Championship (England) WON 3–1
Sat, Sep 12 · 16:00 · Ewood Park
Blackburn Home
VS
Millwall Away
Blackburn vs Millwall — Championship
Tipster's pick Blackburn or Draw
Value Fair · 2/5
Odds 1.57 Odds via Bet365
Our estimate63%
This price needs64%
Expert analysis

Blackburn Home Edge Tests Millwall Consistency

Blackburn show resilience in their recent form with results that include draws at key moments. Millwall have alternated between strong wins and unexpected losses in their sequence of matches. Historical clashes reveal Blackburn dominating with multiple victories over Millwall. At home Blackburn maintain a better balance in attack and defense compared to Millwall’s away record. Millwall’s tendency to secure clean sheets may not translate easily in this away environment. The overall pattern favors outcomes where Blackburn avoid defeat.

AcePredictor Analysis by AcePredictor 73.2% win rate
Result
3–1 WON

Our pick “Blackburn or Draw” at odds 1.57 won — final score 3–1.

Match timeline
  1. First half
  2. Hayden Carter 13'
  3. Harry Pickering ↓ Yuri Ribeiro 16'
  4. Sam Morsy 38'
  5. Oladapo Afolayan assist Sam Morsy 41'
  6. Harry Pickering 45'
  7. Gady Beyuku ↓ Ryan Alebiosu 45'
  8. Mark Sykes ↓ Jordi Osei-Tutu 45'
  9. Yanis Ali Issoufou ↓ Romain Esse 45'
  10. Zak Sturge 45+4'
  11. Second half
  12. Gady Beyuku 50'
  13. Lyndon Dykes Penalty 51'
  14. Oladapo Afolayan assist Tom Atcheson 58'
  15. J. Fevrier ↓ Oladapo Afolayan 69'
  16. Andri Guðjohnsen ↓ Todd Cantwell 70'
  17. D. Kelly ↓ Derek Mazou Sacko 76'
  18. Jenson Metcalfe 81'
  19. Elkan Baggott ↓ Jenson Metcalfe 82'
  20. Zakariya Lovelace ↓ Jake Cooper 82'
  21. J. Fevrier 86'
  22. Mark Sykes 90+2'
  23. Andri Guðjohnsen assist J. Fevrier 90+3'
This season
Blackburn Millwall
Over 2.5 goals 0% 40%
Clean sheet 17% 60%
Failed to score 17% 20%
Scored per game 1.2 2.0
Conceded per game 1.5 1.6
Scored home / away 1.3 / 1.0 2.3 / 1.5

Across 6 and 5 matches played this season.

League table position
# Team PWDLPts
7 CHA Charlton 5 3 1 1 10
8 MIL Millwall ▲ 5 3 0 2 9
9 SHE Sheffield Utd 6 2 3 1 9
10 WOL Wolves 5 2 2 1 8
11 WAT Watford 6 2 2 2 8
12 SOU Southampton 6 3 2 1 7
13 WRE Wrexham 6 1 4 1 7
14 BIR Birmingham 5 1 4 0 7
15 STO Stoke City 6 2 1 3 7
16 NOR Norwich 5 2 0 3 6
17 POR Portsmouth 5 2 0 3 6
18 BLA Blackburn ▲ 6 1 2 3 5
19 LIN Lincoln 5 1 2 2 5
Recent form · last 5 finished matches
Blackburn LLDLL
L vs Sheffield Utd 1–2 Aug 25
L vs QPR 1–2 Aug 29
D @ Lincoln 0–0 Sep 1
L @ Preston 1–2 Sep 5
L vs Sheffield Utd 1–2 Sep 8
Millwall WLLWL
W @ Cambridge United 1–0 Aug 25
L @ Southampton 1–5 Aug 29
L vs Wrexham 0–3 Sep 2
W vs Bolton 4–0 Sep 5
L vs Newcastle 0–1 Sep 8
Goals trend · last 5 matches
Blackburn
Scored 0.8 avg
1 1 0 1 1
Conceded 1.6 avg
2 2 0 2 2
Millwall
Scored 1.2 avg
1 1 0 4 0
Conceded 1.8 avg
0 5 3 0 1
Head-to-head · last meetings
6 Blackburn
3 Draws
1 Millwall
Mar 2026 Millwall 1–2 Blackburn Blackburn
Dec 2025 Blackburn 2–0 Millwall Blackburn
Apr 2025 Blackburn 4–1 Millwall Blackburn
Dec 2024 Millwall 1–0 Blackburn Millwall
Mar 2024 Blackburn 1–1 Millwall Draw

Over 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 10 meetings.

Confirmed lineups
Blackburn 4-2-3-1
  • 22 B. Tóth G
  • 2 R. Alebiosu D
  • 6 Tom Atcheson D
  • 15 S. McLoughlin D
  • 4 Yuri Ribeiro D
  • 8 Sam Morsy M
  • 31 Kristi Montgomery M
  • 25 R. Morishita M
  • 10 T. Cantwell M
  • 21 O. Afolayan M
  • 17 H. Carter F
Bench Harvey Higgins, F. Vare, A. Pears, H. Pickering, M. Baradji, Gady Beyuku, J. Fevrier, J. Garrett, A. Guðjohnsen

Tony Mowbray

Millwall 4-2-3-1
  • 15 M. Crocombe G
  • 2 J. Osei-Tutu D
  • 6 C. Taylor D
  • 5 J. Cooper D
  • 3 Zak Norton Sturge D
  • 49 D. Mazou-Sacko M
  • 14 Jenson Metcalfe M
  • 11 R. Esse M
  • 7 T. Arconte M
  • 10 C. Neghli M
  • 13 L. Dykes F
Bench Y. Issoufou, D. Kelly, Z. Lovelace, F. Marschall, Alfie Massey, Tristan Parkes, M. Sykes, E. Baggott, D. Batth

A. Neil

Team news · injuries & suspensions
Blackburn
  • OUT M. Jorgensen Hamstring Injury
  • OUT A. Kargbo Muscle Injury
  • OUT M. Litherland Muscle Injury
  • OUT L. Miller Achilles Tendon Injury
  • OUT Y. Ohashi Inactive
  • DOUBT M. Baradji Hamstring Injury
  • DOUBT S. Wharton Achilles Tendon Injury
  • OUT M. Jorgensen Hamstring Injury
  • OUT A. Kargbo Muscle Injury
  • OUT M. Litherland Muscle Injury
  • OUT L. Miller Achilles Tendon Injury
  • OUT Y. Ohashi Inactive
  • DOUBT M. Baradji Hamstring Injury
  • DOUBT S. Wharton Achilles Tendon Injury
Millwall
  • OUT J. Coburn Muscle Injury
  • OUT T. Crama Inactive
  • OUT L. Cundle Inactive
  • OUT C. De Norre Injury
  • OUT A. Doughty Hamstring Injury
  • OUT M. Ivanovic Hamstring Injury
  • OUT L. Jensen Inactive
  • OUT J. Metcalfe Red Card
  • OUT M. Servais Hamstring Injury
  • DOUBT K. Lisbie Injury
  • DOUBT M. Luongo Knee Injury
  • DOUBT M. Sykes Injury
  • OUT J. Coburn Muscle Injury
  • OUT T. Crama Inactive
  • OUT L. Cundle Inactive
  • OUT C. De Norre Injury
  • OUT A. Doughty Hamstring Injury
  • OUT M. Ivanovic Hamstring Injury
  • OUT L. Jensen Inactive
  • OUT J. Metcalfe Red Card
  • OUT M. Servais Hamstring Injury
  • DOUBT K. Lisbie Injury
  • DOUBT M. Luongo Knee Injury
  • DOUBT M. Sykes Injury