Serie A (Brazil) WON 3–2
Thu, Oct 29 · 01:30 · Arena Fonte Nova
Bahia Home
VS
Sao Paulo Away
Bahia vs Sao Paulo — Serie A
Tipster's pick Sao Paulo Over 0.5 Goals
Confidence High
Odds 1.40 Odds via Bet365
Expert analysis

Sao Paulo to score on the road at Bahia

Sao Paulo average one goal per game this season and have netted in their last three matches after a mixed run of results. Bahia sit seventh but have lost three of their last five league games while conceding 1.3 goals on average. At home Bahia allow 1.1 goals per game and have kept clean sheets in nine of 32 matches overall. Sao Paulo travel with an away scoring rate of 0.8 goals per game and hold a strong head-to-head record with six wins in the last ten meetings. Bahia will miss Kanu through suspension which weakens their defensive line at Arena Fonte Nova. The game could see Sao Paulo press forward early to avoid another blank on the road.

AcePredictor Analysis by AcePredictor 68.5% win rate
Result
3–2 WON

Our pick “Sao Paulo Over 0.5 Goals” at odds 1.40 won — final score 3–2.

Match timeline
  1. First half
  2. Rodrigo Nestor assist Jean Lucas 6'
  3. erick pulga assist Marcos Victor 10'
  4. Lucas Moura assist Jonathan Calleri 43'
  5. Damian Bobadilla 45+5'
  6. Second half
  7. Éverton Ribeiro ↓ Jean Lucas 56'
  8. Erick Luis Conrado Carvalho ↓ Nicolas Acevedo 56'
  9. Ademir ↓ erick pulga 56'
  10. Marcos Victor 69'
  11. Jose Monteiro 70'
  12. Djhordney Ferreira ↓ Luciano 71'
  13. Caio Alexandre ↓ Rodrigo Nestor 74'
  14. Marcos Victor assist Erick Luis Conrado Carvalho 81'
  15. Gustavo Santana ↓ Jose Monteiro 82'
  16. Victor Sá ↓ Wendell 82'
  17. Danielzinho ↓ Pablo Maia 82'
  18. Cauly Oliveira Souza ↓ Damian Bobadilla 82'
  19. Michel Araujo ↓ Cristian Olivera 88'
  20. Gustavo Santana 90+1'
  21. Lucas Moura 90+2'
  22. Dorival Silvestre Júnior 90+3'
  23. David Duarte 90+6'
This season
Bahia Sao Paulo
Over 2.5 goals 50% 38%
Clean sheet 28% 22%
Failed to score 16% 22%
Scored per game 1.4 1.2
Conceded per game 1.3 1.1
Scored home / away 1.4 / 1.4 1.6 / 0.8

Across 32 and 32 matches played this season.

League table position
# Team PWDLPts
6 ATL Atletico-MG 31 14 8 9 50
7 BAH Bahia ▲ 32 13 11 8 50
8 SAN Santos 32 12 10 10 46
9 SAO Sao Paulo ▲ 32 12 7 13 43
10 RBB RB Bragantino 32 11 8 13 41
Recent form · last 5 finished matches
Bahia LLWLD
L @ Atletico Paranaense 1–2 Sep 20
L @ Palmeiras 0–1 Oct 9
W vs Mirassol 1–0 Oct 11
L vs Flamengo 0–3 Oct 18
D @ Santos 1–1 Oct 25
Sao Paulo LLWWD
L vs Santos 1–2 Oct 2
L @ Cruzeiro 0–2 Oct 8
W vs Vitoria 2–1 Oct 11
W vs Vasco DA Gama 1–0 Oct 18
D @ Mirassol 1–1 Oct 24
Goals trend · last 5 matches
Bahia
Scored 0.6 avg
1 0 1 0 1
Conceded 1.4 avg
2 1 0 3 1
Sao Paulo
Scored 1.0 avg
1 0 2 1 1
Conceded 1.2 avg
2 2 1 0 1
Head-to-head · last meetings
2 Bahia
2 Draws
6 Sao Paulo
May 2026 Sao Paulo 2–2 Bahia Draw
Oct 2025 Sao Paulo 2–0 Bahia Sao Paulo
May 2025 Bahia 2–1 Sao Paulo Bahia
Nov 2024 Bahia 0–3 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
Jun 2024 Sao Paulo 3–1 Bahia Sao Paulo

Over 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 10 meetings.

Confirmed lineups
Bahia 5-3-2
  • 1 Ronaldo G
  • 99 C. Olivera D
  • 44 Marcos Victor D
  • 33 David Duarte D
  • 3 Marco Moreno D
  • 46 Luciano Juba D
  • 6 Jean Lucas M
  • 5 N. Acevedo M
  • 11 Rodrigo Nestor M
  • 16 Erick Pulga F
  • 9 A. Véliz F
Bench Ademir, Everaldo, Caio Alexandre, M. Sanabria, Luiz Gustavo, G. Herrera, Roman Gomez, Erick, Ruan Pablo, M. Araújo

Rogério Ceni

Sao Paulo 3-4-2-1
  • 23 Rafael G
  • 28 Newton D
  • 5 R. Arboleda D
  • 35 Sabino D
  • 32 Pedro Lima M
  • 16 D. Bobadilla M
  • 29 Pablo Maia M
  • 18 Wendell M
  • 10 Luciano M
  • 7 Lucas Moura M
  • 9 J. Calleri F
Bench G. Santana, Carlos Coronel, D. Ferreira, Pedro Ferreira, Cauly, André Silva, Osorio Luis, Ryan Francisco, Victor Sá, R. Tolói, Danielzinho, Lucas Ramon

Dorival Júnior

Team news · injuries & suspensions
Bahia
  • OUT Kanu Yellow Cards
  • OUT Leo Vieira Knee Injury
  • OUT Kanu Yellow Cards
  • OUT Leo Vieira Knee Injury
Sao Paulo
  • OUT Artur Inactive
  • OUT N. Bosshardt Inactive
  • OUT Buta Knee Injury
  • OUT Cauly Inactive
  • OUT D. Duarte Knee Injury
  • OUT Iago Borduchi Yellow Cards
  • OUT Jonathan Calleri Inactive
  • DOUBT Ferreira Injury
  • OUT Artur Inactive
  • OUT N. Bosshardt Inactive
  • OUT Buta Knee Injury
  • OUT Cauly Inactive
  • OUT D. Duarte Knee Injury
  • OUT Iago Borduchi Yellow Cards
  • OUT Jonathan Calleri Inactive
  • DOUBT Ferreira Injury