Major League Soccer MISSED 0–3
Thu, Oct 1 · 01:30 · Sports Illustrated Stadium
New York Red Bulls Home
VS
St. Louis City Away
New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis City — Major League Soccer
Tipster's pick New York Red Bulls +1.5
Confidence Low
Odds 1.40 Odds via Bet365
Expert analysis

Red Bulls to stay within reach of St. Louis

St. Louis City enter with four wins in their last five matches and a strong attack that averages three goals a game. Their away scoring drops to 1.3 per match though, while New York Red Bulls concede 1.9 at home. Several St. Louis players miss out with knee, hip and ankle issues that limit their options in attack. New York Red Bulls sit eighth after two wins in five but keep games close at Sports Illustrated Stadium. Head-to-head results show one win each and two draws in the last three meetings. Both sides see three or more goals in exactly 14 of their 26 league games so far. St. Louis will push forward early but New York Red Bulls can limit the damage with a compact defensive shape.

AcePredictor Analysis by AcePredictor 68% win rate
Result
0–3 MISSED

Our pick “New York Red Bulls +1.5” at odds 1.40 didn’t land — final score 0–3.

Match timeline
  1. First half
  2. Rafael Navarro Leal assist Conrad Wallem 5'
  3. Timo Baumgartl 35'
  4. Second half
  5. Connor Faello ↓ Devin Padelford 63'
  6. Pedro Castro ↓ Jorge Ruvalcaba 64'
  7. Simon Becher ↓ Alexandru Măţan 71'
  8. Sang-bin Jung ↓ Carlo Holse 71'
  9. Nate Worth ↓ Sekou Kone 84'
  10. Lukas MacNaughton ↓ Daniel Edelman 85'
  11. Tomas Ostrak ↓ Rafael Navarro Leal 85'
  12. Emil Forsberg 86'
  13. Andy Rojas Maroto ↓ Mohammed Sofo 87'
  14. Robert Voloder ↓ Tim Parker 87'
  15. Simon Becher assist Christopher Durkin 87'
  16. Tomas Ostrak 90+1'
This season
New York Red Bulls St. Louis City
Over 2.5 goals 54% 54%
Clean sheet 15% 12%
Failed to score 27% 15%
Scored per game 1.3 1.7
Conceded per game 1.8 1.4
Scored home / away 1.5 / 1.1 2.2 / 1.3

Across 26 and 26 matches played this season.

League table position
# Team PWDLPts
7 ORL Orlando City SC 27 10 4 13 34
8 NEW New York Red Bulls ▲ 26 9 6 11 33
9 NEW New York City FC 27 8 9 10 33
Recent form · last 5 finished matches
New York Red Bulls LDLWW
L vs Philadelphia Union 1–3 Aug 29
D @ Seattle Sounders 0–0 Sep 6
L @ Los Angeles FC 0–2 Sep 10
W @ Columbus Crew 1–0 Sep 12
W @ New York City FC 1–0 Sep 18
St. Louis City WDWWW
W @ Vancouver Whitecaps 3–1 Sep 6
D @ Portland Timbers 2–2 Sep 10
W vs Minnesota United FC 4–2 Sep 13
W @ Colorado Rapids 3–0 Sep 17
W vs Toronto FC 3–1 Sep 20
Goals trend · last 5 matches
New York Red Bulls
Scored 0.6 avg
1 0 0 1 1
Conceded 1.0 avg
3 0 2 0 0
St. Louis City
Scored 3.0 avg
3 2 4 3 3
Conceded 1.2 avg
1 2 2 0 1
Head-to-head · last meetings
1 New York Red Bulls
1 Draws
1 St. Louis City
Jan 2026 New York Red Bulls 3–1 St. Louis City New York Red Bulls
Jan 2025 New York Red Bulls 0–1 St. Louis City St. Louis City
Feb 2024 St. Louis City 2–2 New York Red Bulls Draw

Over 2.5 goals in 2 of the last 3 meetings.

Confirmed lineups
New York Red Bulls 4-3-3
  • 34 E. Horvath G
  • 12 D. Nealis D
  • 14 J. Bazán D
  • 26 T. Parker D
  • 59 D. Padelford D
  • 37 M. Sofo M
  • 60 S. Kone M
  • 10 E. Forsberg M
  • 11 J. Ruvalcaba F
  • 13 E. Choupo-Moting F
  • 7 C. Cowell F
Bench C. Faello, Pedro Henrique Severiano Castro, N. Worth, R. Voloder, T. Rosborough, A. Rojas, J. McCarthy

Michael Bradley

St. Louis City 3-4-3
  • 1 R. Bürki G
  • 21 D. Polvara D
  • 32 T. Baumgartl D
  • 27 F. Fall D
  • 6 C. Wallem M
  • 8 C. Durkin M
  • 24 D. Edelman M
  • 14 T. Totland M
  • 19 C. Holse F
  • 9 Rafael Navarro F
  • 23 A. Mățan F
Bench M. Perez, Rafael Santos, S. Becher, Jeong Sang-Bin, M. Joyner, B. Lundt, L. MacNaughton, J. Orozco, T. Ostrák

Y. Damet

Team news · injuries & suspensions
New York Red Bulls
  • OUT R. Donkor International duty
  • OUT M. Dos Santos International duty
  • OUT J. Hall International duty
  • OUT M. Jimenez International duty
  • OUT A. Mehmeti International duty
  • OUT R. Mosquera International duty
  • OUT D. Ruiz International duty
  • OUT O. Valencia International duty
  • DOUBT J. Che Ankle Injury
  • DOUBT A. Marcucci Knee Injury
  • DOUBT J. Marshall-Rutty Hamstring Injury
  • OUT R. Donkor International duty
  • OUT M. Dos Santos International duty
  • OUT J. Hall International duty
  • OUT M. Jimenez International duty
  • OUT A. Mehmeti International duty
  • OUT R. Mosquera International duty
  • OUT D. Ruiz International duty
  • OUT O. Valencia International duty
  • DOUBT J. Che Ankle Injury
  • DOUBT A. Marcucci Knee Injury
  • DOUBT J. Marshall-Rutty Hamstring Injury
St. Louis City
  • OUT Celio Pompeu Knee Injury
  • OUT D. Downs International duty
  • DOUBT K. Hiebert Hip Injury
  • OUT Celio Pompeu Knee Injury
  • OUT D. Downs International duty
  • DOUBT K. Hiebert Hip Injury