La Liga WON 1–2
Sat, Oct 10 · 16:15 · Estadio Mendizorrotza
Alaves Home
VS
Atletico Madrid Away
Alaves vs Atletico Madrid — La Liga
Tipster's pick Alaves +1.5
Confidence Low
Odds 1.35 Odds via Bet365
Expert analysis

Alaves Home Record Points to Tight Affair

Alaves sit sixth in the table after seven league matches and have conceded just 0.8 goals per game at the Estadio Mendizorrotza. Atletico Madrid sit second but have shipped 1.3 goals a game in their four away fixtures so far. In the last ten head-to-head meetings Alaves have taken four points from Atletico. Alaves have also kept three clean sheets in their seven league outings and average only 0.9 goals conceded overall. Atletico have produced six games with three or more goals in their seven matches this season. The visitors average 2.0 goals scored away from home yet face an Alaves side that has scored 2.3 at their own ground. Expect the contest to hinge on whether Atletico can break down a compact home defence or whether Alaves find space on the counter.

AcePredictor Analysis by AcePredictor 68.1% win rate
Result
1–2 WON

Our pick “Alaves +1.5” at odds 1.35 won — final score 1–2.

Match timeline
  1. First half
  2. Alejandro Grimaldo assist Jonathan David 33'
  3. Ademola Lookman 45'
  4. Alejandro Baena Rodríguez ↓ Jonathan David 45'
  5. Julián Álvarez ↓ Ademola Lookman 45'
  6. Robin Le Normand 45+1'
  7. Lucas Boyé Penalty 45+6'
  8. Second half
  9. Lee Kang-In ↓ Pablo Barrios Rivas 57'
  10. Angel Pérez Hidalgo 61'
  11. Dávid Hancko ↓ Robin Le Normand 62'
  12. Ander Guevara ↓ Lucas Boyé 64'
  13. Mariano Díaz ↓ Toni Martínez 64'
  14. Carlos Protesoni ↓ Antonio Blanco 64'
  15. Ville Koski ↓ Nicolas Valentini 71'
  16. Alexander Sørloth ↓ Giuliano Simeone Baldini 73'
  17. Aitor Mañas ↓ Denis Suárez 79'
  18. Cristian Romero assist Alejandro Baena Rodríguez 87'
  19. Johnny Cardoso 90+2'
This season
Alaves Atletico Madrid
Over 2.5 goals 43% 86%
Clean sheet 43% 43%
Failed to score 29% 14%
Scored per game 1.6 2.3
Conceded per game 0.9 1.0
Scored home / away 2.3 / 0.7 2.5 / 2.0

Across 7 and 7 matches played this season.

League table position
# Team PWDLPts
1 BAR Barcelona 7 7 0 0 21
2 ATL Atletico Madrid ▲ 7 5 1 1 16
3 REA Real Betis 7 5 1 1 16
4 REA Real Madrid 7 5 0 2 15
5 SEV Sevilla 7 4 1 2 13
6 ALA Alaves ▲ 7 3 2 2 11
7 DEP Deportivo La Coruna 7 2 4 1 10
Recent form · last 5 finished matches
Alaves WWLLD
W vs Villarreal 1–0 Aug 28
W vs Osasuna 5–2 Sep 6
L @ Racing Santander 1–2 Sep 12
L vs Valencia 0–1 Sep 15
D @ Athletic Club 0–0 Sep 19
Atletico Madrid LLWWW
L @ Athletic Club 0–3 Sep 5
L @ Liverpool 1–2 Sep 9
W @ Real Sociedad 3–0 Sep 13
W vs Osasuna 4–0 Sep 16
W vs Real Madrid 2–1 Sep 20
Goals trend · last 5 matches
Alaves
Scored 1.4 avg
1 5 1 0 0
Conceded 1.0 avg
0 2 2 1 0
Atletico Madrid
Scored 2.0 avg
0 1 3 4 2
Conceded 1.2 avg
3 2 0 0 1
Head-to-head · last meetings
2 Alaves
2 Draws
6 Atletico Madrid
Jan 2026 Atletico Madrid 1–0 Alaves Atletico Madrid
Aug 2025 Alaves 1–1 Atletico Madrid Draw
May 2025 Alaves 0–0 Atletico Madrid Draw
Nov 2024 Atletico Madrid 2–1 Alaves Atletico Madrid
Apr 2024 Alaves 2–0 Atletico Madrid Alaves

Over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 10 meetings.

Confirmed lineups
Alaves 4-4-2
  • 1 Sivera G
  • 7 Angel Pérez D
  • 14 N. Tenaglia D
  • 2 N. Valentini D
  • 17 Jonny D
  • 4 Denis Suárez M
  • 8 Antonio Blanco M
  • 19 Pablo Ibáñez M
  • 21 A. Rebbach M
  • 15 L. Boyé F
  • 11 Toni Martínez F
Bench Yusi, Selu Diallo, Carles Aleñá, M. Díaz, Guevara, V. Koski, Aitor Mañas, Hugo Novoa, X. Olaiz, C. Benavídez, A. Giménez, Miguel Rodríguez

Quique Sánchez Flores

Atletico Madrid 4-4-2
  • 13 J. Oblak G
  • 14 Marcos Llorente D
  • 24 Robin Le Normand D
  • 21 C. Romero D
  • 22 Álex Grimaldo D
  • 20 G. Simeone M
  • 5 J. Cardoso M
  • 6 Koke M
  • 8 Pablo Barrios M
  • 11 A. Lookman F
  • 15 J. David F
Bench A. Sørloth, Marc Pubill, Arnau Ortiz, J. Musso, Lee Kang-In, M. Hjulmand, D. Hancko, J. Dominguez, J. Castillo, Álex Baena, J. Álvarez, Dani Martínez

D. Simeone

Team news · injuries & suspensions
Alaves
  • OUT F. Garces Suspended
  • OUT M. Rodriguez Ankle Injury
  • OUT F. Garces Suspended
  • OUT M. Rodriguez Ankle Injury
Atletico Madrid
  • OUT R. Mendoza Inactive
  • OUT O. Vargas Inactive
  • OUT R. Mendoza Inactive
  • OUT O. Vargas Inactive