Serie A (Brazil) WON 3–2
Tue, Oct 27 · 00:00 · Estádio do Maracanã
Flamengo Home
VS
Atletico-MG Away
Flamengo vs Atletico-MG — Serie A
Tipster's pick Flamengo Over 1.5 Goals
Confidence High
Odds 1.40 Odds via Bet365
Expert analysis

Flamengo to Find the Net Twice at Home

Flamengo lead the Serie A table after 31 matches and average 1.9 goals scored in their home games this season. Their recent run of four unbeaten results includes three draws but no losses. Atletico-MG sit sixth and have scored just 1.0 goal per away fixture across the campaign. Flamengo have won six of the last ten head-to-head meetings against this opponent. The hosts have seen three or more total goals in 19 of their 31 league outings so far. Atletico-MG concede 1.2 goals on average when playing away. Early pressure from Flamengo could stretch Atletico-MG’s defence if the visitors push for a result.

AcePredictor Analysis by AcePredictor 68.5% win rate
Result
3–2 WON

Our pick “Flamengo Over 1.5 Goals” at odds 1.40 won — final score 3–2.

Match timeline
  1. First half
  2. Bernard Anício Caldeira Duarte assist Angelo Preciado 7'
  3. Gonzalo Plata assist Guillermo Varela 34'
  4. Giorgian de Arrascaeta assist Samuel Lino 41'
  5. Ayrton Lucas ↓ Alex Sandro 45'
  6. Second half
  7. Renan Lodi assist Victor Hugo Gomes Silva 59'
  8. Kevin Castaño ↓ Maycon de Andrade Barberan 63'
  9. Reinier Jesus Carvalho ↓ Igor Gomes 63'
  10. Alan Minda ↓ Angelo Preciado 63'
  11. Jorge Carrascal ↓ Gonzalo Plata 69'
  12. Bruno Henrique ↓ Pedro 69'
  13. Léo Pereira 75'
  14. Joaquín Freitas ↓ Giorgian de Arrascaeta 75'
  15. Lucas Paquetá ↓ Jorginho 75'
  16. Jorge Carrascal 76'
  17. Vitor Hugo Franchescoli de Souza ↓ Victor Hugo Gomes Silva 90+1'
  18. Alexsander Cristhian Gomes da Costa ↓ Bernard Anício Caldeira Duarte 90+1'
  19. Vitor Hugo Franchescoli de Souza 90+8'
  20. Jorge Carrascal Penalty 90+9'
This season
Flamengo Atletico-MG
Over 2.5 goals 61% 48%
Clean sheet 45% 26%
Failed to score 6% 29%
Scored per game 2.0 1.4
Conceded per game 0.8 1.1
Scored home / away 1.9 / 2.0 1.7 / 1.0

Across 31 and 31 matches played this season.

League table position
# Team PWDLPts
1 FLA Flamengo ▲ 31 20 7 4 67
2 PAL Palmeiras 31 19 9 3 66
3 ATL Atletico Paranaense 31 15 8 8 53
4 CRU Cruzeiro 31 15 6 10 51
5 FLU Fluminense 31 14 9 8 51
6 ATL Atletico-MG ▲ 31 14 8 9 50
7 BAH Bahia 31 13 10 8 49
Recent form · last 5 finished matches
Flamengo DWDWD
D @ Santos 2–2 Oct 8
W vs Fluminense 1–0 Oct 11
D @ Estudiantes L.P. 0–0 Oct 16
W @ Bahia 3–0 Oct 18
D vs Estudiantes L.P. 0–0 Oct 23
Atletico-MG DWWWL
D @ Atletico Paranaense 2–2 Oct 8
W vs Santos 2–1 Oct 11
W vs Atletico Torque 3–0 Oct 14
W vs Coritiba 1–0 Oct 17
L @ Atletico Torque 0–2 Oct 21
Goals trend · last 5 matches
Flamengo
Scored 1.2 avg
2 1 0 3 0
Conceded 0.4 avg
2 0 0 0 0
Atletico-MG
Scored 1.6 avg
2 2 3 1 0
Conceded 1.0 avg
2 1 0 0 2
Head-to-head · last meetings
6 Flamengo
2 Draws
2 Atletico-MG
Apr 2026 Atletico-MG 0–4 Flamengo Flamengo
Nov 2025 Atletico-MG 1–1 Flamengo Draw
Aug 2025 Atletico-MG 0–1 Flamengo Flamengo
Aug 2025 Flamengo 0–1 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
Jul 2025 Flamengo 1–0 Atletico-MG Flamengo

Over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 10 meetings.

Confirmed lineups
Flamengo 4-2-3-1
  • 1 A. Rossi G
  • 2 G. Varela D
  • 3 Léo Ortiz D
  • 4 Léo Pereira D
  • 26 Alex Sandro D
  • 5 E. Pulgar M
  • 21 Jorginho M
  • 19 G. Plata M
  • 10 G. de Arrascaeta M
  • 16 Samuel Lino M
  • 9 Pedro F
Bench J. Carrascal, Ayrton Lucas, J. Freitas, Emerson Royal, Bruno Henrique, Lucas Paquetá, Vitão, Andrew, Luiz Araújo, João Victor Cunha, N. de la Cruz, Dyogo

Leonardo Jardim

Atletico-MG 4-2-3-1
  • 1 Gabriel Delfim G
  • 2 Natanael D
  • 40 Vitão D
  • 13 Lyanco D
  • 6 Renan Lodi D
  • 8 Maycon M
  • 21 A. Franco M
  • 23 A. Preciado M
  • 30 Victor Hugo M
  • 11 Bernard M
  • 17 Igor Gomes F
Bench K. Castaño, Alexsander, Mamady Cisse, Léo Duarte, Dudu, Gustavo Scarpa, A. Minda, K. Pascini, T. Pérez, Reinier, Robert, Vitor Hugo

E. Domínguez

Team news · injuries & suspensions
Flamengo
  • OUT Danilo Jaw injury
  • OUT Evertton Araujo Thigh Injury
  • OUT Danilo Jaw injury
  • OUT Evertton Araujo Thigh Injury
Atletico-MG
  • OUT T. Borbas Muscle Injury
  • OUT M. Cassierra Muscle Injury
  • OUT Cuello Ribs Injury
  • OUT Everson Foot Injury
  • OUT Fred Muscle Injury
  • OUT Ruan Tressoldi Muscle Injury
  • DOUBT Gustavo Scarpa Muscle Injury
  • OUT T. Borbas Muscle Injury
  • OUT M. Cassierra Muscle Injury
  • OUT Cuello Ribs Injury
  • OUT Everson Foot Injury
  • OUT Fred Muscle Injury
  • OUT Ruan Tressoldi Muscle Injury
  • DOUBT Gustavo Scarpa Muscle Injury