humphreys Inactive
  • OUT D. Satpaev Hamstring Injury
  • DOUBT H. Mejbri Inactive
  • OUT E. Agyei Injury
  • OUT J. Banel Injury
  • OUT A. Barnes Injury
  • OUT J. Beyer Hamstring Injury
  • OUT J. Bruun Larsen Injury
  • OUT J. Cullen Knee Injury
  • OUT B. Humphreys Inactive
  • OUT D. Satpaev Hamstring Injury
  • DOUBT H. Mejbri Inactive