Primeira Liga WON 1–3
Sat, Sep 12 · 16:30
Nacional Home
VS
Alverca Away
Nacional vs Alverca — Primeira Liga
Tipster's pick Over 2.5 Goals
Value Strong · 4/5
Odds 2.05 Odds via Bet365
Our estimate52%
This price needs49%
Expert analysis

Nacional Alverca Expected to Produce Goals

Nacional’s home matches have seen their attack create more opportunities than their overall average suggests. Alverca’s away form shows they allow opponents space in transition, often leading to open play. The visitors’ recent results include several games where their back line has been stretched thin. Nacional’s sequence of outcomes points to inconsistent defending that could leave gaps for counters. Past meetings between these sides ended with one win each, hinting at competitive balance rather than one-sided control. Alverca’s pattern of mixed results away from home adds to the chance of both teams finding the net multiple times. These elements combine to favor a match with several goals over a low-scoring affair.

AcePredictor Analysis by AcePredictor 73.2% win rate
Result
1–3 WON

Our pick “Over 2.5 Goals” at odds 2.05 won — final score 1–3.

Match timeline
  1. First half
  2. Yaya Bojang 18'
  3. Francisco Chissumba assist Francisco Chiquinho 34'
  4. Dawda Camara Sankharé assist Diogo Spencer 36'
  5. Dawda Camara Sankharé assist Diogo Spencer 42'
  6. Matchoi Djaló ↓ Daniel de Melo Araujo Junior 45'
  7. Song Min-kyu ↓ Markus Jensen 45'
  8. Second half
  9. Dawda Camara Sankharé 48'
  10. Chiheb Labidi ↓ Matheus dos Santos Dias 54'
  11. Matheus Franca ↓ Francisco Chiquinho 65'
  12. André Vidigal ↓ Lucas Figueiredo dos Santos 66'
  13. Allen Obando ↓ Stavros Gavriel 69'
  14. Vivaldo Semedo ↓ Dawda Camara Sankharé 72'
  15. Diogo Spencer 73'
  16. Fernando Nava Ortega ↓ Pablo Ruan 78'
  17. Rayan Lucas ↓ Davy Gui 79'
  18. Cedric Nuozzi ↓ Isaac James 79'
  19. Matchoi Djaló 81'
This season
Nacional Alverca
Over 2.5 goals 0% 0%
Clean sheet 20% 0%
Failed to score 40% 20%
Scored per game 1.2 1.0
Conceded per game 1.6 2.0
Scored home / away 2.0 / 0.7 1.3 / 0.5

Across 5 and 5 matches played this season.

League table position
# Team PWDLPts
11 VIT Vitória SC 5 1 1 3 4
12 NAC Nacional ▲ 5 1 1 3 4
13 MOR Moreirense 5 1 1 3 4
14 FAM Famalicao 5 0 3 2 3
15 RIO Rio Ave 5 1 0 4 3
16 EST Estoril 5 0 2 3 2
17 ALV Alverca ▲ 5 0 2 3 2
18 CAS Casa Pia 5 0 1 4 1
Recent form · last 5 finished matches
Nacional DWLLL
D @ Santa Clara 2–2 Aug 10
W vs Estoril 2–0 Aug 16
L @ Vitória SC 0–1 Aug 23
L vs Estrela 2–3 Aug 30
L @ Sporting CP 0–2 Sep 5
Alverca LDLDL
L @ FC Porto 0–2 Aug 9
D vs Estrela 2–2 Aug 15
L @ Sporting CP 1–3 Aug 22
D vs Santa Clara 1–1 Aug 29
L vs SC Braga 1–2 Sep 5
Goals trend · last 5 matches
Nacional
Scored 1.2 avg
2 2 0 2 0
Conceded 1.6 avg
2 0 1 3 2
Alverca
Scored 1.0 avg
0 2 1 1 1
Conceded 2.0 avg
2 2 3 1 2
Head-to-head · last meetings
1 Nacional
0 Draws
1 Alverca
Apr 2026 Nacional 1–0 Alverca Nacional
Dec 2025 Alverca 1–0 Nacional Alverca

Over 2.5 goals in 0 of the last 2 meetings.

Confirmed lineups
Nacional 3-4-3
  • 1 Renato Bellucci G
  • 33 Francisco Gonçalves D
  • 6 Matheus Dias M
  • 38 Zé Vitor D
  • 52 Wesley Gasolina D
  • 7 M. Jensen F
  • 8 Miguel Baeza M
  • 21 W. Kokolo D
  • 11 S. Gavriel F
  • 99 Pablo Ruan F
  • 10 junior daniel M
Bench Deivison, Daniel cruz la de, Kevyn, Mateus Iseppe, F. Nava, A. Obando, C. Labidi, Matchoi Djaló, João Gonçalves, Ivanildo Fernandes, Joel da Silva, Song Min-Kyu

Alexandre Santos

Alverca 3-4-3
  • 31 Matheus Mendes G
  • 4 Y. Bojang D
  • 21 Sergi Gómez D
  • 12 I. James D
  • 20 Diogo Filipe Spencer Marques D
  • 6 D. Gui M
  • 25 Ian Luccas M
  • 55 Francisco Chissumba D
  • 10 Chiquinho F
  • 19 D. Camara F
  • 22 Figueiredo F
Bench I. Julian, Z. Kassary, Matheus França, jr samy merheg, C. Nuozzi, André Paulo, Rayan, Vivaldo Semedo, Toni Tamarit, André Vidigal, Zé Rafael, Jhonatan

Sérgio Ferreira