Championship (England) WON 1–5
Fri, Oct 23 · 21:00 · Toughsheet Community Stadium
Bolton Home
VS
Middlesbrough Away
Bolton vs Middlesbrough — Championship
Tipster's pick Bolton Over 0.5 Goals
Confidence High
Odds 1.36 Odds via Bet365
Expert analysis

Bolton Expected to Score at Home to Middlesbrough

Bolton average 1.2 goals per home game this season while Middlesbrough concede 1.4 goals per away game. Bolton have collected three wins and a draw in their last five matches, showing regular attacking output. Middlesbrough have seen both teams score in nine of their eleven league games so far. Bolton have recorded three or more total goals in seven of their eleven fixtures. Middlesbrough sit third in the table but have kept only two clean sheets across their eleven outings. Bolton play at the Toughsheet Community Stadium where they have netted 1.2 goals per game on average. The main risk remains Middlesbrough’s strong recent defensive record in away fixtures.

AcePredictor Analysis by AcePredictor 68.5% win rate
Result
1–5 WON

Our pick “Bolton Over 0.5 Goals” at odds 1.36 won — final score 1–5.

Match timeline
  1. First half
  2. Aidan Morris assist Amario Cozier-Duberry 13'
  3. will lankshear assist Tommy Conway 31'
  4. Lewis Brunt Own goal 39'
  5. Max Conway ↓ Akin Famewo 45'
  6. Atsuki Ito ↓ Ruben Rodrigues 45'
  7. Thelonius Bair assist Gaizka Larrazabal 45+2'
  8. Second half
  9. Sam Dalby ↓ Thelonius Bair 55'
  10. Ryan Hardie ↓ Ethan Erhahon 55'
  11. Josh Sheehan 63'
  12. Max Arfsten ↓ Tommy Conway 69'
  13. Amario Cozier-Duberry assist Riley McGree 73'
  14. Xavier Simons ↓ Kyliane Dong 74'
  15. will lankshear assist Riley McGree 78'
  16. Leo Castledine ↓ Riley McGree 79'
  17. Jeremy Sarmiento ↓ Amario Cozier-Duberry 79'
  18. Kyle Joseph ↓ will lankshear 79'
  19. Myles Peart-Harris ↓ Sebastian Berhalter 86'
This season
Bolton Middlesbrough
Over 2.5 goals 64% 73%
Clean sheet 27% 18%
Failed to score 36% 0%
Scored per game 1.4 2.0
Conceded per game 1.6 1.5
Scored home / away 1.2 / 1.5 2.3 / 1.6

Across 11 and 11 matches played this season.

League table position
# Team PWDLPts
2 WES West Ham 11 6 4 1 22
3 MID Middlesbrough ▲ 11 6 4 1 22
4 BIR Birmingham 11 5 5 1 20
5 WES West Brom 11 6 2 3 20
6 STO Stoke City 11 6 1 4 19
7 SOU Southampton 11 6 3 2 17
8 WOL Wolves 10 5 2 3 17
9 QPR QPR 11 4 5 2 17
10 BLA Blackburn 11 4 3 4 15
11 SHE Sheffield Utd 11 4 3 4 15
12 MIL Millwall 11 4 3 4 15
13 POR Portsmouth 10 4 2 4 14
14 WRE Wrexham 11 3 5 3 14
15 BOL Bolton ▲ 11 4 2 5 14
16 BRI Bristol City 11 4 2 5 14
Recent form · last 5 finished matches
Bolton WWLWD
W vs Cardiff 1–0 Sep 12
W @ Norwich 4–3 Sep 20
L vs Stoke City 1–2 Oct 10
W @ Wolves 3–1 Oct 13
D @ Southampton 0–0 Oct 17
Middlesbrough DDWWD
D vs Millwall 2–2 Sep 15
D @ Birmingham 2–2 Sep 19
W vs Wolves 1–0 Oct 10
W @ Stoke City 3–2 Oct 13
D vs Cardiff 2–2 Oct 17
Goals trend · last 5 matches
Bolton
Scored 1.8 avg
1 4 1 3 0
Conceded 1.2 avg
0 3 2 1 0
Middlesbrough
Scored 2.0 avg
2 2 1 3 2
Conceded 1.6 avg
2 2 0 2 2
Head-to-head · last meetings
0 Bolton
0 Draws
10 Middlesbrough
Jul 2024 Middlesbrough 3–0 Bolton Middlesbrough
Aug 2023 Bolton 1–3 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Apr 2019 Bolton 0–2 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Sep 2018 Middlesbrough 2–0 Bolton Middlesbrough
Dec 2017 Middlesbrough 2–0 Bolton Middlesbrough

Over 2.5 goals in 6 of the last 10 meetings.

Confirmed lineups
Bolton 4-2-3-1
  • 31 G. Bazunu G
  • 22 Gaizka Larrazabal D
  • 18 E. Toal D
  • 5 L. Brunt D
  • 14 A. Famewo D
  • 8 J. Sheehan M
  • 21 E. Erhahon M
  • 7 K. Dong M
  • 20 Ruben Rodrigues M
  • 11 T. Gale M
  • 9 T. Bair F
Bench J. Bonham, M. Conway, S. Dalby, B. Davies, R. Hardie, S. Iling-Junior, A. Ito, X. Simons, Luca Stephenson

S. Schumacher

Middlesbrough 4-2-3-1
  • 1 R. Vítek G
  • 2 C. Brittain D
  • 4 A. Phillips D
  • 29 A. Malanda D
  • 30 Neto Borges D
  • 10 A. Morris M
  • 6 S. Berhalter M
  • 11 A. Cozier-Duberry M
  • 8 R. McGree M
  • 9 T. Conway M
  • 7 W. Lankshear F
Bench J. Sarmiento, M. Peart-Harris, K. Joseph, Leo Castledine, S. Byram, S. Brynn, C. Barron, L. Ayling, M. Arfsten

K. Hellberg

Team news · injuries & suspensions
Bolton
  • OUT J. Nelson Inactive
  • DOUBT C. Forino-Joseph Groin Injury
  • OUT J. Nelson Inactive
  • DOUBT C. Forino-Joseph Groin Injury
Middlesbrough
  • OUT A. Jones Calf Injury
  • OUT R. Pukstas Injury
  • OUT D. Strelec Injury
  • OUT A. Jones Calf Injury
  • OUT R. Pukstas Injury
  • OUT D. Strelec Injury