Expert analysis

Blackburn Set to Avoid Defeat Against Cardiff

Blackburn hold a higher league position than Cardiff after eight matches. Their home scoring rate stands at 1.8 goals a game while they concede 1.5. Cardiff arrive with just one win in five and score only 0.8 goals per away fixture. In the last ten meetings Blackburn have taken six wins and two draws. Most of Blackburn’s home games this season have seen both teams score and over 2.5 goals. Cardiff have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their eight league outings so far. The main risk to a Blackburn or draw outcome remains Cardiff’s recent away form.

Analysis by AcePredictor 68.1% win rate

Result

2–1 WON

Our pick “Blackburn or Draw” at odds 1.50 won — final score 2–1.

Match timeline

First half
Andri Guðjohnsen 28'
Todd Cantwell assist Ryoya Morishita 38'
Second half
Callum Robinson assist Jack Moylan 53'
Christopher Willock ↓ C. Ashford 60'
Moussa·Baradji ↓ Andri Guðjohnsen 63'
J. Fevrier ↓ Ryoya Morishita 64'
David Turnbull ↓ Joel Colwill 71'
Isaak Davies ↓ Callum Robinson 71'
Augustus Kargbo ↓ Oladapo Afolayan 74'
Ronan Kpakio ↓ Joel Bagan 78'
Calum Scanlon ↓ Dylan Lawlor 78'
Jake Garrett ↓ Kristi Montgomery 83'
Todd Cantwell 90+6'

This season

	Blackburn	Cardiff
Over 2.5 goals	88%	50%
Clean sheet	13%	0%
Failed to score	13%	25%
Scored per game	1.5	1.3
Conceded per game	1.5	1.5
Scored home / away	1.8 / 1.3	1.8 / 0.8

Across 8 and 8 matches played this season.

League table position

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Pts
15	BOL Bolton	8	3	1	4	10
16	BLA Blackburn ▲	8	2	3	3	9
17	NOR Norwich	8	3	0	5	9
18	SHE Sheffield Utd	8	2	3	3	9
19	POR Portsmouth	7	2	2	3	8
20	WAT Watford	8	2	2	4	8
21	CAR Cardiff ▲	8	1	4	3	7
22	DER Derby	8	1	2	5	5

Recent form · last 5 finished matches

Blackburn DLLWD

D @ Lincoln 0–0 Sep 1

L @ Preston 1–2 Sep 5

L vs Sheffield Utd 1–2 Sep 8

W vs Millwall 3–1 Sep 12

D @ Portsmouth 2–2 Sep 19

Cardiff LLDLW

L @ QPR 1–2 Sep 2

L @ Portsmouth 0–2 Sep 5

D vs Stoke City 1–1 Sep 8

L @ Bolton 0–1 Sep 12

W vs Charlton 3–1 Sep 19

Goals trend · last 5 matches

Blackburn

Scored 1.4 avg

0 1 1 3 2

Conceded 1.4 avg

0 2 2 1 2

Cardiff

Scored 1.0 avg

1 0 1 0 3

Conceded 1.4 avg

2 2 1 1 1

Head-to-head · last meetings

6 Blackburn

2 Draws

2 Cardiff

Mar 2025 Blackburn 1–2 Cardiff Cardiff

Nov 2024 Cardiff 1–3 Blackburn Blackburn

Feb 2024 Cardiff 0–0 Blackburn Draw

Oct 2023 Blackburn 1–0 Cardiff Blackburn

Sep 2023 Blackburn 5–2 Cardiff Blackburn

Over 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 10 meetings.

Confirmed lineups

Blackburn 5-4-1

22 B. Tóth G
2 R. Alebiosu D
8 Sam Morsy D
17 H. Carter D
15 S. McLoughlin D
3 H. Pickering D
25 R. Morishita M
10 T. Cantwell M
31 Kristi Montgomery M
21 O. Afolayan M
9 A. Guðjohnsen F

Bench Tom Atcheson, M. Baradji, Gady Beyuku, D. De Neve, J. Fevrier, J. Garrett, A. Kargbo, A. Pears, H. Pates

Tony Mowbray

Cardiff 4-2-3-1

1 N. Trott G
38 P. Ng D
4 G. Osho D
48 D. Lawlor D
3 J. Bagan D
18 A. Robertson M
27 J. Colwill M
11 O. Tanner M
8 J. Moylan M
45 Cian Ashford M
47 C. Robinson F

Bench R. Kpakio, P. Moreno, C. Scanlon, D. Turnbull, H. Tyrer, C. Willock, W. Fish, I. Davies, Charlie Holt

B. Barry-Murphy

Team news · injuries & suspensions

Blackburn

OUT A. Forshaw Hip Injury
OUT M. Jorgensen Hamstring Injury
OUT M. Litherland Muscle Injury
OUT L. Miller Achilles Tendon Injury
OUT Y. Ohashi Hamstring Injury
OUT Y. Ribeiro Hamstring Injury
DOUBT A. Kargbo Muscle Injury
DOUBT S. Wharton Achilles Tendon Injury
OUT A. Forshaw Hip Injury
OUT M. Jorgensen Hamstring Injury
OUT M. Litherland Muscle Injury
OUT L. Miller Achilles Tendon Injury
OUT Y. Ohashi Hamstring Injury
OUT Y. Ribeiro Hamstring Injury
DOUBT A. Kargbo Muscle Injury
DOUBT S. Wharton Achilles Tendon Injury

Cardiff

OUT K. Bielik Suspended
OUT C. Chambers Knee Injury
OUT R. Colwill Health problems
DOUBT I. Davies Muscle Injury
DOUBT W. Fish Hernia
OUT K. Bielik Suspended
OUT C. Chambers Knee Injury
OUT R. Colwill Health problems
DOUBT I. Davies Muscle Injury
DOUBT W. Fish Hernia