Expert analysis

Casa Pia Aim to Keep Games Close at Alverca

Casa Pia enter this match with three wins in their last five games while Alverca have lost three of their last five. Casa Pia score just 0.5 goals a game overall yet concede only 0.8 away from home this season. Alverca have seen both teams score in six of their ten league matches and average 1.2 goals conceded at home. Head to head meetings show Casa Pia won one of the last three encounters. Their matches tend toward fewer goals with just three of ten this season going over 2.5 total goals. The game may unfold as a tight contest where Alverca struggle to break down a defensive Casa Pia side.

Analysis by AcePredictor 68% win rate

This season

	Alverca	Casa Pia
Over 2.5 goals	50%	30%
Clean sheet	10%	20%
Failed to score	30%	70%
Scored per game	1.3	0.5
Conceded per game	1.4	1.9
Scored home / away	1.0 / 1.6	0.2 / 0.8

Across 10 and 10 matches played this season.

League table position

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Pts
9	MOR Moreirense	10	4	2	4	14
10	ALV Alverca ▲	10	3	2	5	11
11	FAM Famalicao	10	2	4	4	10
12	EST Estrela	10	2	4	4	10
13	VIT Vitória SC	10	2	3	5	9
14	MAR Maritimo	10	2	2	6	8
15	NAC Nacional	10	2	1	7	7
16	RIO Rio Ave	10	2	1	7	7
17	CAS Casa Pia ▲	10	2	1	7	7
18	EST Estoril	10	0	2	8	2

Recent form · last 5 finished matches

Alverca WWLLL

W vs Rio Ave 1–0 Sep 19

W @ Famalicao 4–1 Oct 12

L @ Tondela 0–2 Oct 18

L vs Arouca 0–1 Oct 24

L @ Benfica 0–1 Nov 2

Casa Pia WLWWL

W @ Estoril 2–1 Sep 20

L vs Santa Clara 0–1 Oct 10

W @ Alpendorada 1–0 Oct 18

W @ Estrela 2–0 Oct 24

L vs Sporting CP 0–2 Oct 30

Goals trend · last 5 matches

Alverca

Scored 1.0 avg

1 4 0 0 0

Conceded 1.0 avg

0 1 2 1 1

Casa Pia

Scored 1.0 avg

2 0 1 2 0

Conceded 0.8 avg

1 1 0 0 2

Head-to-head · last meetings

2 Alverca

0 Draws

1 Casa Pia

Apr 2026 Alverca 3–1 Casa Pia Alverca

Nov 2025 Casa Pia 0–2 Alverca Alverca

Aug 2025 Alverca 2–3 Casa Pia Casa Pia

Over 2.5 goals in 2 of the last 3 meetings.