Expert analysis

Bolton Home Stand Looks Solid Against Stoke

Bolton sit at home with a record of scoring 1.3 goals a game while conceding the same amount this season. Stoke have managed just 1.3 goals a game on their travels and let in 2.3 per match away from home. The head-to-head shows two draws in the last seven meetings between these sides. Bolton enter this match after two wins in their last five games while Stoke have drawn one of their last five. Stoke sit seventh in the table after eight matches but their away form has been less secure than their overall record suggests. The evenly matched pre-match view points to a tight contest where Bolton could avoid defeat. A low-scoring game at the Toughsheet Community Stadium may hinge on whether Stoke can break down Bolton’s home defence.

Analysis by AcePredictor 68.1% win rate

Result

1–2 MISSED

Our pick “Bolton or Draw” at odds 1.53 didn’t land — final score 1–2.

Match timeline

First half
Maksym Taloverov 20'
Jack Mcglynn 34'
Luca Bombino ↓ Justin Devenny 45'
Atsuki Ito ↓ Ethan Erhahon 45'
Lamine Cissé assist Ethan Galbraith 45+4'
Second half
Jayden Nelson ↓ Thierry Gale 56'
Samuel Iling ↓ Kyliane Dong 56'
Ben Wilmot assist Jack Mcglynn 62'
Ryan Hardie ↓ Ruben Rodrigues 63'
Bosun Lawal ↓ El Hadji Soumare 69'
George Hirst ↓ Lamine Cissé 69'
Junior Tchamadeu ↓ Jack Mcglynn 69'
Max Conway 72'
Thelonius Bair ↓ Ben Davies 82'
Thelonius Bair assist Gaizka Larrazabal 90+2'

This season

	Bolton	Stoke City
Over 2.5 goals	63%	75%
Clean sheet	25%	25%
Failed to score	38%	0%
Scored per game	1.4	1.6
Conceded per game	1.9	1.5
Scored home / away	1.3 / 1.5	2.0 / 1.3

Across 8 and 8 matches played this season.

League table position

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Pts
6	QPR QPR	8	3	4	1	13
7	STO Stoke City ▲	8	4	1	3	13
8	BRI Bristol City	8	4	1	3	13
9	CHA Charlton	8	3	3	2	12
10	BIR Birmingham	8	2	5	1	11
11	MIL Millwall	8	3	2	3	11
12	LIN Lincoln	8	3	2	3	11
13	SOU Southampton	8	4	2	2	10
14	WRE Wrexham	8	2	4	2	10
15	BOL Bolton ▲	8	3	1	4	10
16	BLA Blackburn	8	2	3	3	9

Recent form · last 5 finished matches

Bolton LLLWW

L @ Sheffield Utd 2–3 Sep 1

L @ Millwall 0–4 Sep 5

L vs West Ham 2–3 Sep 8

W vs Cardiff 1–0 Sep 12

W @ Norwich 4–3 Sep 20

Stoke City WWDWW

W vs Norwich 1–0 Sep 1

W vs Charlton 4–0 Sep 5

D @ Cardiff 1–1 Sep 8

W @ Watford 2–1 Sep 12

W vs Sheffield Utd 2–1 Sep 19

Goals trend · last 5 matches

Bolton

Scored 1.8 avg

2 0 2 1 4

Conceded 2.6 avg

3 4 3 0 3

Stoke City

Scored 2.0 avg

1 4 1 2 2

Conceded 0.6 avg

0 0 1 1 1

Head-to-head · last meetings

2 Bolton

2 Draws

3 Stoke City

Jul 2024 Bolton 0–1 Stoke City Stoke City

Dec 2018 Bolton 0–0 Stoke City Draw

Oct 2018 Stoke City 2–0 Bolton Stoke City

May 2012 Stoke City 2–2 Bolton Draw

Nov 2011 Bolton 5–0 Stoke City Bolton

Over 2.5 goals in 3 of the last 7 meetings.

Confirmed lineups

Bolton 4-2-3-1

31 G. Bazunu G
22 Gaizka Larrazabal D
18 E. Toal D
6 B. Davies D
25 M. Conway D
8 J. Sheehan M
21 E. Erhahon M
7 K. Dong M
20 Ruben Rodrigues M
11 T. Gale M
10 S. Dalby F

Bench J. Nelson, X. Simons, T. Bair, J. Bonham, L. Brunt, A. Famewo, R. Hardie, S. Iling-Junior, A. Ito

S. Schumacher

Stoke City 3-4-3

1 V. Johansson G
16 B. Wilmot D
40 M. Talovierov D
5 L. Graham D
2 B. Johnson M
27 El Hadji Djibril Soumaré M
8 E. Galbraith M
17 E. Bocat M
13 J. Devenny F
11 L. Cissé F
7 J. McGlynn F

Bench L. Bombino, R. Boženík, J. Griffiths, G. Hirst, B. Lawal, M. Manhoef, B. Pearson, J. Tchamadeu, Bae Jun-Ho

M. Robins

Team news · injuries & suspensions

Bolton

OUT C. Forino-Joseph Groin Injury
DOUBT L. Brunt Hamstring Injury
OUT C. Forino-Joseph Groin Injury
DOUBT L. Brunt Hamstring Injury

Stoke City

OUT A. Cresswell Knee Injury
OUT S. Ingelsson Muscle Injury
DOUBT J. McGlynn Inactive
OUT A. Cresswell Knee Injury
OUT S. Ingelsson Muscle Injury
DOUBT J. McGlynn Inactive