Serie A (Italy) WON 3–2
Sun, Oct 18 · 18:00
AC Milan Home
VS
Atalanta Away
AC Milan vs Atalanta — Serie A
Tipster's pick Milan Over 1.5 Goals
Confidence Low
Odds 1.80 Odds via Bet365
Expert analysis

Milan Home Scoring Faces Atalanta Away Weakness

AC Milan average 2.5 goals in their home league games this season. Atalanta concede 2.0 goals per away match and have failed to keep a clean sheet in five of their six outings. Milan have scored in every league fixture so far while sitting fifth after six games. Atalanta arrive without K. Sulemana and I. Hien, absences that leave their midfield and defence thinner. The visitors have lost three of their last five matches overall. Milan hold a slight edge as hosts and look to build on their strong start at home. Atalanta may try to hit on the break but will need to handle sustained pressure in Milan.

AcePredictor Analysis by AcePredictor 68% win rate
Result
3–2 WON

Our pick “Milan Over 1.5 Goals” at odds 1.80 won — final score 3–2.

Match timeline
  1. First half
  2. Relja Obric ↓ Sead Kolašinac 20'
  3. Gonçalo Ramos Penalty 24'
  4. Adrien Rabiot 41'
  5. Adrien Rabiot assist Diego Moreira 43'
  6. Second half
  7. Omari Hutchinson ↓ Samuel Chukwueze 53'
  8. Gonçalo Ramos Penalty missed 57'
  9. Mario Gila assist Adrien Rabiot 57'
  10. Gianluca Gaetano ↓ Mario Pašalić 59'
  11. Nicola Zalewski ↓ Jonathan Rowe 59'
  12. Gianluca Gaetano assist Nicola Zalewski 66'
  13. Éderson José dos Santos 68'
  14. Gianluca Scamacca ↓ Lazar Samardzic 75'
  15. Davide Zappacosta ↓ Lorenzo Bernasconi 75'
  16. Ardon Jashari ↓ Christian Pulisic 75'
  17. Pervis Estupinan ↓ Yunus Musah 75'
  18. Ruben Loftus-Cheek ↓ Luka Modrić 75'
  19. Relja Obric 78'
  20. Nikola Krstović assist Raoul Bellanova 81'
  21. Fikayo Tomori ↓ Mario Gila 84'
This season
AC Milan Atalanta
Over 2.5 goals 50% 67%
Clean sheet 33% 17%
Failed to score 0% 17%
Scored per game 1.8 1.3
Conceded per game 0.8 1.3
Scored home / away 2.5 / 1.5 1.8 / 0.5

Across 6 and 6 matches played this season.

League table position
# Team PWDLPts
4 CAG Cagliari 6 4 1 1 13
5 ACM AC Milan ▲ 6 3 3 0 12
6 JUV Juventus 6 3 2 1 11
7 COM Como 6 3 2 1 11
8 NAP Napoli 6 3 1 2 10
9 FRO Frosinone 6 3 1 2 10
10 ATA Atalanta ▲ 6 3 0 3 9
11 SAS Sassuolo 6 2 2 2 8
Recent form · last 5 finished matches
AC Milan DDLWD
D @ Juventus 1–1 Sep 6
D @ Lazio 2–2 Sep 12
L vs Benfica 0–2 Sep 16
W vs Lecce 3–0 Sep 20
D @ Sassuolo 1–1 Oct 11
Atalanta WLLLW
W vs Bologna 1–0 Aug 31
L @ AS Roma 1–2 Sep 5
L vs Cagliari 1–2 Sep 12
L @ Juventus 0–2 Sep 20
W vs Venezia 3–1 Oct 12
Goals trend · last 5 matches
AC Milan
Scored 1.4 avg
1 2 0 3 1
Conceded 1.2 avg
1 2 2 0 1
Atalanta
Scored 1.2 avg
1 1 1 0 3
Conceded 1.4 avg
0 2 2 2 1
Head-to-head · last meetings
2 AC Milan
3 Draws
5 Atalanta
May 2026 AC Milan 2–3 Atalanta Atalanta
Oct 2025 Atalanta 1–1 AC Milan Draw
Apr 2025 AC Milan 0–1 Atalanta Atalanta
Dec 2024 Atalanta 2–1 AC Milan Atalanta
Feb 2024 AC Milan 1–1 Atalanta Draw

Over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 10 meetings.

Confirmed lineups
AC Milan
  • 21 S. Chukwueze F
  • 5 K. De Winter D
  • 34 Mario Gila D
  • 14 L. Modrić M
  • 22 Diego Moreira D
  • 80 Y. Musah M
  • 31 S. Pavlović D
  • 11 C. Pulišić F
  • 12 A. Rabiot M
  • 9 Gonçalo Ramos F
  • 16 M. Maignan G
Bench V. Vladimirov, L. Torriani, F. Tomori, F. Terracciano, R. Loftus-Cheek, A. Jashari, O. Hutchinson, P. Estupiñán, S. Bocoum, C. Comotto, A. Cissè, F. Camarda, L. P. Bouyer, D. Bartesaghi

Ruben Amorim

Atalanta
  • 10 L. Samardžić M
  • 11 J. Rowe F
  • 8 Mario Pasalic M
  • 90 N. Krstović F
  • 31 T. Kristensen D
  • 23 S. Kolašinac D
  • 13 Éderson M
  • 17 C. De Ketelaere M
  • 47 L. Bernasconi M
  • 16 R. Bellanova M
  • 29 M. Carnesecchi G
Bench G. Gaetano, D. Zappacosta, J. Idele, R. Obrić, M. Plaia, D. K. Pounga, G. Scamacca, M. Sonzogni, M. Sportiello, N. Zalewski

M. Sarri

Team news · injuries & suspensions
AC Milan
  • OUT M. Gabbia Thigh Injury
  • OUT A. Saelemaekers Ankle Injury
  • OUT M. Gabbia Thigh Injury
  • OUT A. Saelemaekers Ankle Injury
Atalanta
  • OUT E. Elmas Red Card
  • OUT I. Hien Muscle Injury
  • OUT F. Kessie Calf Injury
  • OUT O. Kossounou Thigh Injury
  • OUT G. Scalvini Thigh Injury
  • DOUBT R. Bellanova Thigh Injury
  • DOUBT G. Raspadori Thigh Injury
  • DOUBT K. Sulemana Knee Injury
  • OUT E. Elmas Red Card
  • OUT I. Hien Muscle Injury
  • OUT F. Kessie Calf Injury
  • OUT O. Kossounou Thigh Injury
  • OUT G. Scalvini Thigh Injury
  • DOUBT R. Bellanova Thigh Injury
  • DOUBT G. Raspadori Thigh Injury
  • DOUBT K. Sulemana Knee Injury