Eredivisie WON 1–3
Sat, Sep 5 · 20:00 · Johan Cruijff Arena
AFC Ajax Home
VS
PSV Eindhoven Away
Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven — Eredivisie
Tipster's pick Ajax or PSV Eindhoven
Value Fair · 2/5
Odds 1.25 Odds via Bet365
Our estimate78%
This price needs80%
Expert analysis

Attacking Trends Favor Decider Over Draw

Ajax and PSV both carry strong goal tallies into this fixture with neither side showing signs of struggling to score. PSV have posted especially high numbers away from home while Ajax keep their home defense tight enough to limit opponents. Recent head to head meetings have seen few stalemates as the sides tend to trade chances rather than cancel each other out. Ajax sit on a run of results that includes wins and draws but no heavy defeats while PSV arrive with a string of victories that highlight their forward momentum. The absence list leaves both teams with their main attacking options still available so the pattern of open play should continue. These factors combine to suggest one side will find the decisive moment.

AcePredictor Analysis by AcePredictor 72.6% win rate
Result
1–3 WON

Our pick “Ajax or PSV Eindhoven” at odds 1.25 won — final score 1–3.

Match timeline
  1. First half
  2. Ricardo Pepi assist Ruben van Bommel 5'
  3. Kodai Sano 16'
  4. Tolu Arokodare 23'
  5. Noah Fernandez 37'
  6. Paul Wanner ↓ Noah Fernandez 45'
  7. Lutsharel Geertruida 45+1'
  8. Second half
  9. Marcos Leonardo Santos Almeida ↓ Davy Klaassen 54'
  10. Sofyan Amrabat ↓ Oscar Gloukh 54'
  11. Kasper Dolberg ↓ Tolu Arokodare 61'
  12. Viktor Tsygankov ↓ Steven Berghuis 61'
  13. Sven Mijnans ↓ Ricardo Pepi 63'
  14. Esmir Bajraktarević ↓ Ivan Perišić 63'
  15. Filip Kostić ↓ Mauro Júnior 73'
  16. Abdellah Ouazane ↓ Jorthy Mokio 73'
  17. Ryan Flamingo ↓ Lutsharel Geertruida 73'
  18. Filip Kostić 74'
  19. Davy Klaassen 80'
  20. Youri Baas 81'
  21. Ruben van Bommel 81'
  22. Ivan Perišić 81'
  23. Lutsharel Geertruida 84'
  24. Thilo Kehrer ↓ Aaron Bouwman 84'
  25. Yarek Gasiorowski ↓ Armando Obispo 88'
  26. Esmir Bajraktarević assist Sven Mijnans 90+2'
  27. Anton Gaaei 90+6'
This season
Ajax PSV Eindhoven
Over 2.5 goals 33% 50%
Clean sheet 67% 0%
Failed to score 0% 0%
Scored per game 2.7 3.8
Conceded per game 0.7 1.3
Scored home / away 2.0 / 3.0 3.5 / 4.0

Across 3 and 4 matches played this season.

League table position
# Team PWDLPts
1 AZA AZ Alkmaar 4 4 0 0 12
2 PSV PSV Eindhoven 4 3 1 0 10
3 FEY Feyenoord 4 2 2 0 8
4 AJA Ajax 3 2 1 0 7
5 GOA GO Ahead Eagles 4 2 1 1 7
Recent form · last 5 finished matches
Ajax DDWWW
D @ Shelbourne 2–2 Aug 13
D vs Heerenveen 2–2 Aug 16
W @ FC Sion 4–2 Aug 20
W vs FC Sion 5–3 Aug 27
W @ Telstar 4–0 Aug 30
PSV Eindhoven LDWWW
L vs AZ Alkmaar 0–4 Aug 2
D vs Fortuna Sittard 2–2 Aug 8
W @ Excelsior 2–1 Aug 15
W vs Groningen 5–1 Aug 23
W @ Utrecht 6–1 Aug 30
Goals trend · last 5 matches
Ajax
Scored 3.4 avg
2 2 4 5 4
Conceded 1.8 avg
2 2 2 3 0
PSV Eindhoven
Scored 3.0 avg
0 2 2 5 6
Conceded 1.8 avg
4 2 1 1 1
Head-to-head · last meetings
2 AFC Ajax
4 Draws
4 PSV Eindhoven
May 2026 Ajax 2–2 PSV Eindhoven Draw
Sep 2025 PSV Eindhoven 2–2 Ajax Draw
Mar 2025 PSV Eindhoven 0–2 Ajax Ajax
Nov 2024 Ajax 3–2 PSV Eindhoven Ajax
Feb 2024 Ajax 1–1 PSV Eindhoven Draw

Over 2.5 goals in 7 of the last 10 meetings.

Confirmed lineups
Ajax 4-3-3
  • 1 M. ter Stegen G
  • 3 A. Gaaei D
  • 30 A. Bouwman D
  • 15 Y. Baas D
  • 12 Caio Henrique D
  • 18 D. Klaassen M
  • 24 J. Mokio M
  • 8 J. Brandt M
  • 23 S. Berghuis F
  • 99 T. Arokodare F
  • 10 O. Gloukh F
Bench O. Edvardsen, K. Dolberg, M. Paes, A. Ouazane, Marcos Leonardo, T. Kehrer, D. Janse, Lucas Rosa, Jofre Torrents, V. Tsygankov, S. Amrabat, O. Wijndal

Míchel

PSV Eindhoven 4-2-3-1
  • 32 M. Kovář G
  • 8 S. Dest D
  • 2 L. Geertruida D
  • 4 A. Obispo D
  • 17 Mauro Júnior D
  • 24 K. Sano M
  • 31 N. Fernandez M
  • 5 I. Perišić M
  • 20 G. Til M
  • 7 R. van Bommel M
  • 9 R. Pepi F
Bench P. Wanner, A. Santos, N. Olij, Khadim Ngom, F. Kostić, Yarek Gasiorowski, R. Flamingo, A. Bouhamdi, E. Bajraktarevic, S. Mijnans

P. Bosz

Team news · injuries & suspensions
AFC Ajax
  • OUT S. Adingra Foot Injury
  • OUT D. Blind Injury
  • OUT R. Bounida Injury
  • OUT S. Adingra Foot Injury
  • OUT D. Blind Injury
  • OUT R. Bounida Injury
PSV Eindhoven
  • OUT M. Bro Hansen Injury
  • OUT D. Man Inactive
  • OUT S. Ouaissa Muscle Injury
  • OUT A. Plea Injury
  • OUT J. Schouten Knee Injury
  • OUT K. Sildillia Inactive
  • OUT M. Bro Hansen Injury
  • OUT D. Man Inactive
  • OUT S. Ouaissa Muscle Injury
  • OUT A. Plea Injury
  • OUT J. Schouten Knee Injury
  • OUT K. Sildillia Inactive