Premier League PENDING
Sat, Sep 19 · 16:00 · Amex Stadium
Brighton Home
VS
Arsenal FC Away
Brighton vs Arsenal — Premier League
Tipster's pick Under 3.5 Goals
Value Good · 3/5
Odds 1.44 Odds via Bet365
Our estimate71%
This price needs69%
Expert analysis

Arsenal Defense Suggests Measured Goal Output

Arsenal arrive with a strong record of keeping opponents at bay through organized pressing and compact lines. Their recent away matches show limited output from open play despite steady possession. Brighton push forward at home with width on the flanks but struggle to break down compact blocks. Meetings between these teams have frequently produced measured tempo with few extended attacking phases. Current sequences indicate both sides favor control over open exchanges in midfield. Brighton concede space in transitions yet rarely face sustained pressure that leads to extra goals. Arsenal maintain shape well enough to close games without late surges.

AcePredictor Analysis by AcePredictor 72.8% win rate
This season
Brighton Arsenal
Over 2.5 goals 75% 25%
Clean sheet 50% 75%
Failed to score 0% 0%
Scored per game 3.3 2.0
Conceded per game 1.3 0.3
Scored home / away 2.5 / 4.0 2.5 / 1.5

Across 4 and 4 matches played this season.

League table position
# Team PWDLPts
1 ARS Arsenal 4 4 0 0 12
2 MAN Manchester City 4 4 0 0 12
3 LEE Leeds 4 2 2 0 8
4 HUL Hull City 4 2 2 0 8
5 BRI Brighton 4 2 1 1 7
6 CHE Chelsea 4 2 1 1 7
Recent form · last 5 finished matches
Brighton WWLDW
W vs Aston Villa 4–0 Aug 23
W vs Tromso 4–0 Aug 27
L @ Chelsea 3–4 Aug 30
D vs Leeds 1–1 Sep 5
W @ Coventry 5–0 Sep 13
Arsenal WWWWW
W @ Aston Villa 1–0 Aug 31
W vs Chelsea 2–1 Sep 6
W @ Napoli 1–0 Sep 9
W @ Sunderland 2–0 Sep 12
W @ Ipswich 4–2 Sep 15
Goals trend · last 5 matches
Brighton
Scored 3.4 avg
4 4 3 1 5
Conceded 1.0 avg
0 0 4 1 0
Arsenal
Scored 2.0 avg
1 2 1 2 4
Conceded 0.6 avg
0 1 0 0 2
Head-to-head · last meetings
2 Brighton
2 Draws
6 Arsenal FC
Mar 2026 Brighton 0–1 Arsenal Arsenal
Dec 2025 Arsenal 2–1 Brighton Arsenal
Oct 2025 Arsenal 2–0 Brighton Arsenal
Jan 2025 Brighton 1–1 Arsenal Draw
Aug 2024 Arsenal 1–1 Brighton Draw

Over 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 10 meetings.