Europa League PENDING
Thu, Sep 17 · 21:00 · Besiktas Park
Beşiktaş Home
VS
Marseille Away
Beşiktaş vs Marseille — UEFA Europa League
Tipster's pick Over 2.5 Goals
Value Fair · 2/5
Odds 1.62 Odds via Bet365
Our estimate62%
This price needs62%
Expert analysis

Over 2.5 Goals the value call in Beşiktaş vs Marseille

Our statistical model makes Over 2.5 Goals the standout selection for Beşiktaş against Marseille in the UEFA Europa League. The numbers put this outcome at roughly 61%, noticeably above what the bookmaker price implies once the margin is stripped out. Season scoring rates project around 2.0 goals for Beşiktaş and 1.1 for Marseille here. When the model and the market disagree by this much, the model side of the argument is the one we back.

AcePredictor Analysis by AcePredictor 72.7% win rate
This season
Beşiktaş Marseille
Over 2.5 goals 17% —
Clean sheet 83% —
Failed to score 17% —
Scored per game 1.3 0.0
Conceded per game 0.2 0.0
Scored home / away 1.7 / 1.0 0.0 / 0.0

Across 6 and 0 matches played this season.

League table position
# Team PWDLPts
4 BEN Benfica 0 0 0 0 0
5 BEI Beşiktaş ▲ 0 0 0 0 0
6 BOU Bournemouth 0 0 0 0 0
7 CEL Celje 0 0 0 0 0
8 CEL Celta Vigo 0 0 0 0 0
9 CEL Celtic 0 0 0 0 0
10 CRY Crystal Palace 0 0 0 0 0
11 FER Ferencvarosi TC 0 0 0 0 0
12 DIN Dinamo Zagreb 0 0 0 0 0
13 HAP Hapoel Beer Sheva 0 0 0 0 0
14 HOF 1899 Hoffenheim 0 0 0 0 0
15 JAG Jagiellonia 0 0 0 0 0
16 JUV Juventus 0 0 0 0 0
17 LEC Lech Poznan 0 0 0 0 0
18 BAY Bayer Leverkusen 0 0 0 0 0
19 LEV Levski Sofia 0 0 0 0 0
20 LIL Lillestrom 0 0 0 0 0
21 LYO Lyon 0 0 0 0 0
22 MAR Marseille ▲ 0 0 0 0 0
23 ACM AC Milan 0 0 0 0 0
Recent form · last 5 finished matches
Beşiktaş LLWWW
L @ Alanyaspor 0–1 Aug 23
L @ Kauno Žalgiris 0–1 Aug 27
W vs Çorum FK 6–2 Aug 31
W @ Fenerbahçe 2–1 Sep 5
W vs Erzurumspor FK 3–0 Sep 11
Marseille LWLLL
L vs Atletico Madrid 1–2 Aug 14
W vs Strasbourg 4–0 Aug 21
L @ Monaco 0–2 Aug 30
L vs Paris FC 2–3 Sep 6
L @ Rennes 0–1 Sep 11
Goals trend · last 5 matches
Beşiktaş
Scored 2.2 avg
0 0 6 2 3
Conceded 1.0 avg
1 1 2 1 0
Marseille
Scored 1.4 avg
1 4 0 2 0
Conceded 1.6 avg
2 0 2 3 1
Team news · injuries & suspensions
Beşiktaş
  • OUT C. Keles Off the roster
  • OUT M. Rashica Off the roster
  • OUT R. Yilmaz Inactive
  • OUT C. Keles Off the roster
  • OUT M. Rashica Off the roster
  • OUT R. Yilmaz Inactive
Marseille
  • OUT G. Kondogbia Injury
  • OUT A. Koum Mbondo Inactive
  • OUT T. Nnadi Injury
  • OUT G. Kondogbia Injury
  • OUT A. Koum Mbondo Inactive
  • OUT T. Nnadi Injury