Expert analysis

Nashville Defense Set to Limit Goals

Nashville concede just 0.6 goals per game this season and only 0.7 on the road. San Jose score 1.8 goals per game at home while Nashville average 1.3 away. Three of the last four head-to-head meetings finished with under 2.5 goals. Nashville have recorded clean sheets in 14 of their 29 league games. San Jose have seen three or more total goals in 16 of 29 matches. Their recent form shows San Jose unbeaten in five while Nashville have won four of five. PayPal Park could see both teams play with caution given the league positions.

Analysis by AcePredictor 68% win rate

Result

1–1 WON

Our pick “Under 3.5 Goals” at odds 1.62 won — final score 1–1.

Match timeline

First half
Shakur Mohammed 28'
Hany Mukhtar 34'
Beau Leroux 39'
Elias Saad ↓ Shakur Mohammed 45'
Preston Judd 45+3'
Second half
Ousseni Bouda ↓ Timo Werner 67'
Preston Judd assist Eduard Löwen 70'
Edvard Sandvik Tagseth ↓ Patrick Yazbek 72'
Reed Baker-Whiting ↓ Daniel Lovitz 72'
Nick Fernandez ↓ Jamar Ricketts 76'
Paul Marie ↓ Preston Judd 76'
Warren Madrigal ↓ Cristian Espinoza 79'
Max Floriani ↓ Jack Jasinski 86'
Ian Harkes ↓ Ronaldo Vieira 86'
Ian Harkes 90'

This season

	San Jose Earthquakes	Nashville SC
Over 2.5 goals	55%	62%
Clean sheet	24%	48%
Failed to score	14%	17%
Scored per game	1.8	2.2
Conceded per game	1.4	0.8
Scored home / away	1.8 / 1.7	3.0 / 1.3

Across 29 and 29 matches played this season.

League table position

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Pts
3	FCD FC Dallas	29	14	8	7	50
4	SAN San Jose Earthquakes ▲	29	13	8	8	47
5	HOU Houston Dynamo	29	13	7	9	46

Recent form · last 5 finished matches

San Jose Earthquakes WDWDD

W vs Houston Dynamo 1–0 Sep 13

D vs Los Angeles FC 2–2 Sep 19

W vs Portland Timbers 3–1 Sep 27

D @ Colorado Rapids 1–1 Oct 11

D @ Real Salt Lake 1–1 Oct 15

Nashville SC DWWWW

D @ Inter Miami 2–2 Sep 12

W vs Chicago Fire 3–0 Sep 20

W vs Toronto FC 2–0 Sep 27

W @ Austin 4–1 Oct 11

W vs Sporting Kansas City 4–0 Oct 15

Goals trend · last 5 matches

San Jose Earthquakes

Scored 1.6 avg

1 2 3 1 1

Conceded 1.0 avg

0 2 1 1 1

Nashville SC

Scored 3.0 avg

2 3 2 4 4

Conceded 0.6 avg

2 0 0 1 0

Head-to-head · last meetings

0 San Jose Earthquakes

4 Draws

0 Nashville SC

Apr 2024 Nashville SC 1–1 San Jose Earthquakes Draw

Sep 2023 San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 Nashville SC Draw

Jun 2022 Nashville SC 0–0 San Jose Earthquakes Draw

Apr 2022 San Jose Earthquakes 2–2 Nashville SC Draw

Over 2.5 goals in 1 of the last 4 meetings.

Confirmed lineups

San Jose Earthquakes 5-3-2

1 A. Gunn G
17 Jack Jasinski D
5 D. Munie D
4 D. Romney D
18 R. Roberts D
2 J. Ricketts D
34 Beau Leroux M
14 R. Vieira M
23 E. Löwen M
19 P. Judd F
11 T. Werner F

Bench M. Floriani, E. Edwards, Vítor Costa, N. Fernandez, I. Harkes, O. Bouda, P. Marie, N. Buck, L. Jovanović

B. Arena

Nashville SC 4-2-3-1

99 B. Schwake G
31 A. Najar D
4 J. Palacios D
3 M. Woledzi D
2 D. Lovitz D
8 P. Yazbek M
16 M. Corcoran M
7 C. Espinoza M
10 H. Mukhtar M
14 S. Mohammed M
9 S. Surridge F

Bench B. Acosta, J. Bauer, W. Madrigal, J. Maher, A. Muyl, J. Willis, E. Tagseth, E. Saad, R. Baker-Whiting

B. Callaghan

Team news · injuries & suspensions

San Jose Earthquakes

OUT N. Adimabua Hernia
OUT J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza Injury
OUT D. Johnson Lower-Body Injury
OUT D. Jones Achilles Tendon Injury
OUT B. Kikanovic Lower-Body Injury
OUT N. Tsakiris Upper-Body Injury
DOUBT J. Skahan Lower-Body Injury
OUT N. Adimabua Hernia
OUT J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza Injury
OUT D. Johnson Lower-Body Injury
OUT D. Jones Achilles Tendon Injury
OUT B. Kikanovic Lower-Body Injury
OUT N. Tsakiris Upper-Body Injury
DOUBT J. Skahan Lower-Body Injury

Nashville SC

OUT F. Camara Lower-Body Injury
OUT O. Presthus Lower-Body Injury
OUT F. Camara Lower-Body Injury
OUT O. Presthus Lower-Body Injury