Premier League WON 1–1
Sat, Sep 5 · 16:00 · Amex Stadium
Brighton Home
VS
Leeds Away
Brighton vs Leeds — Premier League
Tipster's pick Over 1.5 Goals
Value Fair · 2/5
Odds 1.28 Odds via Bet365
Our estimate75%
This price needs78%
Expert analysis

Brighton Home Scoring Trends Suggest Multiple Goals

Brighton’s season form shows consistent attacking output at home where they average four goals per game. Leeds have allowed goals in half their matches despite a low average concession rate away from home. Historical matches between these teams feature a balanced record with several instances of both sides finding the net. Brighton’s recent matches have all exceeded two and a half goals while Leeds maintain a lower scoring rate on the road. Key absences for both sides affect depth in defense and attack without altering core setups. This combination of attacking patterns and fixture context favors games that produce at least two goals overall.

AcePredictor Analysis by AcePredictor 72.6% win rate
Result
1–1 WON

Our pick “Over 1.5 Goals” at odds 1.28 won — final score 1–1.

Match timeline
  1. First half
  2. Jayden Bogle 6'
  3. Jayden Bogle assist Ao Tanaka 15'
  4. Pascal Groß 38'
  5. Second half
  6. Maxim De Cuyper 49'
  7. Jaka Bijol ↓ Jayden Bogle 61'
  8. Brenden Aaronson ↓ Noah Okafor 62'
  9. Dominic Calvert-Lewin 64'
  10. Luka Vuskovic assist Maxim De Cuyper 71'
  11. Harry Wilson ↓ Ao Tanaka 73'
  12. Lukas Nmecha ↓ Dominic Calvert-Lewin 73'
  13. Promise David ↓ Maxim De Cuyper 77'
  14. Costinha ↓ Ferdi Kadıoğlu 78'
  15. Harry Wilson 85'
  16. Promise David 88'
  17. Pascal Struijk ↓ Olivier Boscagli 90+3'
This season
Brighton Leeds
Over 2.5 goals 100% 0%
Clean sheet 50% 50%
Failed to score 0% 0%
Scored per game 3.5 1.0
Conceded per game 2.0 0.5
Scored home / away 4.0 / 3.0 1.0 / 1.0

Across 2 and 2 matches played this season.

League table position
# Team PWDLPts
8 EVE Everton 2 1 1 0 4
9 LEE Leeds 2 1 1 0 4
10 BRI Brighton 2 1 0 1 3
11 MAN Manchester United 2 1 0 1 3
Recent form · last 5 finished matches
Brighton WDWWL
W vs Bologna 1–0 Aug 15
D @ Tromso 0–0 Aug 20
W vs Aston Villa 4–0 Aug 23
W vs Tromso 4–0 Aug 27
L @ Chelsea 3–4 Aug 30
Leeds DWWWD
D @ Manchester United 1–1 Aug 12
W vs FC Augsburg 4–0 Aug 15
W @ Nottingham Forest 1–0 Aug 22
W @ Nottingham Forest 2–0 Aug 25
D vs Brentford 1–1 Aug 30
Goals trend · last 5 matches
Brighton
Scored 2.4 avg
1 0 4 4 3
Conceded 0.8 avg
0 0 0 0 4
Leeds
Scored 1.8 avg
1 4 1 2 1
Conceded 0.4 avg
1 0 0 0 1
Head-to-head · last meetings
5 Brighton
3 Draws
2 Leeds
May 2026 Leeds 1–0 Brighton Leeds
Nov 2025 Brighton 3–0 Leeds Brighton
Mar 2023 Leeds 2–2 Brighton Draw
Aug 2022 Brighton 1–0 Leeds Brighton
May 2022 Leeds 1–1 Brighton Draw

Over 2.5 goals in 2 of the last 10 meetings.

Confirmed lineups
Brighton 4-2-3-1
  • 1 B. Verbruggen G
  • 24 F. Kadıoğlu D
  • 44 L. Vušković D
  • 5 L. Dunk D
  • 21 O. Boscagli D
  • 13 P. Groß M
  • 26 Y. Ayari M
  • 25 D. Gómez M
  • 35 M. Yalcouyé M
  • 29 M. De Cuyper M
  • 19 C. Kostoulas F
Bench J. Steele, J. Hadjam, P. Struijk, Costinha, José María Andrés Baixauli, I. Osman, M. O'Riley, P. David, N. Oriola

F. Hürzeler

Leeds 3-4-2-1
  • 1 J. Trafford G
  • 24 J. Justin D
  • 30 N. Elvedi D
  • 5 T. Muharemović D
  • 2 J. Bogle M
  • 4 E. Ampadu M
  • 22 A. Tanaka M
  • 3 G. Gudmundsson M
  • 18 A. Stach M
  • 19 N. Okafor M
  • 9 D. Calvert-Lewin F
Bench B. Aaronson, H. Wilson, D. James, S. Longstaff, J. Bijol, M. Bard, M. Zetterer, J. Bahoya, L. Nmecha

D. Farke

Team news · injuries & suspensions
Brighton
  • OUT F. Azeez Abdominal strain
  • OUT E. Ferguson Ankle Injury
  • OUT J. Hinshelwood Injury
  • OUT Y. Minteh Injury
  • OUT K. Mitoma Hamstring Injury
  • OUT M. Svoboda Injury
  • OUT S. Tzimas Knee Injury
  • OUT M. Wieffer Knee Injury
  • DOUBT G. Rutter Injury
  • OUT F. Azeez Abdominal strain
  • OUT E. Ferguson Ankle Injury
  • OUT J. Hinshelwood Injury
  • OUT Y. Minteh Injury
  • OUT K. Mitoma Hamstring Injury
  • OUT M. Svoboda Injury
  • OUT S. Tzimas Knee Injury
  • OUT M. Wieffer Knee Injury
  • DOUBT G. Rutter Injury
Leeds
  • OUT I. Gruev Knee Injury
  • OUT M. Joseph Knee Injury
  • OUT J. Rodon Muscle Injury
  • OUT I. Gruev Knee Injury
  • OUT M. Joseph Knee Injury
  • OUT J. Rodon Muscle Injury