Championship (England) WON 0–1
Sat, Oct 17 · 16:00 · Pride Park Stadium
Derby Home
VS
Stoke City Away
Derby vs Stoke City — Championship
Tipster's pick Draw or Stoke City
Confidence High
Odds 1.40 Odds via Bet365
Expert analysis

Stoke City set to hold firm at Pride Park

Derby sit 23rd after four defeats in five games and continue to struggle with just 0.8 goals scored per match on average. Stoke City sit 9th after three wins in their last five and have averaged 1.7 goals scored across their ten fixtures. Derby will line up without defenders Cashin, Clarke and Forsyth plus forward Agyemang, leaving gaps at the back. Stoke have kept their attack moving with both teams scoring in eight of their ten league games so far. Head-to-head meetings show Derby with more wins overall but Stoke have taken points in several recent visits. The game may see chances at both ends given the season totals for goals and both teams scoring. Derby’s home record offers some resistance yet their missing personnel tilt the balance toward Stoke staying unbeaten.

AcePredictor Analysis by AcePredictor 68.5% win rate
Result
0–1 WON

Our pick “Draw or Stoke City” at odds 1.40 won — final score 0–1.

Match timeline
  1. First half
  2. Luca Bombino ↓ Eric Junior Bocat 38'
  3. George Hirst ↓ Jack Mcglynn 45'
  4. Second half
  5. Luke Graham assist Ethan Galbraith 49'
  6. Rhian Brewster ↓ Lewis Travis 52'
  7. Maksym Taloverov ↓ Bosun Lawal 68'
  8. Róbert Boženík ↓ Lamine Cissé 68'
  9. Henrik Wendel Meister ↓ Mohammed Fuseini 73'
  10. D. Ozoh 76'
  11. Corey Blackett-Taylor ↓ Bobby Clark 87'
  12. Filip Bilbija ↓ Ryan Hedges 87'
  13. Lars-Jørgen Salvesen ↓ Sammie Szmodics 87'
  14. Junior Tchamadeu ↓ Justin Devenny 87'
This season
Derby Stoke City
Over 2.5 goals 60% 80%
Clean sheet 10% 20%
Failed to score 30% 0%
Scored per game 0.9 1.7
Conceded per game 1.9 1.6
Scored home / away 0.8 / 1.0 2.0 / 1.4

Across 10 and 10 matches played this season.

League table position
# Team PWDLPts
8 SOU Southampton 10 6 2 2 16
9 STO Stoke City ▲ 10 5 1 4 16
10 BLA Blackburn 10 4 3 3 15
11 MIL Millwall 10 4 2 4 14
12 BRI Bristol City 10 4 2 4 14
13 CHA Charlton 10 3 5 2 14
14 BOL Bolton 10 4 1 5 13
15 SHE Sheffield Utd 10 3 3 4 12
16 POR Portsmouth 9 3 2 4 11
17 WRE Wrexham 10 2 5 3 11
18 LIN Lincoln 10 3 2 5 11
19 CAR Cardiff 10 2 4 4 10
20 NOR Norwich 10 3 0 7 9
21 BUR Burnley 11 1 5 5 8
22 WAT Watford 10 2 2 6 8
23 DER Derby ▲ 10 1 3 6 6
24 PRE Preston 10 1 1 8 4
Recent form · last 5 finished matches
Derby LLDDL
L vs West Brom 0–1 Sep 9
L vs Birmingham 1–2 Sep 12
D @ Burnley 1–1 Sep 19
D vs Wrexham 1–1 Oct 10
L @ QPR 1–4 Oct 14
Stoke City DWWWL
D @ Cardiff 1–1 Sep 8
W @ Watford 2–1 Sep 12
W vs Sheffield Utd 2–1 Sep 19
W @ Bolton 2–1 Oct 10
L vs Middlesbrough 2–3 Oct 13
Goals trend · last 5 matches
Derby
Scored 0.8 avg
0 1 1 1 1
Conceded 1.8 avg
1 2 1 1 4
Stoke City
Scored 1.8 avg
1 2 2 2 2
Conceded 1.4 avg
1 1 1 1 3
Head-to-head · last meetings
5 Derby
2 Draws
3 Stoke City
Apr 2026 Derby 2–0 Stoke City Derby
Aug 2025 Stoke City 3–1 Derby Stoke City
May 2025 Derby 0–0 Stoke City Draw
Nov 2024 Stoke City 2–1 Derby Stoke City
Jul 2023 Derby 3–0 Stoke City Derby

Over 2.5 goals in 6 of the last 10 meetings.

Confirmed lineups
Derby 4-2-3-1
  • 31 J. Vickers G
  • 23 J. Ward D
  • 24 R. Nyambe D
  • 28 D. Sanderson D
  • 26 R. Hedges D
  • 27 L. Travis M
  • 4 D. Ozoh M
  • 16 M. Fuseini M
  • 11 S. Szmodics M
  • 8 B. Clark M
  • 9 C. Morris F
Bench F. Bilbija, C. Blackett-Taylor, R. Brewster, O. Fraulo, H. Meister, R. O'Donnell, L. Salvesen, Raymond Offor, I. Gordon

J. Eustace

Stoke City 3-4-3
  • 1 V. Johansson G
  • 18 B. Lawal D
  • 16 B. Wilmot D
  • 5 L. Graham D
  • 2 B. Johnson M
  • 27 El Hadji Djibril Soumaré M
  • 8 E. Galbraith M
  • 17 E. Bocat M
  • 7 J. McGlynn F
  • 11 L. Cissé F
  • 13 J. Devenny F
Bench G. Hirst, M. Manhoef, B. Pearson, M. Talovierov, J. Tchamadeu, R. Boženík, J. Griffiths, L. Bombino, Bae Jun-Ho

M. Robins

Team news · injuries & suspensions
Derby
  • OUT P. Agyemang Achilles Tendon Injury
  • OUT E. Cashin Inactive
  • OUT M. Clarke Calf Injury
  • OUT C. Forsyth Knee Injury
  • OUT S. Langas Injury
  • OUT D. Murkin Hamstring Injury
  • OUT C. Taylor Injury
  • OUT J. Widell Zetterstrom Knee Injury
  • DOUBT M. Johnston Inactive
  • OUT P. Agyemang Achilles Tendon Injury
  • OUT E. Cashin Inactive
  • OUT M. Clarke Calf Injury
  • OUT C. Forsyth Knee Injury
  • OUT S. Langas Injury
  • OUT D. Murkin Hamstring Injury
  • OUT C. Taylor Injury
  • OUT J. Widell Zetterstrom Knee Injury
  • DOUBT M. Johnston Inactive
Stoke City
  • OUT A. Ampah Knee Injury
  • OUT A. Cresswell Knee Injury
  • OUT S. Gallagher Injury
  • OUT S. Ingelsson Muscle Injury
  • OUT A. Ampah Knee Injury
  • OUT A. Cresswell Knee Injury
  • OUT S. Gallagher Injury
  • OUT S. Ingelsson Muscle Injury