Major League Soccer MISSED 2–3
Thu, Sep 10 · 01:30 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Atlanta United FC Home
VS
Orlando City SC Away
Atlanta United FC vs Orlando City SC — Major League Soccer
Tipster's pick Atlanta United or Draw
Value Fair · 2/5
Odds 1.36 Odds via Bet365
Our estimate72%
This price needs74%
Expert analysis

Atlanta Home Form Supports Double Chance Play

Atlanta United enters this home fixture after a recent run that includes three wins in their last five outings. Their defensive record shows fewer goals conceded on average than Orlando City has allowed across the season. Head to head meetings reveal Atlanta has avoided defeat in five of the past nine encounters. Orlando’s away scoring output has not consistently overcome organized home defenses like Atlanta’s. The visitors’ form contains more inconsistent results that limit their ability to secure road victories. Atlanta’s low rate of high scoring games suggests controlled matches where a draw remains possible. These patterns together point toward the home side staying unbeaten as a reasonable expectation.

AcePredictor Analysis by AcePredictor 73.2% win rate
Result
2–3 MISSED

Our pick “Atlanta United or Draw” at odds 1.36 didn’t land — final score 2–3.

Match timeline
  1. First half
  2. David Brekalo Own goal 7'
  3. Antoine Griezmann assist Joran Gerbet 26'
  4. David Brekalo 42'
  5. Adrian Gill ↓ Ajani Fortune 45'
  6. Zakaria Taifi ↓ Griffin Dorsey 45'
  7. Second half
  8. Iván Angulo assist Martin Ojeda 58'
  9. Luke Brennan ↓ Tristan Muyumba 64'
  10. Tomás Jacob 67'
  11. Tyrese Spicer ↓ Bernardo Rhein 71'
  12. Marco Pašalić ↓ Martin Ojeda 74'
  13. Wilder Cartagena ↓ Joran Gerbet 74'
  14. Antoine Griezmann assist Justin Ellis 77'
  15. Sergi Santos ↓ Breel Embolo 78'
  16. Fafà Picault ↓ Aleksey Miranchuk 78'
  17. Enea Mihaj ↓ Paulo Díaz 78'
  18. Iago Teodoro ↓ David Brekalo 79'
  19. Justin Ellis 88'
  20. Tyrese Spicer Own goal 90+7'
This season
Atlanta United FC Orlando City SC
Over 2.5 goals 9% 22%
Clean sheet 4% 13%
Failed to score 35% 22%
Scored per game 1.2 1.7
Conceded per game 1.7 2.3
Scored home / away 1.4 / 1.0 1.7 / 1.6

Across 23 and 23 matches played this season.

League table position
# Team PWDLPts
7 NEW New York City FC 23 7 8 8 29
8 ORL Orlando City SC 23 8 4 11 28
9 PHI Philadelphia Union 23 7 6 10 27
10 NEW New York Red Bulls 23 7 6 10 27
11 TOR Toronto FC 23 5 11 7 26
12 DCU DC United 22 5 10 7 25
13 COL Columbus Crew 23 6 5 12 23
14 ATL Atlanta United FC 23 6 4 13 22
15 CFM CF Montreal 23 5 6 12 21
Recent form · last 5 finished matches
Atlanta United FC WWWLD
W vs New York Red Bulls 2–1 Aug 15
W @ Minnesota United FC 2–1 Aug 20
W vs Sporting Kansas City 2–1 Aug 23
L vs Charlotte 0–2 Aug 29
D @ Inter Miami 2–2 Sep 5
Orlando City SC DLWDW
D vs FC Cincinnati 1–1 Aug 15
L vs Chicago Fire 1–2 Aug 19
W vs Real Salt Lake 2–1 Aug 22
D @ Minnesota United FC 3–3 Aug 30
W vs San Diego 1–0 Sep 5
Goals trend · last 5 matches
Atlanta United FC
Scored 1.6 avg
2 2 2 0 2
Conceded 1.4 avg
1 1 1 2 2
Orlando City SC
Scored 1.6 avg
1 1 2 3 1
Conceded 1.4 avg
1 2 1 3 0
Head-to-head · last meetings
3 Atlanta United FC
2 Draws
4 Orlando City SC
May 2026 Orlando City SC 4–1 Atlanta United FC Orlando City SC
May 2026 Orlando City SC 1–1 Atlanta United FC Draw
May 2025 Atlanta United FC 3–2 Orlando City SC Atlanta United FC
Apr 2025 Orlando City SC 3–0 Atlanta United FC Orlando City SC
Nov 2024 Orlando City SC 1–0 Atlanta United FC Orlando City SC

Over 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 9 meetings.

Confirmed lineups
Atlanta United FC 4-3-3
  • 1 L. Hoyos G
  • 55 T. Jacob D
  • 27 P. Díaz D
  • 6 J. Alonso D
  • 3 E. Báez D
  • 14 Mauricio Federico Amaro Viega M
  • 8 T. Muyumba M
  • 35 A. Fortune M
  • 59 A. Miranchuk F
  • 36 B. Embolo F
  • 10 M. Almirón F
Bench L. Brennan, Matthew Edwards, Adrian Gill, C. Togashi, Jayden Hibbert, E. Mihaj, F. Picault, William Reilly, Sergio Santos

G. Martino

Orlando City SC 4-4-2
  • 71 M. Crépeau G
  • 24 G. Dorsey D
  • 4 D. Brekalo D
  • 6 R. Jansson D
  • 44 Bernardo Rhein Goncalves D
  • 22 Justin Ellis M
  • 20 E. Atuesta M
  • 35 Joran Gerbet M
  • 77 I. Angulo M
  • 7 A. Griezmann F
  • 10 M. Ojeda F
Bench Z. Taifi, T. Spicer, Tiago, Marco Pasalic, Javier Otero, D. Dike, Luis Otávio, W. Cartagena, Iago

M. Perelman

Team news · injuries & suspensions
Atlanta United FC
  • OUT Giuliano Galoppo Inactive
  • OUT C. Sanchez Injury
  • DOUBT S. Alzate Illness
  • DOUBT A. Fortune Hamstring Injury
  • OUT Giuliano Galoppo Inactive
  • OUT C. Sanchez Injury
  • DOUBT S. Alzate Illness
  • DOUBT A. Fortune Hamstring Injury
Orlando City SC
  • OUT A. Marin Thigh Injury
  • OUT B. Ojeda Foot Injury
  • DOUBT N. Miller Knee Injury
  • OUT A. Marin Thigh Injury
  • OUT B. Ojeda Foot Injury
  • DOUBT N. Miller Knee Injury