La Liga MISSED 0–1
Tue, Sep 15 · 20:00 · Estadio Mendizorrotza
Alaves Home
VS
Valencia Away
Alaves vs Valencia — La Liga
Tipster's pick Over 1.5 Goals
Confidence Medium
Odds 1.40 Odds via Bet365
Expert analysis

Alaves Home Form Points to Multiple Goals

Alaves have averaged three goals per home game this season while maintaining a clean record of never failing to score. Valencia concede two goals on average and hold just one clean sheet in five matches. Their recent run of four straight defeats has left the defense exposed against teams that press forward. Head to head results show Alaves winning five of the last ten meetings, often through steady pressure that creates chances. Valencia score only half a goal per away game, which reduces the chance of a low scoring stalemate. Alaves recent sequence of three wins and one draw reflects better organisation in midfield that helps them control tempo and build attacks. These patterns together suggest the match will see enough goalmouth action to clear the one and a half goal mark.

AcePredictor Analysis by AcePredictor 68% win rate
Result
0–1 MISSED

Our pick “Over 1.5 Goals” at odds 1.40 didn’t land — final score 0–1.

Match timeline
  1. First half
  2. Javi Guerra 21'
  3. Antonio Blanco 21'
  4. José Luis García Vayá 45+2'
  5. Second half
  6. Aaron Mayol 52'
  7. Guido Rodríguez 61'
  8. Luis Rioja ↓ Hugo Duro 63'
  9. Mariano Díaz ↓ Toni Martínez 67'
  10. Youssef Enriquez ↓ Denis Suárez 67'
  11. David Otorbi Ejededawe ↓ Guido Rodríguez 70'
  12. Luis Rioja assist Javi Guerra 78'
  13. Jesús Vázquez ↓ Luis Rioja 82'
  14. Iker Córdoba ↓ Justin De Haas 82'
  15. Arnau Martínez López ↓ Pablo Maffeo 82'
  16. Carles Aleñá ↓ Angel Pérez Hidalgo 85'
  17. Ander Guevara ↓ Antonio Blanco 85'
  18. Miguel Rodríguez ↓ Abderrahmane Rebbach 85'
This season
Alaves Valencia
Over 2.5 goals 60% 40%
Clean sheet 50% 20%
Failed to score 0% 80%
Scored per game 2.5 0.2
Conceded per game 0.8 2.0
Scored home / away 3.0 / 1.0 0.0 / 0.5

Across 4 and 5 matches played this season.

League table position
# Team PWDLPts
1 BAR Barcelona 4 4 0 0 12
2 ALA Alaves ▲ 4 3 1 0 10
3 SEV Sevilla 5 3 1 1 10
4 REA Real Madrid 4 3 0 1 9
5 REA Real Betis 4 3 0 1 9
6 DEP Deportivo La Coruna 4 2 2 0 8
7 ATL Atletico Madrid 4 2 1 1 7
8 OSA Osasuna 4 2 1 1 7
9 REA Real Sociedad 5 2 1 2 7
10 ATH Athletic Club 4 2 0 2 6
11 LEV Levante 4 1 2 1 5
12 ESP Espanyol 4 1 1 2 4
13 RAC Racing Santander 4 1 1 2 4
14 RAY Rayo Vallecano 4 1 1 2 4
15 GET Getafe 4 1 1 2 4
16 CEL Celta Vigo 5 0 3 2 3
17 VIL Villarreal 4 0 2 2 2
18 MAL Malaga 4 0 2 2 2
19 ELC Elche 4 0 1 3 1
20 VAL Valencia ▲ 5 0 1 4 1
Recent form · last 5 finished matches
Alaves DWDWW
D @ Racing Santander 1–1 Aug 7
W vs Getafe 3–0 Aug 15
D @ Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Aug 20
W vs Villarreal 1–0 Aug 28
W vs Osasuna 5–2 Sep 6
Valencia DLLLL
D vs Celta Vigo 0–0 Aug 22
L vs Real Betis 0–1 Aug 25
L @ Deportivo La Coruna 1–3 Aug 30
L vs Barcelona 0–5 Sep 6
L @ Sevilla 0–1 Sep 11
Goals trend · last 5 matches
Alaves
Scored 2.2 avg
1 3 1 1 5
Conceded 0.8 avg
1 0 1 0 2
Valencia
Scored 0.2 avg
0 0 1 0 0
Conceded 2.0 avg
0 1 3 5 1
Head-to-head · last meetings
5 Alaves
2 Draws
3 Valencia
Mar 2026 Valencia 3–2 Alaves Valencia
Oct 2025 Alaves 0–0 Valencia Draw
May 2025 Alaves 1–0 Valencia Alaves
Dec 2024 Valencia 2–2 Alaves Draw
Jul 2024 Valencia 0–1 Alaves Alaves

Over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 10 meetings.

Confirmed lineups
Alaves 3-5-2
  • 1 Sivera G
  • 14 N. Tenaglia D
  • 16 V. Koski D
  • 2 N. Valentini D
  • 7 Angel Pérez M
  • 19 Pablo Ibáñez M
  • 8 Antonio Blanco M
  • 4 Denis Suárez M
  • 21 A. Rebbach M
  • 15 L. Boyé F
  • 11 Toni Martínez F
Bench C. Benavídez, Carles Aleñá, Jonny, Selu Diallo, M. Díaz, Yusi, Guevara, Izei Hernández, Hugo Novoa, X. Olaiz, A. Giménez, Miguel Rodríguez

Quique Sánchez Flores

Valencia 4-4-2
  • 1 S. Dimitrievski G
  • 24 Pablo Maffeo D
  • 18 Pepelu D
  • 12 J. de Haas D
  • 14 José Gayà D
  • 23 F. Ugrinic M
  • 33 Aaron Mayol M
  • 2 G. Rodríguez M
  • 7 A. Danjuma M
  • 8 Javi Guerra F
  • 9 Hugo Duro F
Bench Jesús Vázquez, R. Sato, Luis Rioja, Dani Raba, Alex Panach, David Otorbi, Arnau Martínez, H. Elliott, A. Dieng, Iker Córdoba, Aimar Blázquez, K. van Oevelen

Óscar Sánchez

Team news · injuries & suspensions
Alaves
  • OUT F. Garces Suspended
  • OUT A. Manas Injury
  • OUT M. Rodriguez Ankle Injury
  • OUT F. Garces Suspended
  • OUT A. Manas Injury
  • OUT M. Rodriguez Ankle Injury
Valencia
  • OUT S. Canos Knee Injury
  • OUT J. Copete Ankle Injury
  • OUT M. Diakhaby Muscle Injury
  • OUT D. Foulquier Injury
  • OUT D. Lopez Knee Injury
  • OUT U. Sadiq Muscle Injury
  • OUT C. Tarrega Hamstring Injury
  • OUT S. Canos Knee Injury
  • OUT J. Copete Ankle Injury
  • OUT M. Diakhaby Muscle Injury
  • OUT D. Foulquier Injury
  • OUT D. Lopez Knee Injury
  • OUT U. Sadiq Muscle Injury
  • OUT C. Tarrega Hamstring Injury