Bundesliga (Austria) PENDING
Sun, Sep 20 · 14:30 · Innviertel Arena
Ried Home
VS
Wolfsberger AC Away
Ried vs Wolfsberger AC — Bundesliga
Tipster's pick Draw or Wolfsberger
Value Strong · 4/5
Odds 1.91 Odds via Bet365
Our estimate57%
This price needs52%
Expert analysis

Draw or Wolfsberger the value call in Ried vs Wolfsberger AC

Our statistical model makes Draw or Wolfsberger the standout selection for Ried against Wolfsberger AC in the Bundesliga. The numbers put this outcome at roughly 61%, noticeably above what the bookmaker price implies once the margin is stripped out. Season scoring rates project around 1.0 goals for Ried and 0.8 for Wolfsberger AC here. When the model and the market disagree by this much, the model side of the argument is the one we back.

AcePredictor Analysis by AcePredictor 71.3% win rate
This season
Ried Wolfsberger AC
Over 2.5 goals 0% 17%
Clean sheet 17% 33%
Failed to score 0% 33%
Scored per game 1.2 1.0
Conceded per game 1.8 1.5
Scored home / away 1.0 / 1.3 1.3 / 0.5

Across 6 and 6 matches played this season.

League table position
# Team PWDLPts
8 AUS Austria Vienna 6 2 0 4 6
9 WOL Wolfsberger AC ▲ 6 1 2 3 5
10 RIE Ried ▲ 6 1 2 3 5
11 AUS Austria Lustenau 6 1 2 3 5
Recent form · last 5 finished matches
Ried LWLWD
L @ Lask Linz 1–4 Aug 14
W vs Grazer AK 1–0 Aug 21
L @ TSV Hartberg 2–3 Aug 30
W @ Wallern / Marienkirchen 5–1 Sep 4
D vs Red Bull Salzburg 1–1 Sep 11
Wolfsberger AC LDLDL
L @ Austria Lustenau 1–2 Aug 15
D @ Grazer AK 0–0 Aug 29
L vs Lask Linz 1–3 Sep 1
D @ Parndorf 2–2 Sep 6
L vs Rapid Vienna 0–3 Sep 12
Goals trend · last 5 matches
Ried
Scored 2.0 avg
1 1 2 5 1
Conceded 1.8 avg
4 0 3 1 1
Wolfsberger AC
Scored 0.8 avg
1 0 1 2 0
Conceded 2.0 avg
2 0 3 2 3
Head-to-head · last meetings
4 Ried
2 Draws
4 Wolfsberger AC
May 2026 Ried 2–1 Wolfsberger AC Ried
May 2026 Ried 0–1 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC
Apr 2026 Wolfsberger AC 0–0 Ried Draw
Nov 2025 Ried 1–0 Wolfsberger AC Ried
Oct 2025 Wolfsberger AC 1–2 Ried Ried

Over 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 10 meetings.