Serie A WON 1–1
Sun, Jul 26 · 23:30
Gremio Home
VS 23:30
Fluminense FC Away
Gremio vs Fluminense — Serie A
Tipster's pick Gremio or Draw
Confidence High · 4/5
Odds 1.50 Odds via Bet365
Expert analysis

Gremio Home Edge Meets Fluminense Road Tests

Gremio posts stronger goal numbers when playing at home than their season average suggests. Fluminense tends to create fewer chances on the road despite their overall attack numbers. Past meetings show Gremio collecting more wins than Fluminense across the last ten games. Gremio’s recent sequence mixes wins with draws that keep results tight. Fluminense has picked up losses in their form that allow home teams to stay in contests. Both sides post low rates for games going over two and a half goals this season. These patterns point to outcomes where Gremio avoids defeat more often than not.

AcePredictor Analysis by AcePredictor 73.2% win rate
Result
1–1 WON +0.50u

Our pick “Gremio or Draw” at odds 1.50 won — final score 1–1.

League table position
# Team PWDLPts
3 ATL Atletico Paranaense 19 10 3 6 33
4 FLU Fluminense ▲ 19 9 5 5 32
5 RBB RB Bragantino 19 9 3 7 30
6 BAH Bahia 19 8 6 5 30
7 COR Corinthians 19 7 6 6 27
8 CRU Cruzeiro 19 7 6 6 27
9 BOT Botafogo 19 7 5 7 26
10 COR Coritiba 19 7 5 7 26
11 VIT Vitoria 19 7 5 7 26
12 SAO Sao Paulo 19 7 4 8 25
13 ATL Atletico-MG 19 7 4 8 25
14 INT Internacional 19 5 6 8 21
15 SAN Santos 19 5 6 8 21
16 GRE Gremio ▲ 19 5 6 8 21
17 VAS Vasco DA Gama 19 5 5 9 20
Recent form · last 5 finished matches
Gremio WLWLL
W @ Cascavel 2–1 Jun 27
L vs Chapecoense-sc 1–2 Jul 4
W vs Cruzeiro 3–1 Jul 12
L @ Mirassol 1–2 Jul 17
L @ Bolívar 2–3 Jul 23
Fluminense WDWWD
W vs Deportivo La Guaira 3–1 May 28
D @ Cruzeiro 1–1 May 31
W vs Nova Iguaçu 6–1 Jul 8
W vs Bahia 2–0 Jul 12
D vs RB Bragantino 1–1 Jul 17
Goals trend · last 5 matches
Gremio
Scored 1.8 avg
2 1 3 1 2
Conceded 1.8 avg
1 2 1 2 3
Fluminense
Scored 2.6 avg
3 1 6 2 1
Conceded 0.8 avg
1 1 1 0 1
Head-to-head · last meetings
5 Gremio
1 Draws
4 Fluminense FC
Jan 2026 Fluminense 2–1 Gremio Fluminense
Dec 2025 Gremio 1–2 Fluminense Fluminense
Aug 2025 Fluminense 1–0 Gremio Fluminense
Nov 2024 Fluminense 2–2 Gremio Draw
Aug 2024 Fluminense 2–1 Gremio Fluminense

Over 2.5 goals in 7 of the last 10 meetings.