Serie A (Brazil) PENDING
Wed, Nov 4 · 23:30 · Arena da Baixada
Atletico Paranaense Home
VS
Vasco DA Gama Away
Atletico Paranaense vs Vasco DA Gama — Serie A
Tipster's pick A. Paranaense (Draw No Bet)
Confidence Medium
Odds 1.50 Odds via Bet365
Expert analysis

Atletico Paranaense Hold Edge Over Vasco

Atletico Paranaense sit fifth after collecting 54 points from 33 games while Vasco da Gama remain 13th on 38 points from 32. At home the hosts average 1.7 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game at Arena da Baixada. Vasco have managed just 1.0 goal scored and conceded 1.7 on their travels this season. Atletico enter with one win two draws and two defeats across their last five matches yet still carry the slight favourite tag. Vasco have recorded two wins and three defeats in their most recent five outings. Head to head meetings over the last ten games show four wins apiece. The contest may hinge on whether Atletico can break down a compact Vasco defence that has kept only four clean sheets all season.

AcePredictor Analysis by AcePredictor 68.5% win rate
This season
Atletico Paranaense Vasco DA Gama
Over 2.5 goals 48% 59%
Clean sheet 24% 13%
Failed to score 24% 31%
Scored per game 1.5 1.3
Conceded per game 1.2 1.5
Scored home / away 1.7 / 1.4 1.5 / 1.0

Across 33 and 32 matches played this season.

League table position
# Team PWDLPts
4 FLU Fluminense 33 15 9 9 54
5 ATL Atletico Paranaense ▲ 33 15 9 9 54
6 BAH Bahia 33 14 11 8 53
7 ATL Atletico-MG 33 14 8 11 50
8 SAN Santos 33 12 11 10 47
9 RBB RB Bragantino 33 12 8 13 44
10 SAO Sao Paulo 33 12 7 14 43
11 BOT Botafogo 33 10 9 14 39
12 COR Coritiba 32 10 9 13 39
13 VAS Vasco DA Gama ▲ 32 10 8 14 38
14 VIT Vitoria 32 10 8 14 38
Recent form · last 5 finished matches
Atletico Paranaense DWLDL
D vs Atletico-MG 2–2 Oct 8
W @ Chapecoense-sc 4–1 Oct 12
L vs Palmeiras 0–2 Oct 17
D @ Vitoria 1–1 Oct 24
L @ Gremio 0–2 Oct 30
Vasco DA Gama WLLWL
W @ Boca Juniors 1–0 Oct 14
L @ Sao Paulo 0–1 Oct 18
L vs Boca Juniors 1–3 Oct 21
W vs Corinthians 3–2 Oct 24
L vs Flamengo 1–4 Oct 29
Goals trend · last 5 matches
Atletico Paranaense
Scored 1.4 avg
2 4 0 1 0
Conceded 1.6 avg
2 1 2 1 2
Vasco DA Gama
Scored 1.2 avg
1 0 1 3 1
Conceded 2.0 avg
0 1 3 2 4
Head-to-head · last meetings
4 Atletico Paranaense
2 Draws
4 Vasco DA Gama
May 2026 Vasco DA Gama 1–0 Atletico Paranaense Vasco DA Gama
Sep 2024 Atletico Paranaense 2–1 Vasco DA Gama Atletico Paranaense
Aug 2024 Vasco DA Gama 2–1 Atletico Paranaense Vasco DA Gama
Aug 2024 Vasco DA Gama 2–1 Atletico Paranaense Vasco DA Gama
May 2024 Atletico Paranaense 1–0 Vasco DA Gama Atletico Paranaense

Over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 10 meetings.