Expert analysis

Union Santa Fe Set to Stay Close at Boca

Boca Juniors hold fifth place after winning four of their last five league games. Union Santa Fe sit ninth and arrive with three wins in their previous five matches despite two recent defeats. Meetings between these sides have stayed low scoring, with just two of the last ten producing three or more goals. At home Boca concede only 0.6 goals per game and have kept twelve clean sheets in twenty seven league matches this season. Union net 1.4 goals per away game and can rely on that scoring rate to stay within reach here. Their head to head record also shows three wins for Union against two for Boca, underlining their ability to compete. The game may unfold as a tight affair where Union avoid defeat by more than one goal.

Analysis by AcePredictor 68% win rate

Result

3–0 MISSED

Our pick “Union Santa Fe +1.5” at odds 1.45 didn’t land — final score 3–0.

Match timeline

First half
Facundo Ezequiel Herrera 7'
Leandro Paredes 17'
Joaquin Mosqueira 21'
Lautaro Di Lollo assist Leandro Paredes 22'
Cristian Tarragona 39'
Victor Malcorra 45'
Lucas Menossi ↓ Joaquin Mosqueira 45'
Second half
Enner Valencia ↓ Miguel Merentiel 60'
Carlos Palacios ↓ Sebastián Villa 61'
Leonel Flores ↓ Alan Velasco 61'
Marcelo Estigarriba ↓ Brahian Cuello 64'
Lucas Ayala 66'
Mauro Luna Diale 72'
Erik Ramirez ↓ Julián Palacios 73'
Bruno Pittón ↓ Lucas Ayala 73'
Leonel Flores 83'
Ángel Romero ↓ Santiago Ascacibar 84'
Williams Alarcón ↓ Leandro Paredes 86'
Leonel Flores assist Enner Valencia 90+2'

This season

	Boca Juniors	Union Santa Fe
Over 2.5 goals	33%	61%
Clean sheet	44%	18%
Failed to score	11%	25%
Scored per game	1.4	1.5
Conceded per game	0.9	1.4
Scored home / away	1.2 / 1.6	1.7 / 1.4

Across 27 and 28 matches played this season.

League table position

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Pts
4	GIM Gimnasia M.	10	5	2	3	17
5	BOC Boca Juniors ▲	10	4	5	1	17
6	IND Independiente	10	5	2	3	17
7	LAN Lanus	10	5	1	4	16
8	NEW Newells Old Boys	10	4	4	2	16
9	UNI Union Santa Fe ▲	10	4	1	5	13
10	SAN San Lorenzo	10	3	2	5	11

Recent form · last 5 finished matches

Boca Juniors WWDWW

W vs Sao Paulo 1–0 Sep 9

W vs Central Cordoba de Santiago 3–1 Sep 12

D @ Sao Paulo 1–1 Sep 16

W @ San Lorenzo 2–0 Sep 20

W @ Racing Club 3–2 Sep 27

Union Santa Fe WWWLL

W @ Aldosivi 3–1 Aug 21

W vs Sarmiento Junin 4–1 Aug 28

W vs Instituto Cordoba 3–2 Sep 8

L @ Talleres Cordoba 1–2 Sep 12

L vs Independiente 1–2 Sep 19

Goals trend · last 5 matches

Boca Juniors

Scored 2.0 avg

1 3 1 2 3

Conceded 0.8 avg

0 1 1 0 2

Union Santa Fe

Scored 2.4 avg

3 4 3 1 1

Conceded 1.6 avg

1 1 2 2 2

Head-to-head · last meetings

2 Boca Juniors

5 Draws

3 Union Santa Fe

Mar 2026 Union Santa Fe 1–1 Boca Juniors Draw

Jul 2025 Boca Juniors 1–1 Union Santa Fe Draw

Jan 2025 Union Santa Fe 1–1 Boca Juniors Draw

Nov 2024 Boca Juniors 1–0 Union Santa Fe Boca Juniors

Mar 2024 Union Santa Fe 1–0 Boca Juniors Union Santa Fe

Over 2.5 goals in 2 of the last 10 meetings.

Confirmed lineups

Boca Juniors 4-3-3

12 L. Brey G
17 L. Lozano D
2 L. Di Lollo D
42 F. Herrera D
3 L. Blanco D
25 S. Ascacíbar M
5 L. Paredes M
18 M. Delgado M
20 A. Velasco F
16 M. Merentiel F
22 S. Villa F

Bench M. Braida, W. Alarcón, A. Costa, N. Figal, L. Flores, J. García, M. Giménez, D. Gorosito, C. Palacios, Marco Pellegrino, Á. Romero, E. Valencia

R. Arruabarrena

Union Santa Fe 4-4-2

21 M. Mansilla G
15 J. Pintado D
4 M. Rocha D
26 J. Ludueña D
18 L. Ayala D
20 J. Palacios M
17 J. Mosqueira M
10 V. Malcorra M
22 B. Cuello M
25 C. Tarragona F
11 M. Luna Diale F

Bench T. Rubio, E. Ramírez, B. Pittón, Mateo Peresutti, L. Meuli, L. Menossi, I. Isla, E. Giaccone, M. Estigarribia, M. Aimar, M. Aguirre, A. Solari

Leonardo Madelon