Expert analysis

Southampton Home Attack Faces Open Portsmouth Defence

Southampton score 2.4 goals a game overall and 3.8 at home while keeping no clean sheets in eight league matches. Both teams have scored in every one of those games, with three or more total goals in six of them. Portsmouth average just 1.3 goals scored on the road and have managed only one win in their last five outings. Their two clean sheets this season came away from St Mary’s, where they concede 1.0 per game. Head to head records show four draws in the last five meetings but two of those five produced at least three goals. Southampton sit four places above Portsmouth and enter with two wins in their last five games. The game may turn on whether Portsmouth can keep their recent low-scoring pattern against a side that creates chances at home.

Analysis by AcePredictor 68.1% win rate

Result

1–0 MISSED

Our pick “Over 2.5 Goals” at odds 1.67 didn’t land — final score 1–0.

Match timeline

First half
James Bree assist Finn Azaz 20'
Cameron Bragg 32'
Ebou Adams 34'
Cameron Bragg 44'
Adrian Segecic ↓ Ryan Kavuma-McQueen 45'
Second half
Cyle Larin 51'
Finn Azaz 53'
Jayden Meghoma 53'
Kuryu Matsuki ↓ Léo Scienza 57'
Odin Bailey ↓ Ebou Adams 65'
Terry Devlin ↓ Jayden Meghoma 65'
Marko Milovanović ↓ Colby·Bishop 65'
Terry Devlin 69'
Caspar Jander ↓ Cyle Larin 72'
Keshi Anderson ↓ Zak Swanson 77'
Keven Schlotterbeck 82'

This season

	Southampton	Portsmouth
Over 2.5 goals	75%	57%
Clean sheet	0%	29%
Failed to score	0%	29%
Scored per game	2.4	1.3
Conceded per game	1.3	1.4
Scored home / away	3.8 / 1.0	1.3 / 1.3

Across 8 and 7 matches played this season.

League table position

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Pts
12	LIN Lincoln	8	3	2	3	11
13	SOU Southampton ▲	8	4	2	2	10
14	WRE Wrexham	8	2	4	2	10
15	BOL Bolton	8	3	1	4	10
16	BLA Blackburn	8	2	3	3	9
17	NOR Norwich	8	3	0	5	9
18	SHE Sheffield Utd	8	2	3	3	9
19	POR Portsmouth ▲	7	2	2	3	8
20	WAT Watford	8	2	2	4	8

Recent form · last 5 finished matches

Southampton DDWWL

D @ Birmingham 1–1 Sep 1

D @ Lincoln 1–1 Sep 5

W vs Swansea 3–1 Sep 8

W vs Bristol City 4–1 Sep 12

L @ Wrexham 1–2 Sep 19

Portsmouth LLWDD

L @ Bristol City 1–2 Aug 29

L vs Derby 0–2 Sep 1

W vs Cardiff 2–0 Sep 5

D @ Charlton 0–0 Sep 12

D vs Blackburn 2–2 Sep 19

Goals trend · last 5 matches

Southampton

Scored 2.0 avg

1 1 3 4 1

Conceded 1.2 avg

1 1 1 1 2

Portsmouth

Scored 1.0 avg

1 0 2 0 2

Conceded 1.2 avg

2 2 0 0 2

Head-to-head · last meetings

1 Southampton

4 Draws

0 Portsmouth

Jan 2026 Portsmouth 1–1 Southampton Draw

Sep 2025 Southampton 0–0 Portsmouth Draw

Sep 2019 Portsmouth 0–4 Southampton Southampton

Apr 2012 Southampton 2–2 Portsmouth Draw

Dec 2011 Portsmouth 1–1 Southampton Draw

Over 2.5 goals in 2 of the last 5 meetings.

Confirmed lineups

Southampton 4-2-3-1

1 Daniel Peretz G
14 J. Bree D
13 K. Schlotterbeck D
5 J. Stephens D
3 R. Manning D
4 F. Downes M
30 J. Ward-Prowse M
26 Cameron Bragg M
10 F. Azaz M
7 Léo Scienza M
9 C. Larin F

Bench D. Mubama, K. Matsuki, G. Long, C. Jander, T. Fellows, S. Edozie, L. Dobbin, Welington, N. Wood-Gordon

Tonda Eckert

Portsmouth 4-2-3-1

1 N. Schmid G
22 Z. Swanson D
5 R. Poole D
55 M. Dia D
16 J. Meghoma D
7 M. Pack M
38 E. Adams M
11 A. Kamara M
17 T. Shade M
25 R. Kavuma McQueen M
9 C. Bishop F

Bench R. Shein, K. Anderson, O. Bailey, D. Bielica, T. Devlin, E. Kenny, M. Milovanović, I. Mohamed, A. Segecic

John Mousinho

Team news · injuries & suspensions

Southampton

DOUBT C. Jander Lacking Match Fitness
DOUBT C. Jander Lacking Match Fitness

Portsmouth

OUT L. Brooke-Smith Ankle Injury
OUT M. Kosznovszky Knee Injury
OUT J. Murphy Groin Injury
OUT C. Ogilvie Knee Injury
OUT F. Umeh Hamstring Injury
OUT T. Waddingham Ankle Injury
DOUBT K. Anderson Muscle Injury
DOUBT Marezi Calf Injury
OUT L. Brooke-Smith Ankle Injury
OUT M. Kosznovszky Knee Injury
OUT J. Murphy Groin Injury
OUT C. Ogilvie Knee Injury
OUT F. Umeh Hamstring Injury
OUT T. Waddingham Ankle Injury
DOUBT K. Anderson Muscle Injury
DOUBT Marezi Calf Injury