Segunda División (Spain) WON 3–1
Fri, Sep 11 · 20:30
Burgos Home
VS
AD Ceuta FC Away
Burgos vs AD Ceuta FC — Segunda División
Tipster's pick Burgos or AD Ceuta
Value Fair · 2/5
Odds 1.28 Odds via Bet365
Our estimate79%
This price needs78%
Expert analysis

Decisive Result Likely Between Burgos and Ceuta

Burgos arrive with a home attack that generates regular chances and a recent sequence mixing wins with draws. AD Ceuta FC have endured four straight losses while shipping three goals per game on average. The visitors score very little away from home and rarely keep clean sheets. Earlier meetings between the sides produced wins for each team rather than shared points. Both clubs post low percentages of games exceeding two and a half goals, reducing the chance of cagey play. Tactical discipline from Burgos at home should force Ceuta to chase the game and create openings. These patterns together point to one side claiming victory.

AcePredictor Analysis by AcePredictor 73.2% win rate
Result
3–1 WON

Our pick “Burgos or AD Ceuta” at odds 1.28 won — final score 3–1.

Match timeline
  1. First half
  2. Carlos Hernández assist Kuki Zalazar 14'
  3. Alberto Dadie assist Jon Karrikaburu 20'
  4. Chidiebere Gabriel Okoro 27'
  5. Second half
  6. Jon Karrikaburu assist David Gonzalez 48'
  7. José Gragera 62'
  8. Kuki Zalazar 66'
  9. Álex Forés ↓ Jon Karrikaburu 66'
  10. Pablo Galdames ↓ Unai Vencedor 66'
  11. Kevin Appin ↓ Javier Llabrés Exposito 66'
  12. Umaru Konare ↓ Edgar Sevikyan 71'
  13. Oier Luengo Redondo ↓ José Gragera 75'
  14. Carlos Redruello Nimo Own goal 81'
  15. Santiago Lencina ↓ Curro 81'
  16. Alejandro Meléndez ↓ Chidiebere Gabriel Okoro 81'
  17. Joaquín Felipe González Rodríguez ↓ José Matos 81'
  18. José Antonio Abad Martínez ↓ Mawuli Kwame Mensah Vadze 81'
  19. Jordi Escobar ↓ Alejandro Camacho Ramírez 84'
  20. David Gonzalez 86'
  21. Alberto Dadie 90'
This season
Burgos AD Ceuta FC
Over 2.5 goals 25% 0%
Clean sheet 25% 0%
Failed to score 50% 75%
Scored per game 1.3 0.3
Conceded per game 1.3 3.0
Scored home / away 2.5 / 0.0 0.0 / 0.5

Across 4 and 4 matches played this season.

League table position
# Team PWDLPts
12 ALM Almeria 4 2 0 2 6
13 BUR Burgos ▲ 4 1 2 1 5
14 REA Real Sociedad II 4 1 2 1 5
15 OVI Oviedo 4 1 2 1 5
16 VAL Valladolid 4 1 1 2 4
17 FCA FC Andorra 4 1 0 3 3
18 CAD Cadiz 4 0 3 1 3
19 COR Cordoba 4 1 0 3 3
20 ELD Eldense 4 0 2 2 2
21 ALB Albacete 4 0 0 4 0
22 ADC AD Ceuta FC ▲ 4 0 0 4 0
Recent form · last 5 finished matches
Burgos DWLDD
D vs Cultural Leonesa 0–0 Aug 8
W vs Cordoba 3–2 Aug 16
L @ Sporting Gijon 0–1 Aug 23
D vs Real Sociedad II 2–2 Aug 31
D @ Oviedo 0–0 Sep 6
AD Ceuta FC WLLLL
W vs Malaga 2–1 Aug 7
L @ FC Andorra 1–5 Aug 15
L vs Las Palmas 0–2 Aug 22
L @ Mallorca 0–3 Aug 30
L vs Celta de Vigo II 0–2 Sep 5
Goals trend · last 5 matches
Burgos
Scored 1.0 avg
0 3 0 2 0
Conceded 1.0 avg
0 2 1 2 0
AD Ceuta FC
Scored 0.6 avg
2 1 0 0 0
Conceded 2.6 avg
1 5 2 3 2
Head-to-head · last meetings
0 Burgos
1 Draws
1 AD Ceuta FC
Apr 2026 Burgos 1–1 AD Ceuta FC Draw
Nov 2025 AD Ceuta FC 1–0 Burgos AD Ceuta FC

Over 2.5 goals in 0 of the last 2 meetings.

Confirmed lineups
Burgos 4-4-2
  • 13 Ander Cantero G
  • 23 Alberto Dadie D
  • 6 Sergio González D
  • 8 Grego D
  • 3 Ignasi Vilarrasa D
  • 14 David González M
  • 20 José Gragera M
  • 12 Unai Vencedor M
  • 19 Javi Llabrés M
  • 7 Jon Karrikaburu F
  • 16 Curro Sánchez F
Bench Mario Cantero, Marcelo Expósito, Álex Forés, P. Galdames, Bruno Iribarne, S. Lencinas, Oier Luengo, Brais Martínez, I. Martinez, Víctor Mollejo, Saúl del Cerro, K. Appin

Sergio Francisco

AD Ceuta FC 4-3-3
  • 1 Pedro López G
  • 16 Redru D
  • 6 Carlos Hernández D
  • 14 Y. Bodiger D
  • 3 José Matos D
  • 8 Kuki M
  • 32 Chidiebere Gabriel Okoro M
  • 17 Mawuli Mensah M
  • 19 E. Sevikyan F
  • 29 O. Sadik F
  • 7 Alejandro Camacho Ramírez F
Bench Guille Vallejo, Álex Meléndez, D. Mas, U. Konare, Joaquín, Jordi Escobar, Arick Betancourt, Toni Abad

José Juan Romero