Serie A (Brazil) MISSED 2–4
Sun, Oct 18 · 21:00 · Arena do Grêmio
Gremio Home
VS
Cruzeiro Away
Gremio vs Cruzeiro — Serie A
Tipster's pick Gremio or Draw
Confidence Low
Odds 1.67 Odds via Bet365
Expert analysis

Gremio Home Strength Favours Draw or Win

Gremio sit 18th but show steady home scoring at 1.5 goals a game while conceding just 1.1. Their last five games produced three draws and no wins, yet the team remains hard to beat on their own pitch. Cruzeiro sit sixth with strong recent wins but have lost two of their last five and concede 1.9 goals away from home. Head to head shows Gremio taking three wins and two draws from the last ten meetings. Both sides reach double figures for games with goals at both ends this season, pointing to a tight contest where Gremio stay unbeaten. The evenly matched pre-match view adds weight to a result that avoids defeat for the hosts. A low-scoring game at Arena do Gremio could see Cruzeiro struggle to break down the defence.

AcePredictor Analysis by AcePredictor 68% win rate
Result
2–4 MISSED

Our pick “Gremio or Draw” at odds 1.67 didn’t land — final score 2–4.

Match timeline
  1. First half
  2. Carlos Vinícius Penalty 17'
  3. Kaio Jorge assist Matheus Pereira 23'
  4. Erick Noriega ↓ Danilo Barbosa da Silva 36'
  5. Cristian Pavón 41'
  6. Second half
  7. Kaio Jorge 48'
  8. Kaio Jorge assist William 61'
  9. Martin Braithwaite ↓ Filip Krovinović 66'
  10. Matheus Henrique ↓ Zé Lucas 66'
  11. João Marcelo 67'
  12. Matheus Pereira 71'
  13. Walter Kannemann 73'
  14. Walter Kannemann 73'
  15. Keny arroyo 76'
  16. Wesley Gassova Ribeiro Teixeira ↓ Keny arroyo 79'
  17. João Marcelo assist Gerson 80'
  18. Tetê ↓ Cristian Pavón 90'
  19. José Enamorado ↓ Francis Amuzu 90'
  20. Bruno Rodrigues ↓ Gerson 90+2'
  21. Luciano Rodríguez ↓ Kaio Jorge 90+2'
  22. Fabrício Bruno ↓ João Marcelo 90+2'
This season
Gremio Cruzeiro
Over 2.5 goals 43% 67%
Clean sheet 20% 20%
Failed to score 33% 13%
Scored per game 1.1 1.5
Conceded per game 1.3 1.5
Scored home / away 1.5 / 0.6 1.7 / 1.3

Across 30 and 30 matches played this season.

League table position
# Team PWDLPts
5 BAH Bahia 30 13 10 7 49
6 CRU Cruzeiro ▲ 30 14 6 10 48
7 ATL Atletico-MG 30 13 8 9 47
8 SAN Santos 30 11 9 10 42
9 RBB RB Bragantino 30 11 7 12 40
10 SAO Sao Paulo 30 11 6 13 39
11 COR Coritiba 30 10 9 11 39
12 VIT Vitoria 30 10 6 14 36
13 BOT Botafogo 30 9 9 12 36
14 VAS Vasco DA Gama 29 9 8 12 35
15 MIR Mirassol 30 8 9 13 33
16 COR Corinthians 30 8 8 14 32
17 INT Internacional 30 7 11 12 32
18 GRE Gremio ▲ 30 7 10 13 31
19 REM Remo 30 5 10 15 25
Recent form · last 5 finished matches
Gremio LLDDD
L vs Vasco DA Gama 1–2 Sep 12
L @ Botafogo 2–3 Sep 16
D vs Palmeiras 0–0 Sep 20
D @ Remo 1–1 Oct 7
D vs Internacional 1–1 Oct 11
Cruzeiro WLWWL
W vs Atletico Paranaense 3–1 Sep 6
L @ Santos 1–2 Sep 13
W @ Vitoria 3–1 Sep 20
W vs Sao Paulo 2–0 Oct 8
L @ RB Bragantino 2–4 Oct 13
Goals trend · last 5 matches
Gremio
Scored 1.0 avg
1 2 0 1 1
Conceded 1.4 avg
2 3 0 1 1
Cruzeiro
Scored 2.2 avg
3 1 3 2 2
Conceded 1.6 avg
1 2 1 0 4
Head-to-head · last meetings
3 Gremio
2 Draws
5 Cruzeiro
Jul 2026 Gremio 3–1 Cruzeiro Gremio
Apr 2026 Cruzeiro 2–0 Gremio Cruzeiro
Nov 2025 Gremio 0–1 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
Jul 2025 Cruzeiro 4–1 Gremio Cruzeiro
Nov 2024 Cruzeiro 1–1 Gremio Draw

Over 2.5 goals in 3 of the last 10 meetings.

Confirmed lineups
Gremio 4-3-3
  • 1 Weverton G
  • 27 Diego Caito D
  • 6 Gustavo Martins D
  • 4 W. Kannemann D
  • 23 Marlon D
  • 20 M. Villasanti M
  • 15 Danilo Barbosa M
  • 10 F. Krovinović M
  • 7 C. Pavón F
  • 95 Carlos Vinícius F
  • 9 F. Amuzu F
Bench Wagner Leonardo, Tetê, M. Braithwaite, Pedro Gabriel, J. Enamorado, Gabriel Grando, João Pedro, Dodi, E. Noriega, Marcos Rocha, Caio Paulista, F. Balbuena

Renato Gaúcho

Cruzeiro 4-2-3-1
  • 81 Otávio Eleodoro Rezende Costa G
  • 12 William D
  • 43 João Marcelo D
  • 34 Jonathan D
  • 25 L. Villalba D
  • 5 Zé Lucas M
  • 29 L. Romero M
  • 99 K. Arroyo M
  • 10 Matheus Pereira M
  • 8 Gerson M
  • 19 Kaio Jorge F
Bench Cássio, Bruno Rodrigues, Fabrício Bruno, Fágner, Kauã Moraes, Lucas Silva, Marquinhos, Matheus Henrique, L. Rodríguez, G. Rojas, M. Viña, Wesley Gassova

Artur Jorge

Team news · injuries & suspensions
Gremio
  • OUT J. Cabral Inactive
  • OUT Wallace Yellow Cards
  • DOUBT Matheus Nascimento Inactive
  • OUT J. Cabral Inactive
  • OUT Wallace Yellow Cards
  • DOUBT Matheus Nascimento Inactive
Cruzeiro
  • OUT Felipe Morais Yellow Cards
  • OUT Gabriel Pec Broken Leg
  • OUT L. Romero Injury
  • OUT L. Sinisterra Muscle Injury
  • DOUBT N. Villarreal Ankle Injury
  • OUT Felipe Morais Yellow Cards
  • OUT Gabriel Pec Broken Leg
  • OUT L. Romero Injury
  • OUT L. Sinisterra Muscle Injury
  • DOUBT N. Villarreal Ankle Injury