Bundesliga (Germany) WON 1–0
Sat, Oct 24 · 15:30 · Home Deluxe Arena
SC Paderborn 07 Home
VS
Hamburger SV Away
SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV — Bundesliga
Tipster's pick Paderborn 07 or Draw
Confidence High
Odds 1.40 Odds via Bet365
Expert analysis

Paderborn Look Capable of Avoiding Defeat at Home

Paderborn have collected just five points from six league games and sit 16th in the table. Hamburger SV hold ninth place after nine points but have shown vulnerability on their travels by conceding three goals per away game. The home side average one goal scored per home match while restricting opponents to 1.3 conceded in their own stadium. Head-to-head records show a balanced contest with each team winning four of the last ten meetings. Paderborn failed to score in four of their six league outings yet their home record offers a platform to stay unbeaten. Hamburger SV have won four of their last five but face a side that can exploit spaces if the visitors push forward aggressively in search of another victory.

AcePredictor Analysis by AcePredictor 68.5% win rate
Result
1–0 WON

Our pick “Paderborn 07 or Draw” at odds 1.40 won — final score 1–0.

Match timeline
  1. First half
  2. Otto Emerson Stange ↓ Fábio Vieira 13'
  3. Terem Moffi ↓ Yussuf Poulsen 45'
  4. Tom Baack ↓ Gabriel Vidović 45'
  5. Second half
  6. Shafiq Nandja 53'
  7. Jano ter Horst 58'
  8. Felix Götze ↓ Jano ter Horst 62'
  9. Marvin Pieringer ↓ Steffen Tigges 62'
  10. Rayan Philippe ↓ Laurin Ulrich 70'
  11. Albert Sambi Lokonga ↓ Miro Muheim 71'
  12. Albert Grönbaek ↓ Bilal Nadir 71'
  13. Sven Michel ↓ Stefano Marino 79'
  14. Albert Sambi Lokonga 87'
  15. Rayan Philippe assist Felix Götze 88'
  16. Merlin Polzin 89'
  17. Alexander Rossing Lelesiit ↓ Otto Emerson Stange 89'
This season
SC Paderborn 07 Hamburger SV
Over 2.5 goals 50% 67%
Clean sheet 17% 17%
Failed to score 67% 50%
Scored per game 0.8 1.0
Conceded per game 1.5 2.5
Scored home / away 1.0 / 0.7 1.0 / 1.0

Across 6 and 6 matches played this season.

League table position
# Team PWDLPts
8 WER Werder Bremen 6 2 3 1 9
9 HAM Hamburger SV ▲ 6 3 0 3 9
10 FCA FC Augsburg 6 2 2 2 8
11 EIN Eintracht Frankfurt 6 2 2 2 8
12 FCK 1. FC Köln 6 2 1 3 7
13 VFB VfB Stuttgart 6 2 0 4 6
14 HOF 1899 Hoffenheim 6 2 0 4 6
15 FCS FC Schalke 04 6 1 2 3 5
16 SCP SC Paderborn 07 ▲ 6 1 2 3 5
17 UNI Union Berlin 6 1 2 3 5
Recent form · last 5 finished matches
SC Paderborn 07 LWWLD
L @ Borussia Dortmund 0–3 Sep 12
W vs 1899 Hoffenheim 3–1 Sep 20
W @ DC United 1–0 Sep 30
L vs VfB Stuttgart 0–2 Oct 10
D @ Werder Bremen 2–2 Oct 17
Hamburger SV LWWWW
L @ RB Leipzig 0–5 Sep 13
W vs 1. FC Köln 2–1 Sep 19
W vs FC Copenhagen 2–0 Oct 4
W @ 1899 Hoffenheim 3–2 Oct 10
W vs VfB Stuttgart 1–0 Oct 17
Goals trend · last 5 matches
SC Paderborn 07
Scored 1.2 avg
0 3 1 0 2
Conceded 1.6 avg
3 1 0 2 2
Hamburger SV
Scored 1.6 avg
0 2 2 3 1
Conceded 1.6 avg
5 1 0 2 0
Head-to-head · last meetings
4 SC Paderborn 07
2 Draws
4 Hamburger SV
Mar 2025 SC Paderborn 07 2–0 Hamburger SV SC Paderborn 07
Sep 2024 Hamburger SV 2–2 SC Paderborn 07 Draw
May 2024 SC Paderborn 07 1–0 Hamburger SV SC Paderborn 07
Dec 2023 Hamburger SV 1–2 SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07
May 2023 Hamburger SV 2–2 SC Paderborn 07 Draw

Over 2.5 goals in 8 of the last 10 meetings.

Confirmed lineups
SC Paderborn 07 3-5-2
  • 15 N. Noll G
  • 21 J. ter Horst D
  • 25 T. Scheller D
  • 22 M. Hansen D
  • 17 L. Curda M
  • 28 L. Ulrich M
  • 5 S. Castañeda M
  • 40 G. Vidović M
  • 23 R. Obermair M
  • 30 S. Marino F
  • 27 S. Tigges F
Bench T. Baack, F. Götze, S. Michel, Ruben Müller, R. Philippe, M. Pieringer, M. Schubert, Jonah Benedict Sticker, D. Zeitler

R. Kettemann

Hamburger SV 3-5-2
  • 1 Daniel Heuer Fernandes G
  • 43 S. Nandja D
  • 33 S. Bornauw D
  • 17 W. Omari D
  • 7 Z. El Ouahdi M
  • 5 M. Adeline M
  • 4 B. Nadir M
  • 28 M. Muheim M
  • 3 D. Møller Wolfe M
  • 20 Fábio Vieira F
  • 15 Y. Poulsen F
Bench Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit, Otto Emerson Stange, S. Tangvik, T. Moffi, A. Sambi Lokonga, L. Lemke, A. Grønbæk, J. Bissi Mouelle, Kofi Jeremy Amoako

M. Polzin

Team news · injuries & suspensions
SC Paderborn 07
  • OUT N. Awortwie-Grant Knee Injury
  • OUT O. Batista Meier Ankle Injury
  • OUT T. Gayret Knee Injury
  • OUT M. Hoffmeier Muscle Injury
  • OUT S. Klaas Muscle Injury
  • OUT N. Awortwie-Grant Knee Injury
  • OUT O. Batista Meier Ankle Injury
  • OUT T. Gayret Knee Injury
  • OUT M. Hoffmeier Muscle Injury
  • OUT S. Klaas Muscle Injury
Hamburger SV
  • OUT N. Remberg Knee Injury
  • OUT M. Vuskovic Doping
  • OUT N. Remberg Knee Injury
  • OUT M. Vuskovic Doping