Premier League WON 1–1
Sun, Oct 18 · 15:00 · Elland Road
Leeds Home
VS
Manchester United Away
Leeds vs Manchester United — Premier League
Tipster's pick Leeds or Draw
Confidence Low
Odds 1.44 Odds via Bet365
Expert analysis

Leeds Home Record Points to Avoiding Defeat

Leeds sit seventh after six games while Manchester United are down in 13th. United have taken just two draws from their last five matches and average only 1.0 goal scored on their travels. Leeds have scored 1.7 and conceded 0.7 per game at Elland Road so far. Five of the last ten meetings between these sides ended level. Both teams have seen both sides score in four of their six league outings this season. Leeds or Draw makes sense given United’s poor away scoring and Leeds’ ability to stay solid at home. The main risk remains whether United can create enough chances to break down the Leeds back line.

AcePredictor Analysis by AcePredictor 68.5% win rate
Result
1–1 WON

Our pick “Leeds or Draw” at odds 1.44 won — final score 1–1.

Match timeline
  1. First half
  2. Bruno Fernandes 17'
  3. Gabriel Gudmundsson 19'
  4. Bryan Mbeumo assist Youri Tielemans 35'
  5. Noussair Mazraoui ↓ Lisandro Martínez 45'
  6. Second half
  7. Dominic Calvert-Lewin assist Tarik Muharemovic 51'
  8. Lukas Nmecha ↓ Noah Okafor 74'
  9. Mason Mount ↓ Carlos Baleba 74'
  10. Sean Longstaff ↓ Ao Tanaka 81'
  11. Matheus Cunha ↓ Youri Tielemans 84'
  12. Ethan Ampadu 90+2'
  13. Andrey Santos 90+2'
This season
Leeds Manchester United
Over 2.5 goals 33% 33%
Clean sheet 33% 0%
Failed to score 17% 33%
Scored per game 1.3 1.5
Conceded per game 0.8 1.5
Scored home / away 1.7 / 1.0 2.0 / 1.0

Across 6 and 6 matches played this season.

League table position
# Team PWDLPts
6 CHE Chelsea 6 3 1 2 10
7 LEE Leeds ▲ 6 2 3 1 9
8 HUL Hull City 6 2 3 1 9
9 LIV Liverpool 6 2 3 1 9
10 IPS Ipswich 6 3 0 3 9
11 NEW Newcastle 6 2 2 2 8
12 CRY Crystal Palace 6 2 1 3 7
13 MAN Manchester United ▲ 6 1 3 2 6
14 COV Coventry 6 2 0 4 6
Recent form · last 5 finished matches
Leeds DLWDL
D @ Brighton 1–1 Sep 5
L @ Chelsea 3–6 Sep 9
W vs Newcastle 4–1 Sep 14
D vs Crystal Palace 0–0 Sep 20
L @ Arsenal 1–2 Oct 10
Manchester United LLDDL
L vs Manchester City 0–1 Sep 13
L vs Brighton 2–3 Sep 16
D @ Fulham 1–1 Sep 20
D vs Tottenham 1–1 Oct 10
L @ Atletico Madrid 0–2 Oct 13
Goals trend · last 5 matches
Leeds
Scored 1.8 avg
1 3 4 0 1
Conceded 2.0 avg
1 6 1 0 2
Manchester United
Scored 0.8 avg
0 2 1 1 0
Conceded 1.6 avg
1 3 1 1 2
Head-to-head · last meetings
1 Leeds
5 Draws
4 Manchester United
Aug 2026 Manchester United 1–1 Leeds Draw
Apr 2026 Manchester United 1–2 Leeds Leeds
Jan 2026 Leeds 1–1 Manchester United Draw
Jul 2025 Manchester United 0–0 Leeds Draw
Jul 2023 Manchester United 2–0 Leeds Manchester United

Over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 10 meetings.

Confirmed lineups
Leeds 3-4-2-1
  • 1 J. Trafford G
  • 24 J. Justin D
  • 30 N. Elvedi D
  • 5 T. Muharemović D
  • 2 J. Bogle M
  • 4 E. Ampadu M
  • 22 A. Tanaka M
  • 3 G. Gudmundsson M
  • 18 A. Stach M
  • 19 N. Okafor M
  • 9 D. Calvert-Lewin F
Bench H. Wilson, B. Aaronson, L. Nmecha, J. Bahoya, M. Zetterer, M. Bard, J. Bijol, I. Gruev, S. Longstaff

D. Farke

Manchester United 4-2-3-1
  • 1 S. Lammens G
  • 15 L. Yoro D
  • 5 H. Maguire D
  • 6 Lisandro Martínez D
  • 2 Diogo Dalot D
  • 17 Andrey Santos M
  • 20 C. Baleba M
  • 8 Bruno Fernandes M
  • 18 Y. Tielemans M
  • 16 A. Diallo M
  • 19 B. Mbeumo F
Bench M. de Ligt, N. Mazraoui, H. Amass, M. Mount, S. Lacey, Matheus Cunha, M. Rashford, K. Darlow, J. Zirkzee

M. Carrick

Team news · injuries & suspensions
Leeds
  • OUT M. Joseph Knee Injury
  • OUT J. Rodon Muscle Injury
  • DOUBT D. James Back Injury
  • OUT M. Joseph Knee Injury
  • OUT J. Rodon Muscle Injury
  • DOUBT D. James Back Injury
Manchester United
  • OUT P. Dorgu Hamstring Injury
  • OUT T. Heaton Abdominal strain
  • OUT B. Sesko Leg Injury
  • OUT M. Ugarte Knee Injury
  • DOUBT K. Mainoo Injury
  • DOUBT N. Mazraoui Injury
  • DOUBT L. Shaw Injury
  • OUT P. Dorgu Hamstring Injury
  • OUT T. Heaton Abdominal strain
  • OUT B. Sesko Leg Injury
  • OUT M. Ugarte Knee Injury
  • DOUBT K. Mainoo Injury
  • DOUBT N. Mazraoui Injury
  • DOUBT L. Shaw Injury