Serie A (Brazil) MISSED 3–3
Sun, Aug 30 · 16:00 · Arena da Baixada
Atletico Paranaense Home
VS
Fluminense FC Away
Atletico Paranaense vs Fluminense — Serie A
Tipster's pick Under 3.5 Goals
Value Fair · 2/5
Odds 1.22 Odds via Bet365
Our estimate78%
This price needs82%
Expert analysis

Atletico Paranaense Face Fluminense in Low Goal Game

Both teams have posted very low rates of high scoring games this season so far. Atletico Paranaense maintains a compact defensive shape at home that restricts opponents chances. Fluminense shows similar control in away matches by sitting deep and breaking with care. Past encounters between the sides rarely turn into goal fests with most staying under control. Current form lines for each club point to measured build up play instead of end to end action. Tactical discipline from both managers adds another layer that keeps totals modest. The overall pattern across these factors points toward a contained scoreline.

AcePredictor Analysis by AcePredictor 72.8% win rate
Result
3–3 MISSED

Our pick “Under 3.5 Goals” at odds 1.22 didn’t land — final score 3–3.

Match timeline
  1. First half
  2. Leozinho assist S. Mendoza 35'
  3. Hulk 38'
  4. PH Ganso 45+5'
  5. Second half
  6. G. Benavidez 48'
  7. G. Benavidez 49'
  8. K. Serna ↓ Y. Soteldo 59'
  9. L. Acosta ↓ PH Ganso 60'
  10. A. Canobbio 65'
  11. Dudu Kogitzki ↓ Leozinho 71'
  12. K. A. Calderon Vargas ↓ Joao Cruz 72'
  13. Nonato 76'
  14. Ignacio assist Hulk 78'
  15. K. Viveros 80'
  16. B. Zapelli ↓ Luiz Gustavo 82'
  17. J. Rivaldo ↓ F. Aguirre 83'
  18. J. Savarino ↓ A. Canobbio 90+1'
  19. Jemmes ↓ Hulk 90+1'
  20. K. Viveros Penalty 90+5'
This season
Atletico Paranaense Fluminense
Over 2.5 goals 13% 17%
Clean sheet 33% 17%
Failed to score 25% 13%
Scored per game 1.4 1.5
Conceded per game 0.9 1.2
Scored home / away 1.7 / 1.2 1.8 / 1.2

Across 24 and 24 matches played this season.

League table position
# Team PWDLPts
2 FLA Flamengo 23 13 6 4 45
3 ATL Atletico Paranaense ▲ 24 13 5 6 44
4 FLU Fluminense ▲ 24 11 8 5 41
5 CRU Cruzeiro 24 11 6 7 39
Recent form · last 5 finished matches
Atletico Paranaense WLWDW
W vs Vitoria 2–0 Aug 4
L @ Vitoria 0–4 Aug 6
W @ Santos 2–0 Aug 9
D vs RB Bragantino 1–1 Aug 15
W @ Botafogo 3–2 Aug 24
Fluminense DDWDW
D @ Botafogo 1–1 Aug 9
D vs Independ. Rivadavia 0–0 Aug 11
W vs Palmeiras 3–2 Aug 15
D @ Independ. Rivadavia 1–1 Aug 18
W vs Remo 2–1 Aug 22
Goals trend · last 5 matches
Atletico Paranaense
Scored 1.6 avg
2 0 2 1 3
Conceded 1.4 avg
0 4 0 1 2
Fluminense
Scored 1.4 avg
1 0 3 1 2
Conceded 1.0 avg
1 0 2 1 1
Head-to-head · last meetings
2 Atletico Paranaense
2 Draws
6 Fluminense FC
Mar 2026 Fluminense 3–2 Atletico Paranaense Fluminense
Dec 2024 Atletico Paranaense 1–1 Fluminense Draw
Oct 2024 Fluminense 1–0 Atletico Paranaense Fluminense
Aug 2023 Atletico Paranaense 2–2 Fluminense Draw
Apr 2023 Fluminense 2–0 Atletico Paranaense Fluminense

Over 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 10 meetings.

Confirmed lineups
Atletico Paranaense 3-4-2-1
  • 23 Santos G
  • 25 Dantas D
  • 33 Juan Felipe Aguirre D
  • 4 Arthur Dias D
  • 29 Gastón Benavídez M
  • 16 Jádson M
  • 14 Luiz Gustavo M
  • 8 João Cruz M
  • 21 Leozinho F
  • 7 Steven Mendoza F
  • 9 Kevin Viveros F
Bench Mycael, Gilberto Junior, Carlos Terán, Léo, Diogo Riquelme, Isaac, Dudu, Kerwin Vargas, Felipinho, Bruno Zapelli, Jorge Rivaldo, Renan Peixoto Nepomuceno

Joao Correia

Fluminense 4-2-3-1
  • 1 Fábio G
  • 23 Guga D
  • 4 Ignácio D
  • 29 Julián Millán D
  • 6 Renê D
  • 16 Nonato M
  • 8 Martinelli M
  • 17 Agustín Canobbio M
  • 10 Ganso M
  • 30 Yeferson Soteldo M
  • 7 Hulk F
Bench Marcelo Pitaluga, Thiago Silva, Guilherme Arana, Júlio Fidelis, Jemmes, Jefferson Savarino, Otávio, Luciano Acosta, Kevin Serna, Riquelme Felipe, Germán Cano, Rodrigo Castillo

Marcao

Team news · injuries & suspensions
Atletico Paranaense
  • OUT Claudinho Muscle Injury
  • OUT L. Esquivel Ankle Injury
  • OUT Leo Derik Thigh Injury
  • DOUBT Gilberto Ankle Injury
  • OUT Claudinho Muscle Injury
  • OUT L. Esquivel Ankle Injury
  • OUT Leo Derik Thigh Injury
  • DOUBT Gilberto Ankle Injury
Fluminense FC
  • OUT Hercules Yellow Cards
  • OUT Igor Rabello Injury
  • OUT John Kennedy Knee Injury
  • OUT Matheus Reis Knee Injury
  • OUT Samuel Xavier Injury
  • DOUBT Thiago Silva Inactive
  • OUT Hercules Yellow Cards
  • OUT Igor Rabello Injury
  • OUT John Kennedy Knee Injury
  • OUT Matheus Reis Knee Injury
  • OUT Samuel Xavier Injury
  • DOUBT Thiago Silva Inactive