Serie A (Brazil) WON 2–1
Sat, Aug 29 · 23:30 · MRV Arena
Atletico-MG Home
VS
Vitoria Away
Atletico-MG vs Vitoria — Serie A
Tipster's pick Atletico-MG or Vitoria
Value Fair · 2/5
Odds 1.28 Odds via Bet365
Our estimate75%
This price needs78%
Expert analysis

Atletico-MG and Vitoria Point Toward Decisive Finish

Atletico-MG records higher goal output at home while Vitoria manages fewer strikes away from their base. Past meetings between the sides produced just two draws across ten encounters with the rest ending in wins for either team. Atletico-MG recent sequence mixes wins and losses that rarely end level. Vitoria away scoring average sits at 0.60 goals per game limiting their ability to force stalemates. Both teams show clean sheet rates below forty percent which opens games to results. Head to head data aligns with current patterns where one side tends to claim victory.

AcePredictor Analysis by AcePredictor 72.7% win rate
Result
2–1 WON

Our pick “Atletico-MG or Vitoria” at odds 1.28 won — final score 2–1.

Match timeline
  1. First half
  2. T. Borbas assist Reinier 25'
  3. D. Tarzia 35'
  4. A. Preciado 44'
  5. Second half
  6. Matheusinho ↓ E. Britez 46'
  7. M. Cisse 59'
  8. Gustavo Scarpa ↓ T. Borbas 60'
  9. Reinier 63'
  10. Erick ↓ Emmanuel Martinez 69'
  11. Matheuzinho ↓ D. Tarzia 69'
  12. Rene ↓ Alex Bruno 69'
  13. Dudu ↓ A. Minda 75'
  14. Walace ↓ Caique Goncalves 81'
  15. Erick 87'
  16. Caua ↓ Reinier 90'
  17. Vitor Hugo ↓ Alexsander 90'
This season
Atletico-MG Vitoria
Over 2.5 goals 22% 4%
Clean sheet 26% 38%
Failed to score 35% 38%
Scored per game 1.3 1.0
Conceded per game 1.2 1.5
Scored home / away 1.7 / 1.0 1.3 / 0.6

Across 23 and 24 matches played this season.

League table position
# Team PWDLPts
8 COR Coritiba 24 9 7 8 34
9 ATL Atletico-MG ▲ 23 9 6 8 33
10 COR Corinthians 24 8 8 8 32
11 BOT Botafogo 23 8 6 9 30
12 VIT Vitoria ▲ 24 8 5 11 29
13 SAO Sao Paulo 23 7 6 10 27
Recent form · last 5 finished matches
Atletico-MG WWDDD
W @ RB Bragantino 1–0 Aug 12
W vs Gremio 3–0 Aug 16
D vs RB Bragantino 2–2 Aug 19
D @ Internacional 0–0 Aug 22
D @ Cruzeiro 1–1 Aug 26
Vitoria LWLWL
L @ Atletico Paranaense 0–2 Aug 4
W vs Atletico Paranaense 4–0 Aug 6
L @ Flamengo 0–2 Aug 9
W vs Botafogo 1–0 Aug 16
L vs Bahia 0–2 Aug 23
Goals trend · last 5 matches
Atletico-MG
Scored 1.4 avg
1 3 2 0 1
Conceded 0.6 avg
0 0 2 0 1
Vitoria
Scored 1.0 avg
0 4 0 1 0
Conceded 1.2 avg
2 0 2 0 2
Head-to-head · last meetings
2 Atletico-MG
2 Draws
6 Vitoria
Mar 2026 Vitoria 2–0 Atletico-MG Vitoria
Aug 2025 Vitoria 1–0 Atletico-MG Vitoria
Apr 2025 Atletico-MG 2–2 Vitoria Draw
Oct 2024 Atletico-MG 2–2 Vitoria Draw
Jun 2024 Vitoria 4–2 Atletico-MG Vitoria

Over 2.5 goals in 6 of the last 10 meetings.

Confirmed lineups
Atletico-MG 4-2-3-1
  • 1 Gabriel Delfim G
  • 2 Natanael D
  • 40 Vitor Fernandes Chaves Teixeira D
  • 23 Ángelo Preciado D
  • 36 Kauã Pascini D
  • 25 Tomás Pérez M
  • 5 Alexsander M
  • 27 Alan Minda M
  • 39 Mamady Cissé M
  • 19 Reinier M
  • 18 Thiago Borbas F
Bench Robert Alves, Pedro Tocantins, Renan Lodi, Vitor Hugo, Kevin Castaño, Gutte, Tomás Cuello, Alan Franco, Gustavo Scarpa, Cauã Campos Soares, Mateo Cassierra, Dudu

Eduardo Dominguez

Vitoria 4-1-4-1
  • 1 Lucas Arcanjo G
  • 2 Emanuel Brítez D
  • 25 Cacá D
  • 36 Luan Cândido D
  • 83 Jamerson D
  • 9 Alex Bruno M
  • 7 Marinho M
  • 95 Caique Gonçalves M
  • 6 Emmanuel Martínez M
  • 12 Diego Tarzia M
  • 8 Tomás Pochettino F
Bench Yuri Sena, Edenilson, Mateusinho, Ramon, Walace, Osvaldo, Zé Vitor, Matheuzinho, Erick, Renê Sousa, Fabrício Santos, Renato Kayzer

Ventura Jair

Team news · injuries & suspensions
Atletico-MG
  • OUT L. Duarte Hamstring Injury
  • OUT Everson Inactive
  • OUT Igor Gomes Knee Injury
  • OUT Indio Knee Injury
  • OUT Lyanco Foot Injury
  • OUT Patrick Silva Knee Injury
  • OUT Ruan Tressoldi Injury
  • DOUBT Gustavo Scarpa Muscle Injury
  • OUT L. Duarte Hamstring Injury
  • OUT Everson Inactive
  • OUT Igor Gomes Knee Injury
  • OUT Indio Knee Injury
  • OUT Lyanco Foot Injury
  • OUT Patrick Silva Knee Injury
  • OUT Ruan Tressoldi Injury
  • DOUBT Gustavo Scarpa Muscle Injury
Vitoria
  • OUT Anderson Knee Injury
  • OUT Baralhas Inactive
  • OUT Camutanga Broken Leg
  • OUT Dudu Back Injury
  • OUT Edu Achilles Tendon Injury
  • OUT Nathan Mendes Knee Injury
  • OUT R. Ramos Knee Injury
  • OUT Riccieli Calf Injury
  • OUT Anderson Knee Injury
  • OUT Baralhas Inactive
  • OUT Camutanga Broken Leg
  • OUT Dudu Back Injury
  • OUT Edu Achilles Tendon Injury
  • OUT Nathan Mendes Knee Injury
  • OUT R. Ramos Knee Injury
  • OUT Riccieli Calf Injury