Premier League WON 2–1
Sat, Oct 24 · 13:30 · Villa Park
Aston Villa Home
VS
Manchester City Away
Aston Villa vs Manchester City — Premier League
Tipster's pick Over 2.5 Goals
Confidence High
Odds 1.50 Odds via Bet365
Expert analysis

Goals Likely at Villa Park Encounter

Aston Villa sit 12th after four wins and one draw in their last five league games. Manchester City top the table with four wins and one loss over the same stretch. Villa average three goals scored per game this season while City reach 3.6. Their head-to-head record shows over 2.5 goals in seven of the last ten meetings. Villa have seen three or more total goals in four of seven league matches while City have done so in five of seven. City score 2.7 goals per away game and concede just 0.3. The game may hinge on whether City’s forward line can break down Villa’s home defence.

AcePredictor Analysis by AcePredictor 68.5% win rate
Result
2–1 WON

Our pick “Over 2.5 Goals” at odds 1.50 won — final score 2–1.

Match timeline
  1. First half
  2. Nicolas Jackson assist John McGinn 6'
  3. Marc Guehi 32'
  4. Rayan Cherki 38'
  5. Rico Lewis ↓ Marc Guehi 45'
  6. Phil Foden ↓ Rayan Cherki 45'
  7. Second half
  8. Erling Haaland assist Iliman Ndiaye 52'
  9. Johan Manzambi 54'
  10. Matty Cash 55'
  11. Ibrahim Mbaye ↓ Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha 59'
  12. Nicolas Jackson assist Ibrahim Mbaye 60'
  13. Emiliano Buendía ↓ Johan Manzambi 66'
  14. Ross Barkley ↓ John McGinn 66'
  15. Ryan McAidoo ↓ Iliman Ndiaye 69'
  16. Elliot Anderson 74'
  17. Ryan McAidoo 76'
  18. Brian Madjo ↓ Nicolas Jackson 82'
  19. Leon Goretzka ↓ João Gomes 82'
  20. Brian Madjo 83'
  21. Emiliano Buendía 90+5'
This season
Aston Villa Manchester City
Over 2.5 goals 57% 71%
Clean sheet 29% 43%
Failed to score 43% 0%
Scored per game 1.0 2.7
Conceded per game 1.6 1.0
Scored home / away 1.0 / 1.0 2.8 / 2.7

Across 7 and 7 matches played this season.

League table position
# Team PWDLPts
1 MAN Manchester City ▲ 7 7 0 0 21
2 ARS Arsenal 7 6 0 1 18
3 BRI Brighton 7 5 1 1 16
4 CHE Chelsea 7 4 1 2 13
5 LIV Liverpool 7 3 3 1 12
6 BRE Brentford 7 2 4 1 10
7 LEE Leeds 7 2 4 1 10
8 EVE Everton 7 2 4 1 10
9 HUL Hull City 7 2 3 2 9
10 IPS Ipswich 7 3 0 4 9
11 NEW Newcastle 7 2 2 3 8
12 AST Aston Villa ▲ 7 2 2 3 8
13 MAN Manchester United 7 1 4 2 7
Recent form · last 5 finished matches
Aston Villa WWDWW
W @ Tottenham 3–2 Sep 19
W @ Sevilla 3–1 Oct 2
D vs Brentford 2–2 Oct 10
W vs Fenerbahçe 6–0 Oct 14
W @ Newcastle 1–0 Oct 17
Manchester City WWLWW
W vs Sunderland 5–3 Sep 20
W @ Liverpool 3–0 Oct 11
L vs Paris Saint Germain 2–4 Oct 14
W vs Ipswich 3–2 Oct 17
W vs AEK Athens FC 5–1 Oct 20
Goals trend · last 5 matches
Aston Villa
Scored 3.0 avg
3 3 2 6 1
Conceded 1.0 avg
2 1 2 0 0
Manchester City
Scored 3.6 avg
5 3 2 3 5
Conceded 2.0 avg
3 0 4 2 1
Head-to-head · last meetings
4 Aston Villa
1 Draws
5 Manchester City
May 2026 Manchester City 1–2 Aston Villa Aston Villa
Oct 2025 Aston Villa 1–0 Manchester City Aston Villa
Apr 2025 Manchester City 2–1 Aston Villa Manchester City
Dec 2024 Aston Villa 2–1 Manchester City Aston Villa
Apr 2024 Manchester City 4–1 Aston Villa Manchester City

Over 2.5 goals in 7 of the last 10 meetings.

Confirmed lineups
Aston Villa 4-2-3-1
  • 1 Z. Suzuki G
  • 2 M. Cash D
  • 3 V. Lindelöf D
  • 14 Pau Torres D
  • 22 I. Maatsen D
  • 8 B. Kamara M
  • 35 João Gomes M
  • 47 Alysson Edward M
  • 44 J. Manzambi M
  • 7 J. McGinn M
  • 11 N. Jackson F
Bench Brian Madjo, I. Mbaye, George Hemmings, L. Goretzka, L. Bogarde, E. Buendía, R. Barkley, T. Mings, M. Bizot

Unai Emery

Manchester City 4-2-3-1
  • 1 G. Donnarumma G
  • 45 A. Khusanov D
  • 3 Rúben Dias D
  • 6 M. Guéhi D
  • 24 J. Gvardiol D
  • 5 E. Anderson M
  • 17 E. Fernández M
  • 7 I. Ndiaye M
  • 10 R. Cherki M
  • 11 J. Doku M
  • 9 E. Haaland F
Bench P. Foden, R. McAidoo, G. Rulli, R. Aït-Nouri, Vitor Nunes, N. O'Reilly, R. Lewis, M. Kovačić, A. Bouaddi

E. Maresca

Team news · injuries & suspensions
Aston Villa
  • OUT M. Cisse Hip Injury
  • OUT A. Onana Knee Injury
  • OUT M. Ruggeri Muscle Injury
  • OUT A. Wan-Bissaka Muscle Injury
  • DOUBT J. Manzambi Calf Injury
  • OUT M. Cisse Hip Injury
  • OUT A. Onana Knee Injury
  • OUT M. Ruggeri Muscle Injury
  • OUT A. Wan-Bissaka Muscle Injury
  • DOUBT J. Manzambi Calf Injury
Manchester City
  • OUT A. Semenyo Knee Injury
  • DOUBT M. Kovacic Injury
  • DOUBT M. Nunes Knock
  • DOUBT N. O'Reilly Back Injury
  • OUT A. Semenyo Knee Injury
  • DOUBT M. Kovacic Injury
  • DOUBT M. Nunes Knock
  • DOUBT N. O'Reilly Back Injury