Premier League MISSED 0–5
Sun, Sep 13 · 15:00 · Coventry Building Society Arena
Coventry Home
VS
Brighton Away
Coventry vs Brighton — Premier League
Tipster's pick Coventry or Draw
Value Strong · 4/5
Odds 2.00 Odds via Bet365
Our estimate52%
This price needs50%
Expert analysis

Coventry or Draw the value call in Coventry vs Brighton

Our statistical model makes Coventry or Draw the standout selection for Coventry against Brighton in the Premier League. The numbers put this outcome at roughly 61%, noticeably above what the bookmaker price implies once the margin is stripped out. Season scoring rates project around 2.0 goals for Coventry and 2.0 for Brighton here. When the model and the market disagree by this much, the model side of the argument is the one we back.

AcePredictor Analysis by AcePredictor 73.2% win rate
Result
0–5 MISSED

Our pick “Coventry or Draw” at odds 2.00 didn’t land — final score 0–5.

Match timeline
  1. First half
  2. Charalampos Kostoulas assist Pascal Groß 35'
  3. Second half
  4. Malick Yalcouyé assist Maxim De Cuyper 51'
  5. Taiwo Awoniyi 53'
  6. Sidiki Cherif ↓ Ephron Mason-Clark 60'
  7. Chema Andrés ↓ Malick Yalcouyé 65'
  8. Pascal Groß Penalty 70'
  9. Brandon Thomas-Asante ↓ Jack Rudoni 73'
  10. Caleb Yirenkyi ↓ Frank Onyeka 73'
  11. Ibrahim Osman ↓ Olivier Boscagli 78'
  12. Pascal Struijk ↓ Luka Vuskovic 78'
  13. Lewis Dunk assist Chema Andrés 83'
  14. Victor Torp ↓ Matt Grimes 84'
  15. Matt O'Riley ↓ Charalampos Kostoulas 84'
  16. Costinha ↓ Diego Gomez 84'
  17. Yasin Ayari assist Pascal Groß 90+4'
This season
Coventry Brighton
Over 2.5 goals 0% 67%
Clean sheet 0% 33%
Failed to score 100% 0%
Scored per game 0.0 2.7
Conceded per game 1.7 1.7
Scored home / away 0.0 / 0.0 2.5 / 3.0

Across 3 and 3 matches played this season.

League table position
# Team PWDLPts
9 LEE Leeds 3 1 2 0 5
10 BRI Brighton ▲ 3 1 1 1 4
11 MAN Manchester United 3 1 1 1 4
12 SUN Sunderland 3 1 1 1 4
13 CRY Crystal Palace 3 1 0 2 3
14 IPS Ipswich 3 1 0 2 3
15 BOU Bournemouth 3 0 2 1 2
16 NOT Nottingham Forest 3 0 2 1 2
17 AST Aston Villa 3 0 1 2 1
18 TOT Tottenham 3 0 1 2 1
19 FUL Fulham 3 0 0 3 0
20 COV Coventry ▲ 3 0 0 3 0
Recent form · last 5 finished matches
Coventry WLWLL
W vs Monaco 2–0 Aug 14
L @ Arsenal 0–3 Aug 21
W @ Plymouth 4–2 Aug 25
L vs Hull City 0–1 Aug 29
L @ Manchester City 0–1 Sep 5
Brighton DWWLD
D @ Tromso 0–0 Aug 20
W vs Aston Villa 4–0 Aug 23
W vs Tromso 4–0 Aug 27
L @ Chelsea 3–4 Aug 30
D vs Leeds 1–1 Sep 5
Goals trend · last 5 matches
Coventry
Scored 1.2 avg
2 0 4 0 0
Conceded 1.4 avg
0 3 2 1 1
Brighton
Scored 2.4 avg
0 4 4 3 1
Conceded 1.0 avg
0 0 0 4 1
Head-to-head · last meetings
1 Coventry
0 Draws
2 Brighton
Feb 2018 Brighton 3–1 Coventry Brighton
Dec 2011 Coventry 2–0 Brighton Coventry
Nov 2011 Brighton 2–1 Coventry Brighton

Over 2.5 goals in 2 of the last 3 meetings.

Confirmed lineups
Coventry 3-4-2-1
  • 19 C. Rushworth G
  • 24 A. Amenda D
  • 4 B. Thomas D
  • 2 E. Pinnock D
  • 27 M. van Ewijk M
  • 16 F. Onyeka M
  • 6 M. Grimes M
  • 3 J. Dasilva M
  • 5 J. Rudoni M
  • 10 E. Mason-Clark M
  • 14 T. Awoniyi F
Bench S. Cherif, B. Thomas-Asante, G. Hamer, D. Bentley, S. Mfuni, T. Sakamoto, Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi, L. Tchaouna, V. Torp

F. Lampard

Brighton 4-2-3-1
  • 1 B. Verbruggen G
  • 24 F. Kadıoğlu D
  • 44 L. Vušković D
  • 5 L. Dunk D
  • 21 O. Boscagli D
  • 13 P. Groß M
  • 26 Y. Ayari M
  • 25 D. Gómez M
  • 35 M. Yalcouyé M
  • 29 M. De Cuyper M
  • 19 C. Kostoulas F
Bench J. Hadjam, P. Struijk, Costinha, José María Andrés Baixauli, I. Osman, M. O'Riley, J. Steele, P. David, Y. Ibrahim

F. Hürzeler

Team news · injuries & suspensions
Coventry
  • OUT J. Eccles Injury
  • OUT K. Kesler-Hayden Muscle Injury
  • OUT L. Woolfenden Knee Injury
  • OUT H. Wright Muscle Injury
  • OUT J. Eccles Injury
  • OUT K. Kesler-Hayden Muscle Injury
  • OUT L. Woolfenden Knee Injury
  • OUT H. Wright Muscle Injury
Brighton
  • OUT E. Ferguson Ankle Injury
  • OUT J. Hinshelwood Injury
  • OUT Y. Minteh Injury
  • OUT K. Mitoma Hamstring Injury
  • OUT M. Svoboda Injury
  • OUT S. Tzimas Knee Injury
  • OUT M. Wieffer Knee Injury
  • OUT Z. Yohanna Lacking Match Fitness
  • OUT E. Ferguson Ankle Injury
  • OUT J. Hinshelwood Injury
  • OUT Y. Minteh Injury
  • OUT K. Mitoma Hamstring Injury
  • OUT M. Svoboda Injury
  • OUT S. Tzimas Knee Injury
  • OUT M. Wieffer Knee Injury
  • OUT Z. Yohanna Lacking Match Fitness