Primeira Liga WON 1–4
Sat, Sep 12 · 19:00
Casa Pia Home
VS
FC Porto Away
Casa Pia vs FC Porto — Primeira Liga
Tipster's pick Over 2.5 Goals
Value Good · 3/5
Odds 1.75 Odds via Bet365
Our estimate59%
This price needs57%
Expert analysis

Porto Attack Poised to Deliver Open Contest

FC Porto enter this match on the back of five straight wins and have scored freely during their away fixtures this season. Casa Pia have kept just one clean sheet while conceding regularly at home. Historical meetings show both teams have produced open games more often than not. Porto maintain a tight defensive structure on the road that lets them commit numbers forward. Casa Pia have yet to score in their recent outings and sit deep as a result. This setup tends to leave space behind the home defense for Porto’s attackers to exploit. The pattern of high-scoring affairs in past encounters aligns with the current attacking strengths on display.

AcePredictor Analysis by AcePredictor 73.2% win rate
Result
1–4 WON

Our pick “Over 2.5 Goals” at odds 1.75 won — final score 1–4.

Match timeline
  1. First half
  2. Henrique Araújo Penalty 43'
  3. Jakub Kiwior 45'
  4. André Silva assist Pablo Rosario 45+3'
  5. Second half
  6. Domingos José Gabriel Bandeira 53'
  7. Andre Geraldes 54'
  8. Jakub Kiwior assist Gabri Veiga 60'
  9. Borja Sainz ↓ William Gomes 62'
  10. Santiago Giménez ↓ André Silva 62'
  11. Borja Sainz 66'
  12. Evans Maurin ↓ Benjamin Pauwels 68'
  13. Alan Gonzalo Varela ↓ Hwang In-Beom 70'
  14. João Pedro ↓ Mohamed Salah El Boukammiri 74'
  15. Cassiano ↓ Henrique Araújo 74'
  16. Seko Fofana ↓ Gabri Veiga 80'
  17. Martim Fernandes ↓ Alberto Costa 80'
  18. David Sousa 87'
  19. Aymen Zouin ↓ João Rego 88'
  20. Ivan Mandic 90'
  21. Santiago Giménez Penalty 90+1'
This season
Casa Pia FC Porto
Over 2.5 goals 0% 20%
Clean sheet 20% 80%
Failed to score 100% 0%
Scored per game 0.0 2.2
Conceded per game 2.2 0.2
Scored home / away 0.0 / 0.0 2.0 / 2.5

Across 5 and 5 matches played this season.

League table position
# Team PWDLPts
1 FCP FC Porto ▲ 5 5 0 0 15
2 BEN Benfica 5 4 1 0 13
3 SPO Sporting CP 5 4 1 0 13
4 SAN Santa Clara 5 3 2 0 11
5 ARO Arouca 5 3 1 1 10
6 GIL GIL Vicente 4 2 1 1 7
7 SCB SC Braga 3 2 1 0 7
8 MAR Maritimo 5 2 1 2 7
9 EST Estrela 4 1 3 0 6
10 ACA Academico Viseu 5 1 2 2 5
11 VIT Vitória SC 5 1 1 3 4
12 NAC Nacional 5 1 1 3 4
13 MOR Moreirense 5 1 1 3 4
14 FAM Famalicao 5 0 3 2 3
15 RIO Rio Ave 5 1 0 4 3
16 EST Estoril 5 0 2 3 2
17 ALV Alverca 5 0 2 3 2
18 CAS Casa Pia ▲ 5 0 1 4 1
Recent form · last 5 finished matches
Casa Pia LLLLD
L @ Maritimo 0–1 Aug 8
L vs Benfica 0–7 Aug 17
L @ GIL Vicente 0–2 Aug 24
L vs Moreirense 0–1 Aug 30
D @ Vitória SC 0–0 Sep 6
FC Porto WWWWL
W @ Rio Ave 2–0 Aug 15
W vs Arouca 2–0 Aug 23
W @ Academico Viseu 3–0 Aug 29
W vs Moreirense 2–1 Sep 4
L vs Manchester City 0–2 Sep 8
Goals trend · last 5 matches
Casa Pia
Scored 0.0 avg
0 0 0 0 0
Conceded 2.2 avg
1 7 2 1 0
FC Porto
Scored 1.8 avg
2 2 3 2 0
Conceded 0.6 avg
0 0 0 1 2
Head-to-head · last meetings
1 Casa Pia
1 Draws
7 FC Porto
Feb 2026 Casa Pia 2–1 FC Porto Casa Pia
Aug 2025 FC Porto 4–0 Casa Pia FC Porto
Apr 2025 Casa Pia 0–1 FC Porto FC Porto
Dec 2024 FC Porto 2–0 Casa Pia FC Porto
Apr 2024 Casa Pia 1–2 FC Porto FC Porto

Over 2.5 goals in 6 of the last 9 meetings.

Confirmed lineups
Casa Pia 4-2-3-1
  • 95 Ivan Mandić G
  • 18 Geraldes D
  • 3 Kaly D
  • 43 David Sousa D
  • 75 Pedro Rosas D
  • 16 Silvi M
  • 80 L. Ofori M
  • 11 M. El Boukammiri M
  • 70 João Pedro Seno Luís Rêgo M
  • 77 B. Pauwels M
  • 9 Henrique Araújo F
Bench João Goulart, Gabi Pereira, Cassiano, Abdu Dafe, Rochinha, A. Jatta, E. Maurin, K. Prieto, S. Pérez, P. Sequeira, A. Zouin, JP

Filipe Coelho

FC Porto 4-3-3
  • 99 Diogo Costa G
  • 20 Alberto Baio D
  • 5 J. Bednarek D
  • 4 J. Kiwior D
  • 74 Francisco Moura D
  • 16 Hwang In-Beom M
  • 13 P. Rosario M
  • 10 Gabri Veiga M
  • 7 William F
  • 19 André Silva F
  • 11 Pepê Aquino F
Bench Souza, S. Fofana, S. Giménez, Martim Fernandes, Cláudio Ramos, D. Prpić, N. Pérez, Borja Sainz, A. Varela, T. Silva, J. Afonso, Gabriel Mec

F. Farioli