La Liga MISSED 4–1
Sun, Oct 18 · 21:00
Real Madrid Home
VS
Sevilla Away
Real Madrid vs Sevilla — La Liga
Tipster's pick Sevilla +2.5
Confidence Low
Odds 1.45 Odds via Bet365
Expert analysis

Sevilla Set to Remain Close Against Real Madrid

Real Madrid hold fourth place in the standings after eight La Liga games with 18 points collected so far. Sevilla sit fifth with 14 points from their eight matches played. Real Madrid have won four of their last five league matches without a draw. Sevilla collected points in three of their last five games including a draw. Real Madrid score 3.3 goals per home game this season while Sevilla net 2.0 per away outing on average. Five of the last ten head to head meetings produced over 2.5 goals in total. The main risk lies in Real Madrid’s ability to score freely against Sevilla at the Bernabeu.

AcePredictor Analysis by AcePredictor 68.5% win rate
Result
4–1 MISSED

Our pick “Sevilla +2.5” at odds 1.45 didn’t land — final score 4–1.

Match timeline
  1. First half
  2. Felix Correia 23'
  3. Dean Huijsen 23'
  4. Arda Güler assist Yan Diomande 30'
  5. Kylian Mbappé assist Jude Bellingham 37'
  6. Chidera Ejuke ↓ Rubén Vargas 45'
  7. Second half
  8. Lucas Stassin ↓ Robbie Ure 56'
  9. Manuel Bueno Sebastián ↓ Peque Fernández 56'
  10. Kylian Mbappé Penalty 63'
  11. Juan Antonio Iglesias Sánchez 69'
  12. Brahim Díaz ↓ Endrick Felipe Moreira de Sousa 69'
  13. Bernardo Silva ↓ Jude Bellingham 70'
  14. José Ángel Carmona ↓ Juan Antonio Iglesias Sánchez 72'
  15. Alfonso González Martínez ↓ Felix Correia 73'
  16. Marc Cucurella 73'
  17. Eduardo Camavinga ↓ Arda Güler 78'
  18. Manuel Bueno Sebastián assist Lucas Stassin 80'
  19. Yan Diomande assist Aurelien Tchouameni 82'
  20. Carlos Espí ↓ Kylian Mbappé 85'
  21. Éder Militão ↓ Federico Valverde 85'
This season
Real Madrid Sevilla
Over 2.5 goals 75% 63%
Clean sheet 25% 25%
Failed to score 13% 0%
Scored per game 2.4 1.6
Conceded per game 1.0 1.5
Scored home / away 3.3 / 1.5 1.3 / 2.0

Across 8 and 8 matches played this season.

League table position
# Team PWDLPts
3 REA Real Betis 8 6 1 1 19
4 REA Real Madrid ▲ 8 6 0 2 18
5 SEV Sevilla ▲ 8 4 2 2 14
6 REA Real Sociedad 8 4 1 3 13
Recent form · last 5 finished matches
Real Madrid WWLWW
W vs Rayo Vallecano 4–1 Sep 12
W @ Elche 3–2 Sep 15
L @ Atletico Madrid 1–2 Sep 20
W vs Villarreal 1–0 Oct 10
W @ AS Roma 4–3 Oct 14
Sevilla WWLLD
W vs Valencia 1–0 Sep 11
W @ Deportivo La Coruna 1–0 Sep 16
L vs Barcelona 1–3 Sep 19
L vs Aston Villa 1–3 Oct 2
D @ Levante 3–3 Oct 12
Goals trend · last 5 matches
Real Madrid
Scored 2.6 avg
4 3 1 1 4
Conceded 1.6 avg
1 2 2 0 3
Sevilla
Scored 1.4 avg
1 1 1 1 3
Conceded 1.8 avg
0 0 3 3 3
Head-to-head · last meetings
9 Real Madrid
1 Draws
0 Sevilla
May 2026 Sevilla 0–1 Real Madrid Real Madrid
Dec 2025 Real Madrid 2–0 Sevilla Real Madrid
May 2025 Sevilla 0–2 Real Madrid Real Madrid
Dec 2024 Real Madrid 4–2 Sevilla Real Madrid
Feb 2024 Real Madrid 1–0 Sevilla Real Madrid

Over 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 10 meetings.

Confirmed lineups
Real Madrid 4-2-3-1
  • 1 T. Courtois G
  • 8 F. Valverde D
  • 16 I. Konaté D
  • 4 D. Huijsen D
  • 17 Marc Cucurella D
  • 5 J. Bellingham M
  • 14 A. Tchouaméni M
  • 9 Endrick M
  • 15 A. Güler M
  • 25 Y. Diomande M
  • 10 Kylian Mbappé F
Bench T. Alexander-Arnold, E. Camavinga, D. Dumfries, Carlos Espí, Álvaro Fernández, A. Lunin, Éder Militão, Bernardo Silva, Javier Navarro, Thiago Pitarch, A. Rüdiger, Brahim Díaz

José Mourinho

Sevilla 4-2-3-1
  • 1 O. Vlachodimos G
  • 2 Juan Iglesias D
  • 5 Andrés Castrín D
  • 4 Kike Salas D
  • 17 G. Suazo D
  • 6 L. Agoumé M
  • 24 Y. Fofana M
  • 11 R. Vargas M
  • 10 Peque Fernández M
  • 20 Félix Correia M
  • 9 R. Ure F
Bench Fábio Cardoso, Manu Bueno, José Ángel Carmona, Julio Díaz del Romo, C. Ejuke, Fran González, Alfon González, Rafael Romero, A. Sangante, L. Stassin, Jesús Cruz, N. Guillen

Luis García

Team news · injuries & suspensions
Real Madrid
  • OUT R. Asencio Broken Leg
  • OUT Eder Militao Hamstring Injury
  • OUT Rodrygo Knee Injury
  • OUT Vinicius Junior Red Card
  • DOUBT F. Mendy Hip Injury
  • OUT R. Asencio Broken Leg
  • OUT Eder Militao Hamstring Injury
  • OUT Rodrygo Knee Injury
  • OUT Vinicius Junior Red Card
  • DOUBT F. Mendy Hip Injury
Sevilla
  • OUT J. Guridi Muscle Injury
  • OUT Marcao Muscle Injury
  • OUT I. Romero Red Card
  • OUT M. Sierra Shoulder Injury
  • DOUBT G. Kochorashvili Injury
  • OUT J. Guridi Muscle Injury
  • OUT Marcao Muscle Injury
  • OUT I. Romero Red Card
  • OUT M. Sierra Shoulder Injury
  • DOUBT G. Kochorashvili Injury