Primeira Liga MISSED 1–0
Sun, Oct 11 · 21:30
Arouca Home
VS
Estrela Away
Arouca vs Estrela — Primeira Liga
Tipster's pick Over 1.5 Goals
Confidence Low
Odds 1.25 Odds via Bet365
Expert analysis

Arouca and Estrela Poised for Goals

Arouca have collected eleven points from seven matches to sit fifth in the table. Estrela sit just three points behind after a campaign that has featured plenty of goals at both ends. The visitors average two goals scored and two conceded per game while their away fixtures have seen 2.7 scored and 2.3 conceded. Arouca themselves net 2.3 goals per home game and three of the last six head-to-head clashes produced over 2.5 goals. Estrela have recorded three or more total goals in six of their seven league games to date. These trends suggest the game will feature at least two goals with Arouca’s attack likely to test Estrela’s defense.

AcePredictor Analysis by AcePredictor 68.5% win rate
Result
1–0 MISSED

Our pick “Over 1.5 Goals” at odds 1.25 didn’t land — final score 1–0.

Match timeline
  1. First half
  2. Iván Barbero assist Näis Djouahra 5'
  3. Ianis Stoica Penalty missed 45+4'
  4. Pablo Gozálbez 45+6'
  5. Iván Barbero 45+8'
  6. Abraham Marcus 45+8'
  7. Second half
  8. Max Scholze 50'
  9. Pedro Santos ↓ Pablo Gozálbez 57'
  10. Beni Souza ↓ Ianis Stoica 61'
  11. Jefferson Encada ↓ Max Scholze 62'
  12. Pedro Santos 62'
  13. Dylan Nandín ↓ Iván Barbero 65'
  14. Gabrijel Rukavina ↓ Näis Djouahra 65'
  15. Lee Hyun-ju ↓ Taichi Fukui 79'
  16. Brian Mansilla ↓ Alfonso Trezza 80'
  17. Taichi Fukui 81'
  18. Emerson Vanga ↓ Eddy Doué 82'
  19. Jose Fontán 88'
  20. Alisson Souza ↓ Lovro Zvonarek 90+1'
  21. Kevin Hoog Jansson ↓ Santiago Serra 90+1'
This season
Arouca Estrela
Over 2.5 goals 57% 86%
Clean sheet 43% 0%
Failed to score 29% 14%
Scored per game 1.4 2.0
Conceded per game 1.0 2.0
Scored home / away 2.3 / 0.8 1.5 / 2.7

Across 7 and 7 matches played this season.

League table position
# Team PWDLPts
4 SAN Santa Clara 7 4 3 0 15
5 ARO Arouca ▲ 7 3 2 2 11
6 SCB SC Braga 6 3 2 1 11
7 ACA Academico Viseu 7 3 2 2 11
8 EST Estrela ▲ 7 2 4 1 10
9 GIL GIL Vicente 6 2 2 2 8
Recent form · last 5 finished matches
Arouca LWDLD
L @ FC Porto 0–2 Aug 23
W vs Maritimo 2–1 Aug 29
D @ Estoril 0–0 Sep 7
L vs Santa Clara 1–2 Sep 13
D @ Sporting CP 2–2 Sep 19
Estrela WDWDL
W @ Nacional 3–2 Aug 30
D vs Famalicao 2–2 Sep 5
W vs SC Braga 2–1 Sep 10
D @ Rio Ave 3–3 Sep 14
L vs Academico Viseu 0–2 Sep 20
Goals trend · last 5 matches
Arouca
Scored 1.0 avg
0 2 0 1 2
Conceded 1.4 avg
2 1 0 2 2
Estrela
Scored 2.0 avg
3 2 2 3 0
Conceded 2.0 avg
2 2 1 3 2
Head-to-head · last meetings
3 Arouca
1 Draws
2 Estrela
Apr 2026 Arouca 1–0 Estrela Arouca
Dec 2025 Estrela 3–1 Arouca Estrela
Apr 2025 Arouca 1–0 Estrela Arouca
Dec 2024 Estrela 2–1 Arouca Estrela
May 2024 Arouca 0–0 Estrela Draw

Over 2.5 goals in 3 of the last 6 meetings.

Confirmed lineups
Arouca 4-2-3-1
  • 12 I. de Arruabarrena G
  • 28 Tiago Esgaio D
  • 15 Javi Sánchez D
  • 3 José Fontán D
  • 18 O. Lebedenko D
  • 6 E. van Ee M
  • 8 T. Fukui M
  • 19 A. Trezza M
  • 10 Pablo Gozálbez M
  • 7 N. Djouahra M
  • 17 Barbero F
Bench Mateo Flores, Mario Climent, Lee Hyun-Ju, B. Mansilla, F. Mayulu, Diogo Monteiro, D. Nandín, Pedro Santos, B. Popović, G. Rukavina, L. Shahar, J. Vinarčík

Vítor Severino

Estrela 4-2-3-1
  • 24 Léo Linck G
  • 21 M. Scholze D
  • 5 S. Leković D
  • 30 Patrick Luan D
  • 55 Rafa Soares D
  • 39 Eddy Doue M
  • 78 Santiago Serra M
  • 99 A. Marcus M
  • 14 L. Zvonarek M
  • 10 I. Stoica M
  • 37 L. Antonetti F
Bench Bernardo Schappo, A. Chernev, Jefferson Encada, K. Höög Jansson, L. Mincarelli Davin, R. Muteba, T. Moustier, E. Pedro Vanga, Diogo Pinto, B. Souza, Alisson, H. Poniewas

Pepa