Expert analysis

Vasco to reach the scoresheet at Morumbi

Vasco da Gama head into this match on the back of four wins and a draw in their last five outings. Their attack has clicked with two goals scored per game across the campaign. Sao Paulo concede 0.9 goals a game at the Morumbi and have kept clean sheets in six of thirty league matches. In the head to head record Vasco have taken three victories from the last ten clashes. Their away form shows 1.1 goals scored per game this term despite three notable absences in the squad. Sao Paulo sit tenth with a slight edge as pre match favourites but have managed just one win in their last five. A tight contest could still see Vasco find the net once given their current scoring rate.

Analysis by AcePredictor 68% win rate

Result

1–0 MISSED

Our pick “Vasco DA Gama Over 0.5 Goals” at odds 1.44 didn’t land — final score 1–0.

Match timeline

First half
Artur Victor Guimarães 42'
Facundo Colidio 44'
Jose Luis Rodriguez ↓ Paulo Henrique 45'
Lucas Moura ↓ Luciano 45'
Jose Monteiro ↓ Rafael Tolói 45'
Second half
Gabriel Pereira 54'
Brenner ↓ Bruno Duarte Da Silva 62'
Artur Victor Guimarães assist Pedro Lima 68'
Pablo Maia ↓ Marcos Antonio 71'
Jair ↓ Santiago Sosa 74'
Thiago Mendes ↓ Tchê Tchê 74'
Gustavo Santana ↓ Jonathan Calleri 80'
Adson ↓ Alan Lescano 89'
Luis Osorio Messias De Oliveira ↓ Artur Victor Guimarães 89'
Iago Amaral Borduchi 90+2'

This season

	Sao Paulo	Vasco DA Gama
Over 2.5 goals	40%	59%
Clean sheet	20%	14%
Failed to score	23%	31%
Scored per game	1.2	1.2
Conceded per game	1.2	1.4
Scored home / away	1.6 / 0.7	1.4 / 1.1

Across 30 and 29 matches played this season.

League table position

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Pts
9	RBB RB Bragantino	30	11	7	12	40
10	SAO Sao Paulo ▲	30	11	6	13	39
11	COR Coritiba	30	10	9	11	39
12	VIT Vitoria	30	10	6	14	36
13	BOT Botafogo	30	9	9	12	36
14	MIR Mirassol	31	9	9	13	36
15	VAS Vasco DA Gama ▲	29	9	8	12	35
16	COR Corinthians	30	8	8	14	32

Recent form · last 5 finished matches

Sao Paulo DWLLW

D vs Boca Juniors 1–1 Sep 16

W vs Internacional 1–0 Sep 20

L vs Santos 1–2 Oct 2

L @ Cruzeiro 0–2 Oct 8

W vs Vitoria 2–1 Oct 11

Vasco DA Gama WWWDW

W vs Santa Fe 2–0 Sep 15

W vs Coritiba 5–0 Sep 19

W @ Botafogo 2–1 Oct 7

D vs Remo 0–0 Oct 10

W @ Boca Juniors 1–0 Oct 14

Goals trend · last 5 matches

Sao Paulo

Scored 1.0 avg

1 1 1 0 2

Conceded 1.2 avg

1 0 2 2 1

Vasco DA Gama

Scored 2.0 avg

2 5 2 0 1

Conceded 0.2 avg

0 0 1 0 0

Head-to-head · last meetings

5 Sao Paulo

2 Draws

3 Vasco DA Gama

Apr 2026 Vasco DA Gama 2–1 Sao Paulo Vasco DA Gama

Nov 2025 Vasco DA Gama 0–2 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo

Jun 2025 Sao Paulo 1–3 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama

Oct 2024 Sao Paulo 3–0 Vasco DA Gama Sao Paulo

Jun 2024 Vasco DA Gama 4–1 Sao Paulo Vasco DA Gama

Over 2.5 goals in 6 of the last 10 meetings.

Confirmed lineups

Sao Paulo 3-4-2-1

23 Rafael G
2 R. Tolói D
5 R. Arboleda D
28 Newton D
32 Pedro Lima M
16 D. Bobadilla M
8 Marcos Antônio M
12 Iago M
37 Artur M
10 Luciano M
9 J. Calleri F

Bench Wendell, Victor Sá, G. Santana, Sabino, Ryan Francisco, Pedro Ferreira, Pablo Maia, Osorio Luis, Lucca Marques Alencar, Lucas Ramon, Lucas Moura, Carlos Coronel

Dorival Júnior

Vasco DA Gama 4-2-3-1

1 Léo Jardim G
96 Paulo Henrique D
55 Gabriel Pereira D
30 Robert Renan D
66 Cuiabano D
3 Tchê Tchê M
5 S. Sosa M
11 A. Gómez M
22 A. Lescano M
9 F. Colidio M
19 Bruno Duarte F

Bench Loide Augusto, Thiago Mendes, Brenner, Daniel Fuzato, David, Jair, Lucas Freitas, Lucas Piton, Ramon Rique, J. Rodríguez, A. Saldivia, Adson

Pedro Emanuel

Team news · injuries & suspensions

Sao Paulo

OUT N. Bosshardt Inactive
OUT Buta Knee Injury
OUT Cauly Inactive
OUT Djhordney Yellow Cards
OUT D. Duarte Knee Injury
DOUBT Ferreira Injury
OUT N. Bosshardt Inactive
OUT Buta Knee Injury
OUT Cauly Inactive
OUT Djhordney Yellow Cards
OUT D. Duarte Knee Injury
DOUBT Ferreira Injury

Vasco DA Gama

OUT Cauan Barros Inactive
OUT C. Cuesta Inactive
OUT M. Hinestroza Inactive
OUT Mateus Carvalho Knee Injury
OUT N. Moreira Inactive
OUT C. Spinelli Inactive
DOUBT F. Colidio Injury
OUT Cauan Barros Inactive
OUT C. Cuesta Inactive
OUT M. Hinestroza Inactive
OUT Mateus Carvalho Knee Injury
OUT N. Moreira Inactive
OUT C. Spinelli Inactive
DOUBT F. Colidio Injury