Expert analysis

Fluminense and Santos Set for Open Game

Fluminense occupy fourth spot in the standings following thirty matches played while Santos find themselves in eighth after the same number. The home team have averaged 1.9 goals scored in their home fixtures and Santos have scored 1.6 goals per away game this season. Three or more total goals have occurred in sixteen of Fluminense’s league games and twenty of Santos’s. Both sides have also recorded both teams scoring in twenty one and twenty two matches respectively. Santos concede 1.7 goals away from home. Recent results show mixed form for each side with four defeats in five for Fluminense. An open contest looks likely with Santos able to threaten on the counter.

Analysis by AcePredictor 68% win rate

Result

1–2 WON

Our pick “Over 1.5 Goals” at odds 1.33 won — final score 1–2.

Match timeline

First half
Rodrigo Castillo assist Igor Rabello 4'
Álvaro Barreal 25'
Agustín Canobbio 31'
Second half
Gabriel Barbosa assist Rodinei 49'
Philippe Coutinho assist Gabriel Bontempo 54'
Hulk ↓ Rodrigo Castillo 57'
Jefferson David Savarino Quintero ↓ Yeferson Soteldo 57'
Paulo Henrique Chagas de Lima ↓ Luciano Acosta 57'
Wesley Natã de Freitas Prado ↓ Agustín Canobbio 57'
Rony ↓ Philippe Coutinho 72'
Christian Oliva ↓ Everton 72'
Kevin Serna ↓ Gustavo Nonato Santana 76'
João Alencar Santos Paes da Costa ↓ Lucas Veríssimo 83'
Rafael Gonzaga ↓ Álvaro Barreal 87'
Benjamín Rollheiser ↓ Neymar da Silva Santos Júnior 87'

This season

	Fluminense	Santos
Over 2.5 goals	53%	67%
Clean sheet	20%	20%
Failed to score	13%	10%
Scored per game	1.6	1.5
Conceded per game	1.2	1.5
Scored home / away	1.9 / 1.3	1.5 / 1.6

Across 30 and 30 matches played this season.

League table position

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Pts
3	ATL Atletico Paranaense	30	15	8	7	53
4	FLU Fluminense ▲	30	14	9	7	51
5	BAH Bahia	30	13	10	7	49
6	CRU Cruzeiro	30	14	6	10	48
7	ATL Atletico-MG	30	13	8	9	47
8	SAN Santos ▲	30	11	9	10	42
9	RBB RB Bragantino	30	11	7	12	40

Recent form · last 5 finished matches

Fluminense LWWLL

L @ Platense 1–2 Sep 15

W @ Corinthians 3–1 Sep 20

W vs Coritiba 4–0 Oct 9

L @ Flamengo 0–1 Oct 11

L vs Palmeiras 1–2 Oct 15

Santos LWWDL

L @ Atletico-MG 2–4 Sep 16

W @ Remo 2–1 Sep 19

W @ Sao Paulo 2–1 Oct 2

D vs Flamengo 2–2 Oct 8

L @ Atletico-MG 1–2 Oct 11

Goals trend · last 5 matches

Fluminense

Scored 1.8 avg

1 3 4 0 1

Conceded 1.2 avg

2 1 0 1 2

Santos

Scored 1.8 avg

2 2 2 2 1

Conceded 2.0 avg

4 1 1 2 2

Head-to-head · last meetings

5 Fluminense FC

4 Draws

1 Santos

Apr 2026 Santos 2–3 Fluminense Fluminense

Aug 2025 Santos 0–0 Fluminense Draw

Apr 2025 Fluminense 1–0 Santos Fluminense

Nov 2023 Santos 0–3 Fluminense Fluminense

Jul 2023 Fluminense 1–0 Santos Fluminense

Over 2.5 goals in 3 of the last 10 meetings.

Confirmed lineups

Fluminense 4-2-3-1

1 Fábio G
2 Samuel Xavier D
4 Ignacio D
21 Igor Rabello D
6 Renê D
16 Nonato M
35 Hércules M
17 A. Canobbio M
32 L. Acosta M
30 Y. Soteldo M
19 R. Castillo F

Bench Guga, J. Freytes, Hulk, Marcelo, J. Millán, Otávio, PH Ganso, J. Savarino, K. Serna, Thiago Silva, Wesley Nata, Ruan Sales Oliveira

Marcão

Santos 4-2-3-1

1 Diógenes G
23 Rodinei D
4 Lucas Veríssimo D
14 Luan Peres D
22 Á. Barreal D
48 Gustavo Henrique Pereira M
11 Philippe Coutinho M
8 Gabriel Bontempo M
10 Neymar M
7 Everton M
9 Gabriel Barbosa F

Bench Igor Vinicius, João Paulo Ananias, João Paulo, João Schmidt, M. Terceros, C. Oliva, Rafael Gonzaga, B. Rollheiser, Rony, Thaciano, Gabriel Menino, João Alencar

Cuca

Team news · injuries & suspensions

Fluminense FC

OUT Alisson Hip Injury
OUT G. Cano Hamstring Injury
OUT Guilherme Arana Yellow Cards
OUT John Kennedy Knee Injury
OUT Matheus Reis Knee Injury
OUT Alisson Hip Injury
OUT G. Cano Hamstring Injury
OUT Guilherme Arana Yellow Cards
OUT John Kennedy Knee Injury
OUT Matheus Reis Knee Injury

Santos

OUT Arthur Melo Muscle Injury
OUT Gabriel Brazao Shoulder Injury
OUT Neymar Inactive
OUT Vinicius Lira Knee Injury
OUT Willian Arao Yellow Cards
DOUBT Willian Arao Injury
OUT Arthur Melo Muscle Injury
OUT Gabriel Brazao Shoulder Injury
OUT Neymar Inactive
OUT Vinicius Lira Knee Injury
OUT Willian Arao Yellow Cards
DOUBT Willian Arao Injury