FA Cup PENDING
Sat, Sep 19 · 16:00
Merthyr Town Home
VS
Truro City Away
Merthyr Town vs Truro City — FA Cup
Tipster's pick Under 2.5 Goals
Value Fair · 2/5
Odds 1.90 Odds via Bet365
Our estimate53%
This price needs53%
Expert analysis

Defensive Approach Favors Low Goal Total

Merthyr Town have kept games tight by conceding less than a goal per match on average while scoring at a modest rate. Truro City create more chances away from home but still face organized back lines that restrict open play. Past meetings between the sides show a balanced record with neither team dominating possession or attacking transitions. The FA Cup setting often leads both sides to prioritize structure over risky forward moves in the early rounds. Recent goal trends indicate fewer high tempo exchanges when these teams meet away from league routines. Squad depth for both clubs favors players who maintain shape rather than chase individual brilliance.

AcePredictor Analysis by AcePredictor 72.2% win rate
This season
Merthyr Town Truro City
Over 2.5 goals
Clean sheet
Failed to score
Scored per game 0.0 0.0
Conceded per game 0.0 0.0
Scored home / away 0.0 / 0.0 0.0 / 0.0
Recent form · last 5 finished matches
Merthyr Town DLWWD
D vs Chorley 1–1 Aug 29
L @ Buxton 1–2 Aug 31
W vs Macclesfield 2–1 Sep 5
W @ Chester 1–0 Sep 8
D @ Scarborough Athletic 0–0 Sep 12
Truro City LWWDL
L @ Dorking Wanderers 0–1 Aug 31
W vs Chesham United 3–1 Sep 5
W vs Leicester City U21 4–1 Sep 8
D vs Walton & Hersham 1–1 Sep 12
L vs Salisbury 0–1 Sep 15
Goals trend · last 5 matches
Merthyr Town
Scored 1.0 avg
1 1 2 1 0
Conceded 0.8 avg
1 2 1 0 0
Truro City
Scored 1.6 avg
0 3 4 1 0
Conceded 1.0 avg
1 1 1 1 1
Head-to-head · last meetings
2 Merthyr Town
1 Draws
2 Truro City
Mar 2023 Merthyr Town 2–1 Truro City Merthyr Town
Jan 2023 Truro City 0–0 Merthyr Town Draw
Sep 2022 Merthyr Town 5–2 Truro City Merthyr Town
Mar 2022 Truro City 3–1 Merthyr Town Truro City
Nov 2021 Merthyr Town 1–3 Truro City Truro City

Over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 meetings.